Ngemuva kwezinyanga eziningi futhi eziningi kangaka zokuphazamiseka okuphazamisekile, imakethe yamasheya yase-United States inikeza izimpawu zokuqala ukuthi lesi simo kungenzeka sidlulile. Ngalo mqondo, abekho abahlaziyi abambalwa bezezimali abakholelwa ukuthi kuncane kakhulu okusele okufanele kwenziwe ukuthengisa izikhundla enkombeni ye-American S & P 500. Futhi, ukubeka ibhentshimakhi yokushiya le makethe yezezimali nokuthi izolinganiswa emazingeni kakhulu duzane ne- Amaphuzu we-2.700 lokho kungaba yisilinganiso sokuqala ukuthengisa.
Okunye okutholakele kwenguquko kuthrendi kumasheya kungaba yithonya layo ku- ama-stock indices ngakolunye uhlangothi lwe-Atlantic nokuthi abatshalizimali abavela ezwenikazi elidala bangaletha ukulahlekelwa ngamandla athile e-ether. Ebhekene nalesi simo, akukho okunye kodwa yenza ngokuqapha okukhulu futhi ngaphezu kwakho konke okunengqondo futhi ngaphandle kokuthi izinyanga zikaNovemba noDisemba ngokwesiko abathengi kakhulu. Lapho ukuhlangana okulindelwe isikhathi eside kwemikhosi kaKhisimusi kubonakala khona.
Kunoma ikuphi, ukukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo engxenyeni ye- I-Federal Reserve yase-United States (FED) kungaholela kulezi zimo ezintsha ezikhathazayo ezimakethe zezimali. Ikakhulukazi uma amazinga wenzalo ekhuphuka ngamandla amakhulu kunokubikezela kwabahlaziyi bezezimali. Uma kunjalo, ukulahlekelwa kungakhushulwa kusuka kulezi zikhathi eziqondile. Akusizi ngalutho, kuyingozi okufanele uthembele kuyo uma uzokhetha ukuthengwa kwamasheya emakethe yamasheya esikhathini esiyinkimbinkimbi kakhulu njengamanje.
Umkhuba we-Bearish esitokisini
Enye yezimanga ezinkulu emasontweni edlule ukuthi izimali ezimakethe zase-US zilahlekelwa yintengo eningi ekulinganisweni kwazo. Kuze kube seqophelweni lokuthi thengisa izikhundla Abatshalizimali baziphoqa ngokwabo ukucaciseleka okucacile kubathengi. Lapho, ukuhlaziywa okujulile emkhakheni wezobuchwepheshe kungasiza ukuthola esinye sezizathu ezisemqoka zamanje ze-bearish ezimakethe zezimali zase-United States. Kuzobaluleke kakhulu ukuthi kwenzekani ezinsukwini ezimbalwa ezizayo ukunquma ekugcineni uma kuyisikhathi sokuthenga noma ukuthengisa izikhundla ezimakethe zamasheya.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, asikwazi ukukhohlwa ukuthi izimali ezikule ndawo ziye zakhula kancane iminyaka engaphezu kwemihlanu nonyaka ngemuva konyaka. Le nqubo kungenzeka ukuthi ifinyelele ekugcineni futhi amanani azonikezelwa kusukela manje kuye ku Setha intengo yezenzo zabo. Okwamanje akunakwenzeka ukunquma ukuthi ngabe okwenzekayo kulezi zinsuku kumane nje kungukulungiswa kwama-stock indices noma kunalokho kungumnyakazo okhathazeka kakhulu ngezintshisekelo zabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi.
Isimo se-S & P 500 samanje
Kunoma ikuphi, kunento eyodwa engasiza abatshalizimali ukuthi benze isinqumo ngenye indlela noma enye. Akuyona enye ngaphandle kokuthi i-S & P 500 isiqalile ukunyakaza okuhle okuqhubekayo okungaqhubeka phakathi no-2019. Yize ushintsho olukhulu kuthrendi kungenzeka futhi uma ezinye izisekeli ezifanele kakhulu zale makethe yezimali ezibalulekile zidilizwa. Ukufika ezingeni lokuthi inketho enengqondo kunazo zonke kungaba thengisa noma ulinde, ngokuya ngesimo sokusebenza kwakho kulokhu kushintshaniswa e-United States.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukwehla okuphawulekayo kwe- Ukukhula komnotho waseChina kanye namazwe asafufusa, nawo anciphisa ukukhula komnotho waseJalimane, ngakho-ke, nawaseYurophu, kanye nezimakethe zayo zamasheya zingaba nengcindezi ezinkampanini ezahlukahlukene zemakethe yamasheya aseMelika. Lapho kulindelwe khona i-S & P 500 ukuthi isilinganiso semali engenayo ngesabelo ngasinye sezinkampani ezifakwe kuhlu sizokwehla size sifike kumazinga angaphezudlwana kuka-23% ngo-2018, sisuke ku-6% ngonyaka wezi-2019 futhi okungenani sizoba ngo-2020, okungaba ku-4%. Kuyisimo, kunoma yisiphi isimo, lapho kungaba nzima kakhulu ukusebenza ngalezi zimpahla zezimali.
Izincazelo zikaTrump eziphikisanayo
Umongameli waseMelika, uDonald Trump, ukhulume ngalokhu kuwa ezimakethe zezimali zaseMelika. Futhi incazelo yakhe ibingenakuba yimpikiswano enkulu kubasebenzi abahlukahlukene bezezimali. Incazelo yakhe ithi lezinhlangano zivela njengomphumela wokhetho lwakamuva oluya ku- ICongress of Deputies neSenate futhi lokho kwaletha ukuba khona okukhulu kosopolitiki beDemokhrasi ezindlini zokuqala zokumelwa zaleli zwe elinamandla.
Vele, lezi zizathu azichazeki kakhulu lapho ngosuku olulandelayo ngemuva kwemiphumela lwaziwa, izimakethe zezimali zababingelela ngokuzuza okukhulu. Esikhundleni salokho, izimbangela kufanele zitholakale ezincazelweni ezisuselwa ezimakethe zezezimali uqobo. Ikakhulukazi labo abaxhunywe ku ukukhathala ngokweqile ngokuhwebelana kwamasheya aseMelika. Manje okuzodingeka kutholakale uma lokhu kwenzeka kuyinto engaphezulu kokulungiswa kwentengo yezokuphepha.
Qala ekwehleni kwemakethe yamasheya
Khumbula ukuthi i-S & P 500 iqale isonto lidlula esigabeni sokulungisa sokuphakama kwangaphambilini, esikhule ngesinyathelo esisuka kumaphoyinti angama-2.600 kuya kwangu-2.920. Kungumkhakha wezobuchwepheshe waseMelika okhombisa izimpawu ezinkulu kakhulu zobuthakathaka ngokukhomba emaconsi awo amakhulu ezinyangeni eziningi. Lesi yisiginali enamandla kakhulu mayelana nokuthi kungenzeka yini ezinsukwini noma emasontweni ambalwa ezayo. Hhayi ngeze, i Nasdaq 1000 ilindele ukunyakaza kwesikhathi esizayo kwama-indices wendabuko, njengoba kwenzekile eminyakeni yamuva.
Esinye sezeluleko ezivame kakhulu ezivela kubahlaziyi abadume kakhulu bezezimali ukuthi ngenkathi i-S & P 500 ihlala ingaphansi kuka-2.800, isikhundla esinenzuzo enkulu kuzoba ukuthi kube yimali enikezwa ukwehliselwa phansi kwalezi zimakethe ezingaphesheya kwe-Atlantic. Ngakho-ke, lezi yizikhathi ezibucayi zokukhombisa ukuthi yini umkhuba ozovela ekugcineni kukho konke lokhu inqubo yokulungisa noma ye-bearish. Lapho izinqumo zezimali nazo zingenza okuncane ukukhetha inkambiso eyodwa noma enye kusukela manje.
Isendlalelo semakethe yamasheya yase-USA
Imakethe yamasheya yase-US ikhiqize esinye sezikhathi ezihamba phambili zokwenyuka emlandweni wayo futhi lokho sekuholele ekutheni inzuzo yabatshali zimali ifinyelele emazingeni asondele kakhulu ku-100%. Lapho ukuhlaziywa kwenkomba efanelekile yale makethe efanelekile, i-Standard and Poor's 500 ikhombise ukwanda okungaphezulu kuka-200% kusukela ngo-2009. Kulokho okubhekwa njenge- isikhathi eside sokuvuka wezintengo zamasheya kule ndawo. Ngaphezu kwezilinganiso ezikhonjiswe yiwo wonke ama-stock exchange ezwekazi elidala.
Ngomunye umqondo, ukwehluka phakathi kwezimakethe zamasheya zaseMelika naseSpain kungaphezu kokusobala. Ngakho-ke amandla ayo wokwehla emakethe yamasheya abonakala kakhulu, nge ukulungiswa okujulile, kokubili ngokuqina kwayo nangesikhathi esingahlala kulezi zikhathi. Kunoma ikuphi, kuyisikhathi sokuba buthakathaka okukhulu kakhulu selokhu kuqale uptrend futhi okungaholela ekuguqulweni okujule kakhulu kuthrendi kunalokho okwabikezelwa abanye babahlaziyi bezimakethe zezimali ezifanele.
Izitoko ezinamaconsi amakhulu e-US
Isonto belingeke liqale kabi ezimakethe zezimali zase-US. Akumangalisi ukuthi iWall Street iqale isonto ngokulahlekelwa okukhulu, eholwa ngochungechunge lwezinkampani ezinokubaluleka okukhethekile, okufana I-Apple, i-Amazon, iGoldman Sachs neGeneral Electric. Lokhu kube wukuqina kwalokhu kwehla okweqile ukuthi iDow Jones yehle ngo-2,3%, kanti ngokuphambene nalokho, i-S & P 500 yehle ngamazinga ka-2%. Inkomba yezobuchwepheshe ngokugqama iye yambi kakhulu, eyehle cishe ngo-3%.
Futhi ukwehla okuqinile okuye kwahlupheka ngenye yamasheya abukekayo e-United States kungabukelwa phansi. Lokhu kunjalo ngamasheya eGoldman Sachs abelokhu ekhona ishiye cishe i-8% futhi sifinyelele emazingeni acishe afane nalawo ka-2016. Kulokhu, kubhebhethekiswa yizinsolo zokufumbathisa eMalaysia eziye zakhokhela inani lazo ezimakethe zezimali.
Iqiniso elingangcolisa ezinye izibambiso kulo mkhakha ezinsukwini ezizayo ngisho neziphakamiso zemakethe yamasheya kule ngxenye yezwekazi. Ngemibono engemihle kakhulu kubantu abafuna ukutshala imali abayongele bona. Ngomthelela omubi kakhulu emakethe yesikhathi esizayo yezimakethe zase-Asia, ezilola ukuwa kwazo ngamandla amakhulu. Lapho izinqumo zezimali nazo zingenza okuncane ukukhetha inkambiso eyodwa noma enye kusukela manje.