Kangangeentsuku ezininzi ngoku, iintliziyo zethu bezinothandabuza ngenxa yemfazwe iRussia egqibe kwelokuba iyiqale eUkraine. Kunzima kakhulu kum (umncedisi) ukuthetha malunga neempembelelo zezoqoqosho eziya kuba nazo, ukucinga nje ngobomi kunye nokulahlekelwa kwabantu okwenzekayo ngoku, kwenza iqhina esiswini. Nangona kunjalo, kwaye kunikezelwa ukuba umxholo weblogi malunga nezoqoqosho kunye nezezimali, ndiya kuzama ukucacisa impembelelo yezoqoqosho enokuthi ibangele.
Ngaphambi kokuba ndiqale, makhe ndithi izinto ezininzi ezenzekayo namhlanje zinemvelaphi yazo kwakudala. Ukususela ekubhangisweni kwelizwe elalisakuba yiSoviet Union, indima ephambili yeRashiya kwezopolitiko yehlabathi iye yaphelelwa ngamandla. Abanye abathathi-nxaxheba kolu ngquzulwano yinkxalabo yaseRashiya malunga nokwandiswa kwe-NATO, kunye nokwenzeka ukuba babone eRashiya ukuba i-Ukraine iya kuba yinxalenye. Ekugqibeleni, maninzi ama-nuances kangangokuba ukulindela ukuba yeyiphi impembelelo yokwenyani enokubakho akuqinisekanga, hayi kuba izinto zitshintsha ngokukhawuleza. Umzekelo, iindaba zamva nje, ngaphandle kwezinye iibhanki zaseRussia kwinkqubo ye-SWIFT yehlabathi ukuthintela ukwenziwa kweentengiselwano.
Malunga noqoqosho lwaseRashiya
Uqoqosho lwaseRashiya luvuleleke kakhulu.a, ngokuchaseneyo noko abantu abaninzi bakukholelwayo. Enyanisweni, i-46% ye-GDP yayo isekelwe kwiimpahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle. Ngomnye wabathengisi abaphambili kwihlabathi malunga neoyile negesi, eyesine neyokuqala ngokulandelelanayo. Rhashiya ithumela ngaphandle i-43% yokuthunyelwa ngaphandle yerhasi yehlabathi, kunye neYurophu njengeyona ndawo isiya kuyo, ethenga ngaphezu kwe-70% yerhasi ethunyelwa ngaphandle kweli lizwe.
Zeziphi iimpembelelo ezinokubakho ngerhasi?
Nangona isixa esikhulu segesi ethengwa yiYurophu evela eRashiya, ithatha i-37% yezinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle. Nangona kunjalo, kwinxalenye enkulu yeMpuma Yurophu ngakumbi iJamani, igesi evela eRashiya ibalulekile ukugcina isantya sobomi kunye noqoqosho lwabo. Ubonelelo oluphantsi lwerhasi lunokunyusa amaxabiso zisuka njes, ukwandisa iindleko zemizi kunye namashishini, nto leyo eya kwenza ukuba amashishini amaninzi angabi nakukhuphisana, amanye awo angayi kuba nenzuzo ukuqhubeka. Sele sikwazile ukwenza le nto kumacandelo ahlukeneyo kulo nyaka uphelileyo ngenxa yengxaki yombane.
Kwaye ngeoli?
IRashiya, kunye neSaudi Arabia kunye neUnited States, yenye yezona zinto zivelisa i-oyile enkulu emhlabeni. Enyanisweni, ivelisa i-10 yezigidi zemiphanda yeoli yonke imihla. Ehlabathini, malunga ne-5 yezigidi zemibhobho ngosuku ziyadliwa, oko kuthetha ukuba iRashiya ivelisa i-100% yeoli emhlabeni.
Intsilelo ye-2, 3 okanye 4% kwihlabathi liphela ingavelisa ukonyuka okuphezulu kakhulu kwixabiso leoli. Njengoko kwenzeka kwi-2008, apho amaxabiso afikelela kwi-150 yeedola emgqonyeni xa kunyaka odlulileyo ayemalunga ne-$ 70. Ukuba intsilelo ibinkulu, ukunyuka kwexabiso kunokuba phezulu ngokugqithisileyo.
Impembelelo ye-boomerang yezohlwayo eRashiya
Enye yeenjongo eziphunyeziweyo ngokugweba iRussia kukudala ingxaki enkulu yezoqoqosho kuyo ukuphendula kuhlaselo oluthe iRussia yalubhekisa eUkraine. Nangona kunjalo, ikhonkco phakathi kokuthunyelwa ngaphandle kunye nokungenisa phakathi kweYurophu neRashiya inkulu ngokwaneleyo ukuba iziphumo zayo ziphele ukubetha uqoqosho lwasentshona nangakumbi. Kananjalo neziphumo kuqoqosho lwase-US.
Ukulindela le meko, iMoscow yaqala ukuthengisa i-15% yegesi yayo eChina apho, ukongeza, umongameli wayo u-Xi Jinping, "ogcina iprofayili yakhe" malunga nento eyenzekayo e-Ukraine, wathembisa kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo ukuphinda kabini ukungenisa kwakhe igesi yaseRashiya. . Oku kufunyanwa okukhulu kuya kwenziwa ngokwakhiwa komnye umbhobho ongaphantsi komhlaba. Ngale ndlela, iya kuqinisekisa unikezelo lweempahla ezicwangcisiweyo ezifana nempahla yeshishini neyeteknoloji.
Ngaphaya kweGesi kunye neOli, ezinye izinto ezingasetyenziswanga
Mhlawumbi ngenxa yokunyuka kwexabiso lamandla eYurophu, ingqalelo ijoliswe ekunyukeni kwegesi kunye neoli. Ukongeza ekubeni yiRashiya, njengoko sesitshilo, omnye wabavelisi abakhulu kunye nabathumela ngaphandle. Kodwa ayizizo zonke izinto eziphela apho, zininzi iintsimbi ezinokuthi ungquzulwano lunyuse amaxabiso azo. Zombini i-iron, i-aluminiyam, i-nickel, okanye i-palladium, apho iRashiya ingumvelisi oyintloko wezinto zamva kwaye ziyimfuneko kwiimoto, ziya kubona amaxabiso azo enyuka kakhulu.
Ingqolowa, ingqolowa kunye neoli yelanga, Apha Zombini iRussia kunye neUkraine zimbini ezinobunzima behlabathi. Ungquzulwano kunye nezohlwayo, kunye nomthamo ophantsi wemveliso ngaphandle kweyorhwebo, kuya kubangela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ezi zinto zikrwada kunye nokutya okuvela kuzo. Le yinto enokuthi ichaphazele phantse nabani na, kuba kufuneka sitye sonke. IRashiya lilizwe lesine ngobukhulu emhlabeni abavelisi bengqolowa, kunye ne-Ukraine yesixhenxe. Phakathi kwazo, zithatha malunga ne-20% yemveliso yengqolowa yehlabathi.
Kulolu hlobo lwemarike, njengemarike yokutya, xa imveliso iyancipha kuphela nge-3 okanye i-5%, ukunyuka kwexabiso kunokuphinda kabini. Akukho mntu uyeka ukutya, kwaye ukunqongophala kwemveliso kunokugungqa ezi ntlobo zeemarike kakhulu. Esi sizathu sokuba ukunyuka okukhulu okunjalo kubonakala kwimarike yempahla, kwaye nangomhla we-24 kaFebruwari, amaxabiso ayenamanani aphezulu kakhulu (amanani amabini) ngosuku olunye.
Enye imarike ebalulekileyo yile yezichumisi. IRashiya ingomnye wabavelisi abakhulu bePotassium, kwaye izichumisi ze-potassium ziye zafumana ukunyuka kwamaxabiso azo kwiinyanga. Ngaphandle kweUkraine, olu ngquzulwano luyakwenza kuphela izichumisi ukuba zibize kakhulu, eya kudluliselwa kwicandelo lezolimo, ukwandisa iindleko zemveliso kwaye apho ngokuqinisekileyo ziya kuchaphazela umthengi.
Zithini iibhanki ezingoovimba malunga nenzala?
Besilindele ukunyuka kwexabiso lenzala kwiinyanga ezimbalwa ngenxa yokunyuka kweepesenti ezingapheliyo zokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Nangona kunjalo, kutshanje babhengeze ukuba ukunyuka kwesantya ebusweni bokutshintsha ngokukhawuleza kwimeko yangoku kuya kuba kwangaphambi kwexesha, kwaye kunokuxinzelela ngakumbi uqoqosho. Lo nto Ukunyuka intaba kuya kumiselwa elinye ixesha ixesha elide.
Le meko yokuchacha kancinci emva kwe-covid kunye nokuma kokugqibela kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso, iphinda ifuthe iziporho zokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Kwakhona, imeko inokutshintsha kwiintsuku ezizayo. Iimarike ziphakame ngolu suku lokugqibela lweLwesihlanu, kubonakala ngathi uthethathethwano lwengxabano kulindeleke.
Into ebonakala ingenakuphepheka ngokupheleleyo ekugqibeleni kukuba i-GDP yamazwe aseYurophu ngokubanzi ayiyi kunyuka njengoko ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuya kwenza, kubangele ukuwohloka kwamandla okuthenga. Ngokuphathelele ukuba kusenokubakho ezinye imiphumo yezoqoqosho, okanye ukuba ezinye zazo aziyi kuba nzulu kangako, yinto esiya kuyibona njengoko imeko isonjululwa, okanye ubuncinane, yile nto sonke esinethemba layo.