Unyaka ka-2017 sele eza kugqitywa, nje ukuba ugqityiwe, uya kuba nakho ukucinga malunga ne Qoqosho lwaseSpain Okwangoku, kwenzeke ntoni kwaye uphele njani lo nyaka kulo mba; Iziphumo zalo, ukuba ikhule kangakanani, kwenzeke ntoni kwingqesho, intsilelo yoluntu, njl. Ubukhulu obuthile I-macroeconomics efana ne-GDP kunye neRhafu yokungaSebenzi, baya kusinika idatha ebalulekileyo kuhlalutyo olwahlukeneyo.
Silungiselela ukuvavanya, njengesishwankathelo, malunga noko kucwangcisiweyo kwaye kuqikelelwa kwezi nyanga zilishumi elinambini. Siza kuzisa iingqikelelo zethu ngaphambi nangemva kokuqala konyaka.
Ngale ndlela, siya kuba nolwazi olunamandla okujongana nenyani, nje ukuba u-2017 ugqityiwe.
Asizimiselanga kuqiniseka malunga nento eyenzekileyo, kodwa koko kwathethwayo kwaqikelelwa yimibutho eyahlukeneyo, abasemagunyeni kunye neengcali. Into eza kuthi ibonakaliswe xa kuphela unyaka.
Ngo-2015, i Iziko leMfundo lezoQoqosho kwaqikelelwa ukuba u-2017 uyakuba yindawo yotshintsho kuqoqosho lwaseSpain. Uqhubeke wathi into eyanceda uqoqosho kulo nyaka luzakulimaza ngo-2017.
IEE Yatsho ngelo xesha ukuba uqoqosho lwaseSpain lwazisa i-inertia eyandisayo kakhulu, into eluncedo okwexeshana, kodwa ukuba ngo-2017 umjikelo wokunyuka kwamaxabiso wenzala kunye namaxabiso ezinto ezisetyenziswayo uza kuqala. Inxalenye enkulu nje yokukhula kwe-GDP yaseSpain ibangelwe zizinto ezingabizi kakhulu, ngakumbi ioyile, ekufuneka ilizwe liyingenise elizweni.
Kwi-2016, abahlalutyi babucala kunye nemibutho yamazwe aphesheya bathi ngaphandle kweziphene ezikhoyo, iSpain izakuqhubeka nokuba lilizwe eliza kukhula kakhulu kwi-2017, xa kuthelekiswa noqoqosho oluphambili eYurophu.
Ngalo nyaka Ngo-2017 i (GDP) -Imveliso ePheleleyo yaseKhaya, waqikelelwa ngurhulumente waseSpain kwizigidi ezili-1.137, ukukhula ngama-2.5%. Uqikelelo lwenani labantu abangasebenziyo lalingama-4.3 ezigidi. Ukuqikelela inqanaba lentswela-ngqesho kwi-18.9
Njengoko unyaka walo nyaka uqhubeka, abahlalutyi abaninzi ngokulandelelana baphakamise ukukhula kwabo okulindelweyo okanye uqikelelo kuqoqosho eSpain xa kuthelekiswa noqikelelo lwangaphambili. Oku kwenzeke phakathi kweminye imicimbi kuba ukuzinza kwemisebenzi kugcinwa kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwelinye ilizwe kubonise ukuvela okuhle.
Kwi-2016, iingcali ezininzi zaxela kwangaphambili ukuba i-GDP izakuhamba kancinci ukuya kwinqanaba kwaye yanika izizathu ezinamandla zalo msitho, imeko ye "Brexit" e-United Kingdom kunye neengxaki zexeshana ezikhoyo kuRhulumente waseSpain.
Ngaphandle kwale miqondiso, uqikelelo ngaloo ngqondo, sele luqalile unyaka, lubonakalise amathuba aphezulu okukhula koqoqosho okukhulu kunalowo ka-2016, owawuyi (3.2%) kwaye kukho izizathu ezithile zalo msitho, amandla okutshintsha mhlawumbi ayengalindelwanga. kwingqesho notyalo-mali.
Makhe siqwalasele uqikelelo lwabasemagunyeni abathile, iingcali kunye nemibutho
Kuwo wonke u-2017, imibutho eyahlukeneyo yamanye amazwe efana ne- IKhomishini yaseYurophu kunye ne-IMF (iNgxowa-mali yeMali yeHlabathi) kunye nabanye abantu belizwe, bebesonyusa uqikelelo lwabo. Umzekelo, i-OECD ekuqaleni kukaJuni inyuse uqikelelo lwe-GDP ukuya kwi-2.8%.
NgoJulayi i-IMF ihlaziye ukunyuka kwe-GDP ukuya kwi-3.1% kulo nyaka (ukusuka kwi-2.6% ngaphambili).
La Komishoni yaseYurophu utyhile uluvo lwakhe lokuba iSpain iyakusilela ukusilela ku-2017. U-Luis de Guindos, Umphathiswa wezoQoqosho, uthe ngelo xesha ukusilela koluntu kuya kuba ngaphantsi kwe-3% ye-GDP kulo nyaka, nangona i-European Commission ibeke inani ku-3.1. % kwingqikelelo yasentwasahlobo.
UGuindos uqinisekisile ukuba "ngaphandle kokulahla, kuya kuba nzima kakhulu eSpain ukuba ikhule ingaphantsi kwe-2.7" kulo nyaka, ibona ukukhula esele kuqinisekisiwe kwe-3.4 kwikota yokuqala, njengoko kutyhilwe liZiko leSizwe lezeNkcukacha-manani (i-INE).
IBhunga lezoQoqosho lenze uqikelelo kwikota yokuqala yonyaka kwaye yabonisa ukuba uqoqosho lwaseSpain lwaluza kukhula nge-2.7%.
Komishoni yaseYurophu
Ngenyanga kaMeyi, i Ukuza kweYurophu Uthe inkqubela phambili yezoqoqosho eSpain ingaphezulu kwamanye amazwe aseYurophu. Wabala ukuba uqoqosho luyakhula nge-2.8% kulo nyaka.
Ucacisile ukuba kuzakubakho indalo eyomeleleyo, nangona intswela ngqesho ingaphezulu komndilili kwamanye amazwe akummandla. Uye wathi umngxunya wezemali uzakuphela kulo nyaka nge-3.2% ye-GDP, ephawula ngokusilela kwiiakhawunti zikarhulumente.
Iphaneli yeNgcali
Ekuqaleni konyaka, ngokwephaneli leengcali ezingaphezu kwe-350 zaseSpain, abaphathi kunye noosomashishini abalungiselelwe yi-PwC; imeko yezoqoqosho eSpain yayilungile, kwaye bathi le meko izakuhlala kude kube sekupheleni konyaka, ngenxa yemeko elungileyo ekusetyenzisweni, ukuthunyelwa kwelinye ilizwe, imeko yezemali yeenkampani kunye nabantu, kunye nezinye izinto ezilungileyo ezinje ngengqesho kunye nemveliso utyalo-mali.
I-47.6% yabo bakwenziwe uphando bathathela ingqalelo ukuba Ukusetyenziswa kosapho iyakwanda ngonyaka. I-55.2% iqikelele ukuba ibango lezindlu liya kunyuka. I-66.7% iqikelele ukuba ukudalwa kwemisebenzi kuya kuqhubeka nokwanda, i-59% ikholelwe ukuba into efanayo iya kwenzeka ngokuthumela ngaphandle kwaye i-48.6% yathi iyakwenzeka into efanayo kutyalo-mali olunemveliso.
Ezi ngcali zithethe ngecandelo lezokhenketho ukuba lilo eliza kukhokelela kuhlumo kwilizwe, i-91.2% yabo inolu luvo.
Abaphathi beephaneli baqinisekisile ukuba ingqesho iyakhula kumacandelo afana nezokhenketho nolwakhiwo, nto leyo yesintu; kodwa iyakwenza njalo kumacandelo asakhasayo anjengezempilo, ezothutho kunye nolungiselelo, inkcubeko, njl.
Balindele iziphumo ezibi, ngokubhekisele ekuphelisweni kwemisebenzi icandelo lezezimali kunye neinshurensi.
IBhanki yaseSpain
I-Bhanki yaseSpain ithathe ingqalelo ngo-Epreli ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuya kuphawulwa kakuhle kwi-2017, oku kungenxa yokuvela kwamaxabiso eoyile. Amaxabiso ale mveliso kulindeleke ukuba azinze kunyaka ophelileyo, incede ukuthoba isantya i-CPI. Uye walindela ukukhula kwengqesho ngamazinga aphezulu, oko kungakhokelela kwimveliso encinci.
Uphando lweBhayi
Ngo-Agasti 2016, i Inkonzo yohlalutyo lweBBVA Uthe kunyaka olandelayo uqoqosho lwaseSpain luza kuthoba isantya ngenxa ye "Brexit" kuyo, kwaye iyakubiza ishumi leshumi lokukhula.
Baphawule ngelo xesha lokuba umngcipheko kuqoqosho lwaseSpain uyanda kwaye uninzi lwezinto zilindele ukwehla ngo-2017. Baqikelela ukukhula kwe-2.3% kulo nyaka.
Ngaphandle kwe "Brexit", bayiqinisekisile into yokuba ubukho bokungaqiniseki malunga nomgaqo-lawulo wemali kunye namanyathelo athile ezemali, abenza ukuba balungelelane ngokubhekisele kulindelo lwango-2017.
Kweso sifundo sango-2016, bathi into emiselweyo xa kuchazwa ukukhula kokukhula iyaqhubeka nokusetyenziswa kwekhaya.
Ngelo xesha, baxela kwangaphambili ukuba kuzakubakho ukonyuka kokudalwa kwemisebenzi malunga ne-800.000 yemisebenzi kwaye inqanaba lokungabikho kwemisebenzi lingancitshiswa liye kuthi ga kwi-18.2%
Sele ngo-2017, i-BBVA yayinethemba lokuvela koqoqosho lwaseSpain. Baye babona ukukhula kwe-GDP ukuya kuthi ga kwi-3% kulo nyaka, benengqikelelo ethembisayo.
Batsho ukuba ukukhula koqoqosho elizweni akuzukulingana ngabantu abazimeleyo. Iziqithi zeBalearic njengoluntu oluza kukhula kakhulu kulo nyaka, lulandelwe ziiCanary Islands neMadrid, eAndalusia naseCastilla-La Mancha.
Baqikelela ukuba indawo ezilithoba ezizimeleyo ziya kukhula ngaphantsi komndilili welizwe, eyona ishiyeka emva kweAsturias, eCantabria nase-Extremadura.
I-FUNCAS-Isiseko seBhanki yoLondolozo
NgoMeyi walo nyaka, Isiseko seBhanki yoLondolozo (iFunza) wenza noqikelelo lwezoqoqosho. Ukukhula kwe-GDP kuqikelelwa kwi-2.8%, isithi imimandla emine ezimeleyo eya kukhula kakhulu iya kuba yiMadrid, iBalearic Islands, iCatalonia kunye neGalicia.
Ebhekisa kukungabikho kwemisebenzi kunye nokudala imisebenzi emitsha, unike abantu abaqikelelwa kuma-450.000 izithuba zengqesho, ezizakunciphisa izinga lokungabikho kwemisebenzi liye kwi-17.5%.
Ngokumalunga nokusilela kolawulo lukarhulumente, uqukumbele ngelithi ukuvela koqoqosho kwangexesha kweli lizwe kufanele ukuvumela ukuncitshiswa, kodwa hayi kakhulu ukuhlangabezana ne-3.1% ye-GDP ekuvunyelwene ngayo neBrussels.
I-AIReF -Igunya elizimeleyo loxanduva lwezezimali
Lo mzimba uqikelele ukukhula koqoqosho nge-3.2%, oku kuqikelelwa kwisibini kwishumi kunelo likaRhulumente (+ 3%). Uqikelelo lweGDP bekukwi-0.85% kwikota yesithathu kunye ne-0.81% kweyesine.
Ngokubhekisele kuqoqosho lwaseSpain, kulo nyaka uphantse wagqitywa, sishwankathele ezinye zezinto ebeziqikelelwe ngaphambi konyaka kwaye nasemva kokuba uqale.
Kuya kuthi ke emva koko kuthelekiswe oko bekucingelwa kwaye kubalwe ziingcali kunye noko bekusenzeka kwezi nyanga zilishumi elinambini, isifundo ekuya kufuneka siphandwe kwaye sandiswe nzulu ukufikelela kwizigqibo ezichanekileyo.