Emva kweenyanga ezininzi kunye neenyanga ezininzi zokuphazamiseka okuphakanyisiweyo, imarike yemasheya yaseMelika inika imiqondiso yokuqala yokuba imeko inokuba idlulile. Ngale ndlela, abakho abahlalutyi bezemali abambalwa abakholelwa ukuba kuncinci kakhulu okuseleyo ukuya kwizikhundla ezifutshane kwisalathiso seMelika S&P 500. Kananjalo, ukuseta umlinganiso wokushiya le marike yezemali kwaye iya kuchazwa kumanqanaba kakhulu kufutshane nezo Amanqaku e-2.700 iya kuba ngumlinganiso wokuqala wokuthengisa.
Enye into efunyenwe kutshintsho lwimo kwii-equities ingayimpembelelo yayo kwi indices zesitokhwe kwelinye icala leAtlantic kwaye abatyali mali abavela kwilizwekazi elidala banokuzisa ilahleko yamandla athile eether. Ukujongana nale meko, akukho khetho kodwa yenza ngononophelo olukhulu kwaye ngaphezulu kwayo yonke into enengqondo kwaye ngaphandle kwenyanga kaNovemba nangoDisemba ngokwesiko abathengi kakhulu. Apho irali ekudala ilindelwe yeholide yeKrisimesi yenza ukubonakala.
Ngayiphi na imeko, ukunyuka kwenqanaba lenzala kwicala le Federal Reserve yaseUnited States (FED) inokukhokelela kwezi meko zintsha zimbi kwiimarike zokulingana. Ngokukodwa ukuba inzala inyuka ngamandla amakhulu kunokuba kuqikelelwe ngabahlalutyi bezemali. Kwimeko apho, ilahleko inokunyuswa ukusuka kula maxesha achanekileyo. Hayi ngelize, ngumngcipheko ekufuneka uthembele kuwo ukuba uza kukhetha ukuthengwa kwezabelo kwimarike yemasheya ngexesha elinzima kakhulu njengangoku.
Intsingiselo yokuthwala esitokisini
Esinye sezimanga ezikhulu kwezi veki zidlulileyo kukuba ukulingana kwiimarike zaseMelika kuphulukana nexabiso elininzi kumaxabiso abo. Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku thengisa izikhundla Abatyalomali bazinyanzela ngokwabo ukuba bacaciselwe abathengi. Apho, uhlalutyo olunzulu kwicandelo lobuchwephesha lunokunceda ekufumaneni esinye sezona sizathu siphambili sokwehla kweemarike zezimali zaseMelika. Okwenzekayo kwiintsuku ezimbalwa ezizayo kuya kubaluleka kakhulu ekuthatheni isigqibo ekugqibeleni ukuba lixesha lokuthenga okanye lokuthengisa izikhundla kwimarike yemasheya.
Kwelinye icala, asinakulibala ukuba ubulungisa kule ndawo bunyuke ngokuthe ngcembe ngaphezulu kweminyaka emihlanu kunye nonyaka emva konyaka. Le nkqubo inokuba ifikelele esiphelweni kwaye amaxabiso aya kunikezelwa ukususela ngoku ukuya phambili Cwangcisa ixabiso yezenzo zabo. Okwangoku akunakwenzeka ukugqiba ukuba okwenzekayo kwezi ntsuku lutshintsho nje lwee-indices zesitokhwe okanye ngokuchaseneyo kukuhamba okuxhalabisa ngakumbi umdla wabatyali mali abancinci nabaphakathi.
I-S & P 500 imeko yangoku
Ngayiphi na imeko, inye into enokunceda abatyali mali bathathe isigqibo ngenye indlela okanye enye. Ayikho enye ngaphandle kokuba i-S & P 500 iqale intshukumo enkulu esecaleni enokuthi ihlale kulo lonke unyaka we-2019. Nangona utshintsho olukhulu kwindlela enokwenzeka ngayo lunokwenzeka ukuba ezinye zezona nkxaso zibalulekileyo zale marike yezabelo zibalulekile. Ukuya kwinqanaba lokuba olona khetho lufanelekileyo luya kuba thengisa okanye ulinde, Kuxhomekeke kubume bemisebenzi yakho kolu tshintshiselwano eMelika.
Kwelinye icala, ukwehla okubonakalayo Ukukhula koqoqosho lwase China kunye namazwe asahlumayo, nawo anciphisa ukukhula koqoqosho lwaseJamani, ke ngoko, iYurophu, kunye neemarike zayo zentengiso zinokunyanzelisa uxinzelelo kwiindices ezahlukeneyo zemarike yaseMelika. Apho kulindeleke khona kwi-S & P 500 ukuba umvuzo ophakathi kwisabelo seenkampani ezidwelisiweyo uyakunyuka uye kumgangatho ongaphezulu kancinci kwe-23% kwi-2018, i-6% ngo-2019 kwaye ubuncinci ngo-2020, eya kuba malunga ne-4%. Yimeko, kuyo nayiphi na imeko, apho kunokuba nzima ngakumbi ukusebenza kwezi asethi zemali.
Iingcaciso eziphikisayo zikaTrump
Umongameli wase-United States, uDonald Trump, uthethile malunga nokuwa kweemarike zezabelo zaseMelika. Kwaye inkcazo yakhe ayinakuba yingxabano ngakumbi kwiiarhente ezahlukeneyo zezemali. Ingcaciso yakhe yeyokuba ezi ntshukumo zivela ngenxa yeziphumo zonyulo lwamva nje ICongress of Deputies kunye neSenethi kwaye oko kuzise ubukho obukhulu bezopolitiko zeDemokhrasi kwindlu yokuqala yokumelwa kweli lizwe linamandla.
Ewe, ezi zizathu azicaciseki xa usuku lungemva kokuba ezi ziphumo zaziwe, iimarike zokulingana zababulisa ngeenzuzo ezinkulu. Endaweni yoko, oonobangela kufuneka bafumane kwiingcaciso ezivela kwiimarike zezemali ngokwazo. Ngokukodwa ezo zinxibelelene ne ukudinwa kakhulu ngotshintshiselwano lwesitokhwe lwaseMelika. Ngoku kuya kufuneka kufunyanwe ukuba ngaba oku kuyenzeka yinto engaphaya kokulungiswa kwixabiso lezokhuseleko.
Qalisa ukuhla kwintengiso yesitokhwe
Gcina ukhumbule ukuba i-S & P 500 iqale iveki ihamba kwisigaba sokulungisa sokunyuka kwangaphambili, esaphuhliswa ngenqanaba ukusuka kumanqaku angama-2.600 ukuya kuma-2.920. Licandelo lezobuchwephesha laseMelika elibonisa ezona mpawu zibuthathaka, likhomba kweyona yehle iinyanga ezininzi. Lo ngumqondiso onamandla malunga nento enokwenzeka kwiintsuku okanye kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezizayo. Hayi ngelize, i I-Nasdaq 1000 ilindele iintshukumo ezizayo ze-indices zemveli, njengoko kwenzekile kule minyaka idlulileyo.
Elinye lawona macebiso aqhelekileyo avela kubahlalutyi abadumileyo bezezimali kukuba ngelixa i-S & P 500 ihlala ingaphantsi kwe-2.800, eyona ndawo inenzuzo enkulu iya kuba kukuhlawula amatyala kunikwe imeko esezantsi yezi marike kwelinye icala leAtlantic. Ke ngoko, la ngamaxesha abalulekileyo okubonisa ukuba yeyiphi imeko eza kuthi ekugqibeleni ivele kuyo yonke le nto inkqubo yokulungisa okanye ye-bearish. Apho izigqibo zezemali zinokwenza into encinci ukukhetha enye okanye enye imeko ukusukela ngoku.
Imvelaphi yentengiso yesitokhwe yaseMelika
Imarike yemasheya yaseMelika ivelise elona xesha lifanelekileyo lokonyuka kwimbali yayo kwaye oku kuye kwakhokelela ekubeni abatyali zimali bazuze ukufikelela kwinqanaba kufutshane ne 100%. Apho uphononongo lwesalathiso esifanelekileyo sale marike ichaphazelekayo, iMigangatho kunye namahlwempu ama-500 abonise ukunyuka okungaphezulu kwama-200% ukusukela ngo-2009. elona xesha lide lokunyuka Amaxabiso ezabelo kule ndawo. Ngaphezulu ngentla kwemilinganiselo eboniswe lulo lonke utshintshiselwano lwesitokhwe kwilizwekazi elidala.
Ngomnye umthambo, umahluko phakathi kweentengiso zaseMelika naseSpain kungaphezulu kokucacileyo. Ke ukubanakho kokuhla kwintengiso yemasheya kubonakala ngakumbi, nge izilungiso ezinzulu, zombini ngokobunzulu bayo nakwixesha elinokuhlala kula maxesha. Ngayiphi na imeko, lelona xesha lokudodobala okokoko kwaqala uptrend kwaye enokuthi ikhokelele kutshintsho olunzulu ngakumbi kunendlela ebekuqikelelwe ngayo ngabanye babahlalutyi beemarike zezabelo.
Izitokhwe ezinamachaphaza amakhulu eMelika
Iveki ngekhe iqale kakubi kwiimarike zezemali zaseMelika. Akumangalisi ukuba iWall Street iqale iveki ngelahleko ezinzima, ekhokelwa luthotho lweenkampani ezinokubaluleka okukhethekileyo, ezinje Iapile, iAmazon, iGoldman Sachs kunye noMbane Jikelele. Oku kuye kwaba kukuqina koku kwehla kwexabiso lokuba i-Dow Jones yehle nge-2,3%, ngelixa ngokuchaseneyo, i-S & P 500 yehle kumaqondo e-2%. Isalathiso sobuchwephesha ngokugqwesa sihambe kakubi kakhulu, esiye sehla phantse nge-3%.
Akunakwenzeka nokuba ukwehla okunamandla okubandezeleke lelinye lawona malungelo abalaseleyo eMelika kungahoywa. Le yimeko yezabelo zeGoldman Sachs ebezikho ishiye phantse iipesenti ezisi-8 kunye nokufikelela kumanqanaba afanayo nalawo ka-2016. Kule meko, kuxhokonxwa ngezityholo zokunyoba eMalaysia ezithathe ixabiso lazo kumaxabiso wazo kwiimarike zezemali.
Inyani enokuthi ingcolise olunye ukhuseleko kwicandelo kwiintsuku ezizayo kunye nezindululo zemarike yestokhwe kule nxalenye yelizwekazi. Ngeembono ezimbi kakhulu kubantu abafuna ukutyala imali abayigcinileyo. Ngefuthe elibi kakhulu kwiimalike ezizayo zeemarike zaseAsia, ezibukhali ukuwa kwazo ngamandla amakhulu. Apho izigqibo zezemali zinokwenza into encinci ukukhetha enye okanye enye imeko ukusukela ngoku.