On many occasions, knowing which is the value that has had the worst performance in the Spanish selective index can be a very helpful information to manage our portfolio of values. Not only as a strategy to determine which proposals you should reject to make the savings profitable. But also to be aware of a Change of trend that can take their prices to positions of great benefit for your personal interests. Either way, it is a piece of information of special interest to all small and medium investors. To the extent that he will be giving you a padel more objective about your current situation. Although not for the medium and long term.
From this general scenario, the most important data is the one based on detecting which is the red lantern of the Ibex 35. In a year in which this important stock index of the old continent has achieved a appreciation slightly over 10%. With a range in the last 52 sessions in equities that move in a very wide range that goes from 8.500 and 11.000 points. All this, in an exercise that a priori did not seem predestined to show these positive levels that it maintains at the moment. To the point that some financial analysts predicted corrections in their price quotes.
On the other hand, it cannot be forgotten that Spanish equities have a positive trend that is for many years. And there is no doubt that at some point this trend will have to be broken, even in a very violent way, as some experts in the financial markets allude. This is roughly the panorama of the national stock market during this year. When there are very few weeks left to make the final balance of its behavior during 2017. Where it is very informative to check which are the best and worst values of the selective index.
Mapfre at the bottom of the values in 2017
One of the most relevant data of the national variable income is that the Mapfre insurance company is the worst value of the Ibex 35 in this period and until now. With a price per share of 2,72 euros, which represents a depreciation in its value of almost 6%. In clear contrast to other proposals that show an uptrend. In some cases, even with appreciations above 10%. Its levels in the last 53 trading sessions have oscillated under very wide margins in these months. Between 2,53 and 3,30 euros per shares, which shows that right now it is in the low band of its price. A factor that could invite you to make purchases with the aim of reaching the highest levels of this price range.
On the other hand, Mapfre has a current dividend yield of 5,35%. On the highest scale of this profit sharing among shareholders. So that in this way, you have a fixed and guaranteed income every year. Through a very special strategy to create a fixed income within the variable. As an added incentive so that you can take positions from this precise moment. In addition, you are facing a very liquid security that exchanges a large number of shares every trading session. Where you will have no problem staying hooked. As is the case with mid-market and, above all, small caps.
Bearish in the short term
The shares of the insurer Mapfre are in a downward trend in the short and medium term. After marking highs in the month last April in levels of 3,3 euros per share. In contrast to other values of its environment closer. There are no signs yet to indicate a change in his behavior. And that they could induce you to take positions in this listed company. It is after all one of your main drawbacks when analyzing your presence in equities this year. Of course, it has not been as satisfactory as small and medium investors would have liked at the beginning of this year.
In any case, you can see how in the short term it finds a temporary support around 2,5 euros, prior to much more compromised areas such as 2,2 euros. But they are forgetting that sales operations are increasing by financial analysts. In particular, after having broken the important barrier of 3,20 euros. That is, the opinion of the market at the moment clearly opts for sales. Therefore, there are not many hopes that it will rise again in the coming months. At least for the end of the year and that is already an excessively short period to risk in your buying positions.
Benefit reduction this summer
Mapfre's business results have not been as positive as expected from the financial markets. Not much less since the first Spanish insurer, obtained between January and September a net profit of 444,6 million euros. In practice means 22,3% less than a year earlier, due to the costs of the recent natural disasters registered in North America and the Caribbean, as explained by the entity itself. He also added that without these events having been generated, the attributable profit would have grown by 8,6%. A difference that explains the evolution of the company in recent weeks.
Another interesting fact that these results reflect is that with respect to shareholder remuneration, and despite the drop in profit, the board of directors approved a dividend on account of the 2017 results of 6 euro cents per share. Despite everything, net worth at the end of September reached 10.792 million euros, while equity stood at 8.781 million euros, and total assets totaled 67.733 million euros. In any case, the results have not been well received by the financial markets. Greeting them with general declines that have not filled investors who wanted to position themselves in this value of the insurance sector with optimism.
Positive analysis about the company
As has been well reflected in this article, the sentiment of financial agents is not very positive with this stock option. But there are always some financial intermediaries who see the prospects from another point of view. This is the specific case of XTB analysts who allude to the fact that the worst has already passed for Mapfre and estimate that their target price is around 3 euros per share in the medium term. To the point that they see substantial changes in some indicators to support this change in trend. With which you would have a potential revaluation very close to levels of 5%.
However, to cross the important barrier of 2,48 euros per title coinciding with previous supports, the situation would vary significantly. Because at this price you should consider a sales area. In this sense, the next few days will be very relevant to determine the direction of the trend that will take from now on. So you can make a decision with more technical foundations. Not surprisingly, Mapfre's shares are one that small and medium-sized investors pay the most attention to. Especially for those with a more conservative or defensive profile in their approach to equity markets.
Achieve their goals
It is also worth anticipating the desire to try to achieve your business goals despite the natural disasters that have unfolded this summer. In any case, the company itself considers that the results show that it is a very solid company. That it is even prepared to manage all kinds of natural manifestations, such as those that have occurred this summer. They insist that "the solidity and financial capacity of Mapfre it is beyond doubt and we continue with our profitable growth strategy. " This factor could revitalize prices, at least in the medium and long term.
In any case, and as a positive aspect in the value, it is one of the equity proposals that have a higher appreciation for the next twelve months. Due to the bad behavior in this year to become the worst value of the Ibex 35. The margin it has to recover from current prices is much. And of course much more with respect to other values of the selective index. For example, BBVA, Repsol, Iberdrola or Red Eléctrica, among some of the most relevant companies.
From this point of view, there is more you have to gain than lose from now on. Although provided that you assume the risks that this kind of operations entail in the equity markets. In this sense, you may be tempted to open positions in one of the most characteristic values of the Spanish selective index. But considering your current situation. Without being one of the blue chips of Spanish equities, it is one of the main bets within small and medium-sized companies.