One of the doubts presented by this new year that is about to begin refers to the levels that Spanish equities can reach. Well, a good part of the financial agents estimate that a really feasible objective is to reach 11.000 points. This is shown by the reports developed by Bankinter and Renta 4. In what is also shown that it will be an exercise that will not be of tension. Even with a volatility that causes you to have many more problems to achieve the objectives pursued for the end of years.
Either way, there is one thing for sure and that is that you will always have business opportunities. Whatever the trend set by the financial markets. Both with regard to national equities and those from outside our borders. Their connection is such that substantial differences between one or another stock index will not be appreciated. What you should be very attentive to is to be in the right place and at the most opportune moment. It will be one of the main keys so that you can successfully complete your operations in the stock market during these almost twelve months that you still have ahead.
In addition, there are many bags o geographic areas where you can operate from now on. Some of them with a much higher revaluation potential than you imagine from the beginning. Among other reasons, because they lag further behind the leading earnings indices in recent years. In this way, your chances of improving your checking account balance are significantly increased. To the point that you are in a position to think that 2018 may be your big year when it comes to investing in equities.
Predictable scenario in this year
There is one thing the leading market analysts have no doubts about. It refers to the fact that 2018 is expected under a feeling that it is expected to present synchronized economic growth. This trend is materialized in a slight expansion in developed countries. But above all because of the significant acceleration that can be generated from emerging markets. In this sense, some of its most relevant economies are expected to emerge from the recession. As an example, those represented by Brazil or Russia, as the best exponents of this economic reality.
It is precisely these markets that now have a greater potential to revalue. Although on the contrary, they have a greater risk in their operations. Because they are very sensitive to the fact that you can develop strong if they do not meet the expectations of a large number of equity market analysts. Because it is precisely these countries that have a much higher public debt. A factor that can harm you when opening positions in integrated securities in these financial markets.
Little travel on the national stock market
The Spanish equities have their goal in the 11.000 points. It is a very prudent scenario to which the reports of the most important investment groups point. Although it will be a path full of obstacles that you should not minimize from now on. Not in vain, you will have time to buy the shares at a more competitive price than the one quoted at the moment. For this reason, you should not rush your operations. If not, on the contrary, one of the keys will lie in knowing how to wait. If you do so, you will have excellent opportunities to make the savings profitable. Not only in the equity markets, but also the fixed income or even from alternative approaches of what you had not paid attention to until now.
In any case, the 11.000 point level is a very reasonable target if everything goes according to the economists' forecasts. Beyond these levels it would be more utopian and could only occur from a improvement in the international economy. On the contrary, it cannot be ruled out that in this period there is a worsening in the same that makes it unfeasible to reach these levels in the equities of our country. In any case, you should be very attentive to everything that happens during these twelve months that you have before the end of the year.
The areas where you can operate
One of the markets that should be present on your trading radar is undoubtedly the United States. Not surprisingly, it is one of those with a more mature cycle. But anyway, it can be one of the most positive surprises of this new year. As a consequence of its potential positive impact after the tax reform that has been promoted since the presidency of Donald Trump. Its effect can be discounted within the next few weeks. Among other reasons, because family economies and investors in general will have greater liquidity to take positions in equity markets.
With regard to the euro area, the most likely scenario is to continue with a solid growth rate. In this regard, you can help with the invaluable help of expansive support from the European Central Bank (ECB). To which we must add a control of inflation in this important geographical area. Although Spain may be influenced by signs of political instability that can weigh down the selective index of the national stock market. It will be one of the common denominators for this new year that is about to begin.
The surprise of the emerging
The role that emerging countries can play cannot be forgotten in any way. Not surprisingly, they are the ones that have a priori higher appreciation potential. Although at the cost of taking much more severe risks from now on. In this sense, it will be a very special year where several electoral events will take place (Brazil, Mexico ...). To which must be added the problem of high debt in China. These are factors that can ultimately condition the evolution of these equity markets as of January. Both in one sense and in other ways.
On the other hand, also the market for Russia It may come as some positive surprise during these months ahead. To the point that it can represent a real business opportunity. As long as the uptrend sets in on your major equity indices. With a margin to obtain benefits that can be very spectacular from now on. In any case, you will have no choice but to be very attentive to its evolution. Because it may be that at some point you have to abandon open positions this year.
Opt for defensive stocks
However, you can also employ a more defensive strategy that helps you protect your money. In this sense, nothing better than choosing the values of the electric sector. They are very stable and little by little they are developing a savings bag that can be directed to the medium and long term. In addition, it is one of the leading sectors in the distribution of dividends. With a fixed profitability that moves between 5% and 7%. It is a remuneration among the shareholders that is formalized annually, semi-annually or quarterly.
The banking sector is another of the alternatives to make this payment effective. Although from more aggressive approaches. However, it is one of the sectors recommended by some of the financial analysts for this specific period. They allude to the fact that they are currently trading with discounts on their prices as a result of the problems in this sector during 2017. In any case, it is another of the options that you should go to to make the savings profitable under a higher degree of demand.
International economy background
According to the investment fund Asset Allocation Global, there is no doubt that 2018 will bring good macroeconomic background. Within a context of economic growth that can be very positive for you to invest your money in the stock market. To all this is added the fact that there will be a normalization in monetary policies. Both on one side and the other of the Atlantic. Where one of the main effects that you will notice during these months ahead is a progressive withdrawal of economic stimuli. In the short term it can hurt you but in the long run it will have a regulatory effect on financial markets.
From a conjunctural scenario, it is not surprising that a good part of market analysts opt for equities over fixed income. However, it is a small risk that you will have to assume to increase the return on your savings in a more complex environment than in previous years. With some margins in the profitability that can approach 8%. A percentage that currently does not offer you any banking product. Since in the best of cases it does not exceed the level of 1,50%. In many cases, based on some connection with other banking products.