Change the investment strategy with the current scenario

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If there is a security that presents a buying position, it is none other than the national oil company Repsol. In particular, due to the help provided by the rise in the price of oil, which is already above the barrier of $ 80 a barrel. Although this trend can be broken at some point or another since nothing is eternal and much less the rises in the equity markets. In any case, Repsol shares are one of the most analyzed by the most famous financial analysts.

Of course, there is a clear one in the Spanish stock market and it is precisely that Repsol is one of the few stocks that present a very clear buying pressure. And of course, above the rest of the values ​​that make up the selective index of national equities, the Ibex 35. To the point that this listed oil company has achieved to break resistances significant beyond the power formed since 2007. With a possible escape and a sustained trend, as one of its main features from the point of view of technical analysis.

The share price can go even further depending on where it is go much further the price of crude. Not surprisingly, this will be one of your most notable keys to see how your evolution will be in the financial markets from now on. Because it is true that it has developed a significant bullish run since Repsol traded around 13 euros per share. But once it has broken the resistance ahead, anything can happen and therefore you have to be very attentive to what happens with this relevant stock market value.

Repsol: in the heat of oil

repsol

After the increase of last March, the next one is expected in June and an additional one in 4Q18 (total 3 increases of +25 basis points in 2018). After the recent rise in the price of crude oil, the market begins to discount a fourth rate hike in 2018. This is a conjunctural factor that underpins the evolution of black gold for the past few weeks. Although the key lies in whether this trend will continue from now on. Or if on the contrary, there will be a change in trend that could ruin your investment strategies.

On the other hand, it is very remarkable that the rise in the price of fuel and oil reaches its highest level since 2014. Globally, the price of crude oil continues to rise, due to fears of a drop in global supply due to US sanctions on Iran and the possible reduction in supply from Venezuela. In this sense, it is an opportunity that opens up to you so that you can make profitable savings from these precise moments.

A commodity on the rise

In any case, you cannot forget that black gold is one of the few financial assets found in a clearly bullish trend. And that from this position invites you to open positions in oil companies, such as Repsol. In this sense, Brent oil for delivery in July closed this Wednesday in the London futures market at 79,81 dollars a barrel, 0,27% more than at the close of the previous session.

On the other hand, European crude registered a slight increase after it was learned that US reserves increased last week by 5,8 million barrels, to 438,1 million, while experts anticipated a drop of 1,7 million barrels. From this scenario, it is not surprising that many small and medium investors have decided to open positions in Repsol. The current situation encourages the promotion of these decisions to be opened in the forums of small and medium investors. In a moment of great uncertainty on the part of financial markets variable income. In a reality that invades the buying positions at the moment with respect to this company listed on the Ibex 35.

Low yield on peripheral bonds

Without there is a great disadvantage of this scenario in the neighboring country it is undoubtedly the peripheral bond. Not only that from Italy, but also from Spain, Greece or even Portugal. Not surprisingly, these days they have seen a more than important withdrawal from purchases. Because they don't instill confidence on the part of investors. That in any case, they opt for the German bond as a synonym of security to make their savings profitable from now on. It cannot be forgotten that the 10-year German bund is the refuge for savers in the scenarios with the greatest doubts. As it may very well be this that we are analyzing in this article.

Of course, in these days or weeks you will have no choice but to flee from peripheral bonds to preserve your capital with certain guarantees of success. Beyond other technical considerations and maybe even from a fundamental point of view. In this sense, you cannot forget that there is a lot of money that you can leave yourself on the way if you opt for this kind of investments in fixed income. It is preferable that you even approach equities with some caution since at the moment it is a much safer investment than this class of very specific bonds.

Undervaluing the banking sector

benches

Within equities, there is a sector that is particularly sensitive to what is happening in Italy from a political point of view. And of course it is none other than the financial and banking sector since it is the most affected in a bearish environment by the stock markets. Not surprisingly, the interests of Spanish banks in Italy are very strong and it is not surprising that these days they have lost a lot of money in their positions. With a risk that falls may become more acute in the coming days. So that you are not immersed in undesirable scenarios for your personal interests, the best decision will be not to take positions in any bank. At least for now and until the first measures of the new Italian government are verified.

This may be the right time to rotate your securities portfolios. From the positions of banks to other listed ones that will exercise a more defensive strategy in bearish scenarios in the equity markets. Of course, it is the most effective alternative to navigate this scenario being integrated from equities. Without having to leave the financial markets for what may happen in Italy from now on.

Back to the usual products

saving

Another solution so that you do not get any other surprises in the next comes from the possibility of subscribing to banking products of a lifetime. Of course, the gains will not be very important, far from it. But at least it will help you not to lose a single euro during these troublesome months from the perspective of stability in Italy. To the extent that it can become an investment called a bridge that will serve to save the money until the conditions of the financial markets stabilize. This can last a few weeks or on the contrary extend more in time.

In any case, it will be very difficult for you to exceed profitability levels above 1%. But with the satisfaction that you will spend these next vacations in a calm and uneventful way about what may happen to the always complicated world of money. Of course, there is little you can achieve from today with the application of this strategy in investment so peculiar and defensive at the same time. Do not forget it as a possible action to make your savings profitable from now on.

Tips not to die trying

So that you do not have any problems with the management of your money, nothing better than following a series of recommendations that can be very useful in the current circumstances. Among which are the following that we expose below. Because it can help you make profitable operations in the financial markets.

  • Be much more cautious than in other periods of the year, where your decisions must be carried out with a greater dose of reflection.
  • Not for being more conservative you have to choose the fixed income since this option in the investment can generate more risks than in the variable.
  • It can be an excellent excuse to rest a little and in this way take advantage of the summer months to enjoy your favorite hobbies.
  • This is not the time to take risks, both in terms of fixed and variable income and this should not be forgotten at this time.
  • As always, it will also be a great opportunity for you to find authentic business opportunities that will undoubtedly emerge in these days. In some of the cases they are even a special strength and intensity.

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