Muvhiki yekupedzisira yaGunyana, mutengo wezvisina kuchena wakakwira nekungodarika 20% (Brent) uye 17% (West Texas) mushure memaminetsi ekutanga ekutengesa kuInternational Petroleum Exchange (IPE) muLondon. Mushure meSaudi Arabia, chechipiri pakakura mugadziri wegoridhe dema pasirese, akazivisa kudzikiswa mukugadzirwa kwekambani yemafuta yeSaudi Aramco ne50% mushure mekurwiswa nevapanduki veYemeni Houthi vachipesana neayo maviri ekuchenesa. Uye ivo vakaisa varidzi vepakati pakati pekufarira mukutengesa pamusika wemasheya mukutsvaga kwavo kuita kuti mari yavo ibatsire munguva pfupi.
Mupfungwa iyi, mutengo wemafuta asina kugadzirwa parizvino une nzvimbo yekutsigira iri pakati pe68-74 madhora pabhari, nepo sekushora tine nhungamiro inopfuura pamusoro pemazana matanhatu emadhora. Kunyangwe tichikwanisa kutaura nezve ingangoita shanduko muitiro isu tinoda mutengo kusvetuka pamusoro peiyi yekupedzisira kuramba. Kusiri kuve kure kwazvo nazvo semhedzisiro yekuchangobva kuitika kwechinhu ichi chakagadzirwa. Kusvika pakuti iri pasi pegumi muzana mukugadziriswa kwemitengo yayo.
Kana iyi yekupedzisira mamiriro ezvinhu akaitika, hapana mubvunzo kuti mitsva uye yakakosha mikana yebhizinesi yakaonekwa. Inomiririrwa nemamwe emakambani emafuta akakosha kwazvo pasi, senge iri mune chaiyo kesi ye Repsol, Exxon uye BP. Idzi sarudzo nhatu dzinogona kuve dzinonakidza kwazvo kana mutengo wegoridhe dema uchikwira mumazuva anouya nekuda kwechero mamiriro ezvinhu. Asi ivo vanogona kuita zvirinani kupfuura mamwe maitiro kubva zvino zvichienda mberi, sekureba sekunge ivo vachiperekedzwa nekukwira kwemutengo wezvisina kuchena.
Repsol, Exxon uye BP: zvinogona
Chimwe chezvinhu zvekutarisa nezve aya mafuta chikamu kukosha ndechekuti ivo havachisiri kuita mune yakajairika mutsara webhizinesi. Kana zvisiri, pane kudaro, ivo vari kusarudza mamodheru anovandudzwa kuti aenderane nenguva nyowani. Ichi chinhu nenzira inogona kukubatsira kunatsiridza yako mutengo mutengo. munguva yepakati nepakati. Asi kune rimwe divi, ivo vanogona kudzora kukwira mune chiitiko chekukwira kunoshamisa mumutengo wegoridhe nhema. Chombo chemitambo miviri icho varimari vadiki nepakati vanozofanira kugara nacho segore rinouya.
Chimwe chinhu chinofanirwa kukosheswa paRapsol, Exxon neBP ndechekuti vanga vachichengeta pasi pemutengo wakaderera kwazvo. Pasina zvinotyisa sezvazvaive zvakajairwa mune dzimwe nguva dzezvakaitika. Mune mamwe mazwi, ivo vanopa yakaderera nhanho yekusagadzikana uye izvi zvinogara zviri nhau dzakanaka kune zvido zvevashambadzi vadiki nepakati. Zvirinani izvo zvinopa nguva yakareba yekugara mukudyara kwavo uye ndiko kuti, shure kwezvose, izvo zvavanoshandisa marongero avo ekudyara. Mune ino pfungwa, kurasikirwa kushoma kwakakura kunogona kutarisirwa kupfuura kune mamwe makore.
Kusiyanisa mari yekudyara
Chinangwa chekuisa izvi zvekuchengetedzeka mune inotevera investfolio portfolio iri muchokwadi chekuti pamutsago kurasikirwa izvo zvinogona kugadzirwa kubva pazvinzvimbo zvavo. Tinogona kusarudza izvi zvekuchengetedzwa kwechikamu chakabatana nemafuta asina kucherwa pamwe nezvimwe zvirevo mumisika yemari kuyedza kusiyanisa mari. Ndokunge, kuzvidzivirira kubva kumafambiro asingadiwe mumusika wemasheya uye kuti pasina kupokana anogona kusvika mumazuva mashoma anotevera kana mavhiki. Naizvozvo, zvinokurudzirwa kuti usaise mari mune imwe chengetedzo, asi zvinopesana, zvakanakisa kugadzira tswanda inokwezva yezvikamu zvinowirirana. Ndokunge, ivo havasi vanobva kune imwechete stock market chikamu, asi kubva kune akati wandei uye ehunhu hwakasiyana.
Mukati meichi chirevo chizere, Repsol, Exxon neBP zvinogona kuve zvirevo chaizvo zvakapihwa mukana wekuti mutengo wemafuta unogona kuenda kumatunhu akakwirira e $ 90 dhiramu. Izvo zvaizopa kukurudzira kukuru kune yedu portfolio yekudyara, kunyangwe hazvo njodzi mukuita iri yakati kwirei. Asi zvakakodzera kuti uedze nekuti iyi imari yemari iyo iwe yaunofanirwa kuiswa kubva zvino zvichienda mberi. Nekuda kwesimba rekukura rainaro uye iro rakakwirira kupfuura mune mamwe mafaera emari. Sezvo zvave zviri zvechivanhu mumakore achangopfuura, sezvaungaona mumitengo yayo yenhoroondo.
Makambani emafuta ane geolocations
Hapana mubvunzo kuti vatatu veRapsol, Exxon neBP izano rakanaka rebhizinesi, zvirinani musimboti. Asi inofanira kuzadzikiswa nezvimwe zvirevo zvinogona kubatsira zvikuru kubva zvino zvichienda mberi. Chimwe chazvo chinobva kuzvivigiro zvinogovera mugove pakati pevachagovani vane rupo kwazvo, nemaratio anofamba munzvimbo dzinoenda 5% kusvika 8%. Saka kuti nenzira iyi, kune avhareji kudyara kwe10.000 euros, chiyero chemubhadharo wepakati pe600 euros pagore inogona kuwanikwa uye kuvimbiswa. Kuti ivo vanoshandira kuvimbisa iyo inogona kurasikirwa iyo inogona kukura mune idzo mari.
Rimwe zano raizoenderana nekutarisa mamwe maitiro ekudzivirira cutoff kuti ivo vanokwanisa kutevedzera chinzvimbo chekuchengetedzeka kwenzvimbo dzakatarisana nezviitiko zvakanyanya kushata zvemisika yemari. Nedziviriro huru pazvinzvimbo zvedu mumusika wemasheya uye izvo pasina mubvunzo zvinopa chengetedzo huru kune yedu mari yatakaisa mari. Hazvishamise kuti, ndeavo izvo parizvino vanopa kusagadzikana zvakanyanya maererano nemusiyano uripo pakati pemitengo yavo yepamusoro nepashoma. Kunze kwerubatsiro rwavanogona kupa chero nguva yakapihwa, uye izvo zvinogona kuve zvakakwira kana kudzikira zvinoenderana nezvakawanda zvinowaniswa pamusika wemasheya.
Kambani yenyika kana yepasi rose yemafuta
Imwe yekiyi dzekumisikidza kutengwa kwemasheya nevatatu vakaumbwa naRapsol, Exxon neBP kuziva uye kunyatsojekesa pane zvatinoda. Kana, kune rumwe rutivi, tikasarudza makambani emafuta munzvimbo yedu yepedyo kana kana, nekusiyana, tichizadzika isu pachedu mukudyidzana kwenyika dzepasi rose. Pane mazano maviri, ese ari maviri anoshanda, anokwanisika kuita kubva zvino uye kuti chete nhoroondo yedu sevashambadzi vadiki nepakati vanowana mhinduro kwayo mune sarudzo yekudyara mumusika wemasheya. Kunyangwe uchiziva kuti ese ari mareferenzi sosi mukati meye nhema chikamu chegoridhe.
Panyaya iyi, uye zvine chekuita neRepsol, zvinofanirwa kucherechedzwa kuti iyi kambani nevamwe vayo Vakatanga kuburitsa mafuta muBuckskin, munda wakadzika wemvura muUS Gulf yeMexico. Chekutanga kugadzirwa, icho chakarongerwa kupera kwegore rino, chave chakasimudzwa mwedzi mishoma uye inosvika makumi matatu emabhiramu emafuta pazuva. Mune chirongwa ichi Repsol nevamwe vayo vakawana kudzikisira mutengo we60% zvichienzaniswa nechirongwa chekutanga chekuvandudza. Chingave chiri chimwe chikonzero chekutora zvinzvimbo muRepsol kukuvadza vakwikwidzi vayo mune ino simba chikamu.
Mafuta ari kunanga kupi?
Uyu mubvunzo wemubvunzo wemamirioni emadhora kune chikamu chakanaka chevashambadzi vadiki nepakati kubvira zvichibva pane iyi data, zvinzvimbo zvicha torwa kana kusazotorwa mune mamwe ehunhu hwakataurwa. Zvinofungidzirwa kuti munguva pfupi ivo vanozokwanisa kudaro pamusoro pe $ 85 dhiramu. Dai zvaive nenzira iyi, hapana mubvunzo kuti ichave basa rinobatsira kwazvo munguva pfupi nepakati. Iine mukana chaiwo wekuwana purofiti pane mafambiro ari pakati pe10% ne20%. Izvo ndezve purofiti yakakwirira kupfuura mazhinji eakakosha kukosha yemakambani makuru emusika wemasheya, kuSpain nekunze kwemiganhu yedu.
Kune rimwe divi, chero chinhu chisina kuchena pazasi pemadhora makumi matanhatu chingave nhau dzakaipisisa kune vanoita mari. Kwete chete nekuti ivo havazokwanise kuita kuti mashandiro abatsire, asi nekusiyana ivo vanogona kuwira mukurasikirwa mune yavo yekudyara portfolio. Kubva pane ino maonero, zvakakosha kuti tizive zvinoitika nemafuta asina kugadzirwa kuti tizive chinzvimbo chatinofanira kutora kubva panguva dzino chaidzo. Iko isu tese tinoziva kuti kutenga nekutengesa masheya pamusika wekutengesa ndiyo iyo sarudzo inosarudzwa nechikamu chakanaka chevashambadziri kuti kuchengetedza kwavo kubatsire. Asi mune iyi nyaya chaiyo, tichitarisa kubatana kukuru kunowanikwa nemakambani aya akanyorwa nekushanduka kweichi chakakosha zvigadzirwa zvepasi rose.
Izvo zvinodawo kusiyanisa pakati pekudyara kwakanangana nepfupi izwi uye neiya yakanangana nematemu akareba ekugara. Uye mune izvo zviitiko, ivo vachada kurapwa kwakasiyana zvakasiyana kubva pakutanga. Nekuda kwekusagadzikana kukuru uko ino yehupfumi yemari yekushaiwa kukuru munharaunda inoratidza mumakore achangopfuura uye kuti padiki kana pamwero mukuru inogona kuona mhindu inotevera. Mune chikamu chinoshanda kwazvo mumakore achangopfuura. Zvinofungidzirwa kuti munguva pfupi ivo vanozokwanisa kudaro pamusoro pe $ 85 dhiramu.