Pakapera mwedzi zvatakanga takamirira kwemwedzi yakawanda kudaro zvakabva zvasimbiswa. Chikuru upfumi hwenyika hwaderera unyanzvi. Asi kuderera uku kunotaridzika kwakasiyana kubva kune yekupedzisira, iyo Dambudziko rezvemari pasi rose ra2008-09 uye zvichida pane data inogona kutibatsira kusiyanisa zvose zviri zviviri ... Saka nhasi tichaona ne 5 data kuti sei kuderera uku kuchakanganisa mari yedu mumatokisi zvakasiyana uye nei zvakakosha.
1. Inflation. 🎈
Zvishoma nezvishoma zvave zvichiisa dzvinyiriro kumatunhu ose enyika, uye nokuda kwekudyara muzvikamu zveupfumi hukurusa munyika kwanga kusiri kuzova kushoma. Inflation muUS yakakwira kusvika pa8,5% pamwedzi wapfuura. Parizvino padyo nepamusoro pemakumi mana emakore. Isu tiri vanopfuura kaviri yeavhareji ye2008 (3,8%). Pamusoro pezvo, inflation yaive munzvimbo isina kunaka kweakawanda a2009, zvichireva kuti zvikamu zvevatengi zvaitambura.
Inflation yakakwira zvakanyanya nhasi pane panguva yekuputsika kwa2008. Source: BBC.
2. Basa.👷🏼
The flip side of the current pain pain inflation situation ndeyekuti musika wevashandi weUS urikuenda kubva pakusimba uchienda kune simba, nekushaikwa kwemabasa pa3,5% munyika yose, pedyo nemakore gumi nemashanu. Kune rimwe divi, panguva yekuparara kwa2008, kushaikwa kwemabasa kwakawedzera zvakapetwa kaviri, kusvika pagumi muzana muna 10 uye kusara pa2009% kusvika Ndira 8.
Kushaikwa kwemabasa kwadzikira nhasi pane panguva yekuparara kwa2008. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
3. Hutano hwezvikamu zvevatengi.🛒
Kukwira kwakadzikama kwemutengo wehupenyu uye kuderera kwehunyanzvi kuri kuremera kuvimba kwevatengi nhasi, asi vatengi vari muchimiro chiri nani kupfuura panguva yekuputsika kwa2008. Nzira yakanaka yekuyera hutano hwevatengi ndeyekutarisa nhamba yekutadza pachikwereti. makadhi. Zvese zvakatanga kukura zvakanyanya muna 2006 na2007 uye zvakaramba zvakakwirira kwemakore akati wandei, kunyangwe mushure mekunyanya kuderera kwehupfumi. Parizvino, hazviratidzike sekunge takatarisana nemamiriro akafanana.
Nhamba yezvisizvo pamakadhi echikwereti yakaderera zvikuru nhasi. Kwakabva: Bhodhi reMagavhuna eFederal Reserve System (US).
4. Dzimba.🏘️
Zvinopera pasina kutaura kuti mamiriro ezvinhu epanguva ino yemusika weimba yakasiyana zvikuru neyekuputsika kwe2008, kunyanya sezvo dambudziko racho rakakonzerwa nechikamu nekuputsika kwemusika wekutengesa. Kare kumashure, mitengo yeimba yakatanga kuwira mukutanga kwe 2006. Nhasi tiri kuona humwe kushaya simba mukudiwa mudzimba, asi kusvika ikozvino zviyero zvakakura zvenyika zvemitengo yeimba hazvina kutanga kuwira .
Real estate market mitengo inoramba yakasimba nhasi. Kunobva: MHVillage.
5. Kushomeka.🚫
Mukudonha kwese kwese kwaive nechiitiko chairatidza kutanga; kushomeka, asi nenzira dzakasiyana kwazvo. Munguva yekuparara kwegore ra2008, nyika yakange yanyanya kunetseka nekushaikwa kwemari. Mamiriro acho ezvinhu akaparara sezvo makasitoma akaparara, mabhanga akapinda mudambudziko, uye dzimwe hurumende dzakanga dzisingakwanisi kuita mitoro yadzo yemari. Nhasi zvakasiyana, pane kushomeka kwezvinhu zvekugadzira, kubva kune semiconductor chikamu kusvika kune simba chikamu.
Izvi zvese zvinorevei pakudzoreredzwa kwemitengo yekudyara kwemasheya? 🤷♂️
Misiyano pakati pekuderera kwehupfumi uye kwegore ra2008 ndiyo inonyanya kukosha pachikamu cheFederal Reserve. Iyo Federal Reserve, kune chikamu chayo, ine mabasa maviri, kuchengetedza basa rakakwirira uye inflation yakaderera uye yakagadzikana. Munguva yekuputsika kwa2008, kushaikwa kwemabasa uye inflation kwakawedzera, iyo yekupedzisira yakatoenda isina kunaka kune vazhinji ve2009. Izvi zvinoreva kuti Federal Reserve yaive nekwaniso yekucheka mhindu kuti isimudzire hupfumi pasina kunetseka nezvekukwira kwekudya.
Mamiriro acho akasiyana zvachose pamari yemubereko yeUS. Source: TradingEconomics.
Nhasi, mamiriro acho haana kukanganisa kuisa mari mumasheya nenzira imwecheteyo. Kushaikwa kwemabasa kuri padanho rakaderera muinoda kusvika hafu yezana ramakore, nepo inflation ichiri pedyo nepamusoro-makumi mana emakore yakakwira muzhizha rino. Izvi zvinosunga maoko eFed, zvichiimanikidza kuti ienderere mberi nechisimba ichikwidza mhindu kusvikira inflation yakwira. Saka, nepo Fed yadzikira panguva yekuparara kwa2008 yakabatsira kusimudzira hupfumi uye kurwisa kudzikira, bhanga guru reUS riri kuita zvakapesana panguva yekuderera kwehunyanzvi hwazvino. Uye iyo mibairo yakakwirira inogona kuwedzera kuderera kwehupfumi. Nyaya yacho inowedzerwa nekushaikwa kwezvinhu zvekugadzira. Mari dzemhindu dzepamusoro dzinoshanda mukutonhodza kukwira kwemitengo kunokonzerwa nekudiwa kwevatengi kwakasimba, asi hazvina zvazvinoita kurwisa inflation kunokonzerwa nekushomeka kwezvekushandisa, kunyanya kushomeka kweoiri negasi rechisikigo izvo zvinokwidza mitengo yemagetsi.
Mhando dzematambudziko mumaketani ekugovera. Kunobva: Dave Poland.
Ndiko kuti, zvishandiso zveFed hazvibatsiri pakubata nemamiriro ehupfumi aripo. Izvi zvinopesana nedambudziko ra2008, uko kwaive nekushomeka kwemari kare ikako, uye zvakaitwa neFed (kudzikisa mitengo nekutenga mabhondi akawanda) zvakabatsira kuigadzirisa nekuzadza hupfumi nehupfumi (kureva, mari).
Mukati medambudziko remuna 2008 ndipo apo US yakatanga kufashama hupfumi nehupfumi. Kunobva: Forbes.
Rutivi rwakanaka nderokuti mazuvano mashoma emakadhi echikwereti akaderera, pamwe chete nemitengo yemusika wemidziyo inoramba yakagadzikana, zvinoreva kuti pane njodzi shoma yekudzokororwa kwezvikwereti zvese zvechikwereti zvakaitika panguva yedambudziko remari.2008, izvo zvakapotsa zvakonzera kuparara hurongwa hwemari pasi rose.