Dambudziko remagetsi reGermany rakachinja mwedzi wapera mushure mekunge hurumende yasimudza mwero wengozi yegesi yenyika kusvika pachikamu che "alarm". Izvi zvinoturikira sechinhu chinokonzeresa chiri pamhene chinogona kukonzeresa chikamu chekupedzisira che "emergence". Gadzirira mibairo mikuru yehupfumi hweGerman, pamwe nevakundi vatsva vanozogadzirwa mukudyara musimba remagetsi.
Chii chinogona kukonzera chikamu che "emergency"?🚨
Germany inoramba ichitsamira kuRussia kweinopfuura chikamu chimwe muzvitatu chegasi rayo. Yakatangisa chikamu chekutanga che "yambiro yepakutanga" munaKurume, ichigadzirira kuchekwa kwekutengesa mushure mekunge Russia yadaidzira kuti ibhadharwe mumaruble. Kuchekwa uku kwakauya mwedzi wapfuura mushure mekunge Gazprom yadzikisa kutakurwa kuburikidza nepombi yegesi yeNord Stream ne60%. Ichi chiyero chakatungamira Germany kukwidza gasi njodzi nhanho kune "alarm" chikamu.
Zvikamu zveGermany gasi emergency emergency plan. Kunobva: Bloomberg
Russia yakagadzirira kuvhara pombi yegesi yeNord Stream kuti igadziriswe kwemazuva gumi kutanga Chikunguru 11. Asi vakuru vakuru veGerman vanotya kuti Russia ichatora mukana webasa rakarongwa rekugadzirisa kudzima matepi zvachose. Chiitiko ichi chaizosiya upfumi hukuru hweEurope husina manyuko makuru egasi. Neiyi nzira, Germany yaizomisa yechitatu uye yepamusoro nhanho ye "emergency", izvo zvaizoreva kudzora kwenyika kugovera. Mune mamwe mazwi, gasi rationing.
Ndivanaani vakarasikirwa muchiitiko ichi?😭
Vatengi veGerman🛒
Vagari vekuGermany vakatarisana nemukana wekusiiwa vasina magetsi negasi kumagetsi uye kupisa dzimba dzavo. Mabhiri ekushandisa anogona zvakare kukwira, achiisa dhiji mumari yaunowana. Uye hurumende yeGermany iri kuronga mutemo mutsva waizoparadzira mutengo wezvose zviri kukwira mitengo yesimba uye kununurwa kwemakambani emagetsi asina mari (akadai se Kubatana) Asi izvo, mukuru wemubatanidzwa gasi network agency akayambira kuti mitengo yevatengi inogona kupeta katatu kana Russia ikamisa zvachose kutumirwa kuburikidza nepombi yegesi yeNord Stream.
Kushanduka kwemitengo yegesi muEurope. Kunobva: 20 Maminitsi
Gurukota rezvehupfumi reGerman rakayambira kuti nhanho dzeRussia dzekudzikisa gasi rechisikigo kuEurope dzinogona kukonzera domino mhedzisiro inogona kudzikisa musika wegasi. mari mumagetsi emagetsi, achitaura nezvemamiriro ezvinhu eLehman Brothers sechinhu chinokonzera dambudziko rezvemari. Kumisa zvachose kutumirwa kwegasi papombi yeNord Stream ndiko kwaizove kwekutanga domino hombe kudonha.
Kudonha kweLehman Brothers ndiko kwakakonzera dambudziko ra2008. Kwakabva: Pinterest
indasitiri yeGerman🏗️
Gasi rakakosha kune akawanda maindasitiri maitiro, sekugadzira makemikari, mishonga, simbi uye fetiraiza, pakati pezvimwe. Kambani yeGerman BASF, mugadziri mukuru wemakemikari muEurope, nguva pfupi yadarika yakataura kuti haizove nechisarudzo kunze kwekucheka kugadzirwa kana gasi rinopihwa rikadzikiswa, uye zvinokwanisika kubatanidzwa nemamwe makambani mazhinji emaindasitiri ayo, pamwe chete, anobatsira zvakanyanya kuhupfumi hweGerman. production.
Upfumi hweGermany💶
Hupfumi hweGerman hwaizorohwa zvakanyanya nekudzikira kukuru mumabasa emaindasitiri uye kushandisa mari kwevatengi. Girafu iri pazasi inoratidza fungidziro yebhanga guru reGerman rekurasikirwa kungangoitika kuhupfumi nekuda kwekuderedzwa kwekugadzirwa, zvichiratidza kuti hupfumi hwenyika hunogona kudonha ne8,6% muchikamu chekutanga cha2023, kudonha kwaizowira mukudonha kwakanyanya. munhau yazvino uno.
Iyo inogoneka gasi gasi inogona kukanganisa zvakanyanya kufungidzira kweGerman GDP kukura. Kunobva: Bloomberg
Ndivanaani vakakunda muchiitiko ichi?🏆
Mamwe magwenya emagetsi anobatidzwa nemarasha ari kutangwa patsva kuGermany nedzimwe nyika dzemuEurope, mushure mekunge European Union yapa mwenje wegirini kunyika dziri nhengo kuti dzipise marasha akawanda kugadzirisa dambudziko remagetsi. Izvi zvinogona kukwidza mutengo wemarasha zvakanyanya, zvichipa mhepo kumakambani emigodhi yemarasha akadai Arch Resources (ARCH) uye Peabody Energy (BTU) muUnited States, Glencore (GLEN) muEurope uye China Shenhua Energy (601088), China Marasha Simba (601898), Adaro Energy (ADRO), Whitehaven Coal (WHC) uye Marasha India (COALINDIA) muAsia.
Asi marasha ingori mhinduro yenguva pfupi, uye muhwina chaiye wenguva refu iAmerican liquefied natural gas (LNG). Iko kunetsana kwaita kuti makambani eEurope asaine zvibvumirano zvenguva refu zveLNG, kunyanya vatengesi vekuAmerica. Electricité de France ichangobva kuburitsa nyoro yekuitenga kubva muna 2023, mutengesi mukuru weAmerica, Cheniere Energy, yakapa mwenje wakasvibira kukuwedzera kweiyo terminal muTexas, Chevron yakavhara zvibvumirano zviviri zvemakore makumi maviri ekutenga nekutengesa neVenture Global LNG, uye hofori yemakemikari Chikuru uye kambani yeGermany RWE vakazivisa zvakasiyana LNG zvibvumirano nazvo Sempra Energy.
LNG inoda fungidziro yekukura kwemakore gumi anotevera. Kunobva: Bloomberg
Zviri pachena kuti kuisa mari mumatokisi muchikamu cheLNG kuchaona kuwedzera kwehuwandu hwavo. American LNG yave kutoyerera kuenda kuEurope mumarekodhi sezvo mitengo iri mudunhu ichipfuura iyo iri muAsia, asi haisati yakwana kuzadzisa zvinodiwa. Maererano neBloomberg New Energy Finance, kudiwa kwepasi rose kweLNG kuchawedzera 18,4% muna 2026 kana ichienzaniswa nemazinga 2021. Kukura ikoko kuchatungamirirwa neEurope, nepo kuwedzera kwekupa kunobva kuUnited States. Makambani akanakisa akamisikidzwa kuita mari yedu mumasheya mu musika uchibudirira zveLNG ndizvo Royal Dutch Shell (SHEL), Cheniere Energy (LNG) uye Sempra Energy (SRE) ichabatsirwa nekuwedzera uku kwekuda.