Shekarar 2017 tana gab da kammalawa, da zarar an gama ta, zai yiwu a yi tunani a kan Tattalin arzikin Spain A wannan matakin, abin da ya faru da kuma yadda wannan shekara ta ƙare a wannan batun; illolinta, yaya ya girma, me ya faru da aikin yi, gibin jama'a, da sauransu. Wasu girma abubuwan tattalin arziki na tattalin arziki irin su GDP da kuma Rashin aikin yi, za su ba mu mahimman bayanai don nazari daban-daban.
Muna shirye don kimantawa, azaman taƙaitawa, game da abin da aka tsara da kuma kimantawa na waɗannan watanni goma sha biyu. Za mu gabatar da tsinkaya da aka bayar kafin da bayan farkon shekara.
Ta wannan hanyar, zamu sami bayanai tare da karfin fuskantar gaskiya, da zarar shekara ta 2017 ta wuce.
Ba mu da niyyar tabbatar da abin da ya faru da gaske, sai dai abin da kungiyoyi da hukumomi da masana suka fada kuma suka kiyasta. Wani abu da yake gab da tabbatarwa idan shekara ta kare.
A cikin 2015, da Cibiyar Nazarin Tattalin Arziki an tsara shi yana mai cewa shekarar 2017 zata kasance wani juyi ga tattalin arzikin Sifen. Ya ci gaba da cewa abin da ya taimaki tattalin arzikin wannan shekarar zai cutar da shi a shekarar 2017.
IEE ya bayyana a wancan lokacin cewa tattalin arzikin Sifen ya gabatar da ƙarfin haɓaka fadadawa, wani abu mai fa'ida na ɗan lokaci, amma cewa a cikin shekara ta 2017 za a fara zagaye na sama na ƙimar riba da farashin albarkatun ƙasa. Kusan babban ɓangare na haɓakar GDP ta Spain ya kasance ne saboda arha ɗin rahusa, musamman mai, da ƙasar ke buƙatar shigo da shi.
A cikin 2016, da yawa manazarta masu zaman kansu da kungiyoyin ƙasa da ƙasa sun bayyana cewa duk da matsaloli masu yawa da ke akwai, Spain za ta ci gaba da kasancewa ƙasar da za ta ci gaba sosai a cikin 2017, idan aka kwatanta da manyan tattalin arziƙin Turai.
Domin wannan shekara 2017 da (GDP) - Samun Kayan Gida, Gwamnatin Spain ta kiyasta shi a miliyan 1.137, haɓaka ta 2.5%. Kimanin adadin marasa aikin yi ya kai miliyan 4.3. Kimanta yawan marasa aikin yi a 18.9
Yayin da cigaban wannan shekara ya ci gaba, da yawa manazarta a jere a jere sun ɗaga tsammanin ci gaban su ko hasashen tattalin arziƙin ƙasar Spain idan aka kwatanta da hasashen da ya gabata. Wannan ya faru tsakanin wasu batutuwa yayin da aka ci gaba da ƙirƙirar aikin kuma fitarwa ta nuna kyakkyawan canji.
A cikin 2016, masana da yawa sun yi hasashen cewa GDP zai jinkirta zuwa kusan aya kuma ya ba da dalilai masu ƙarfi don wannan taron, halin da ake ciki na "Brexit" a Kingdomasar Ingila da matsalolin wucin gadi da ke cikin Gwamnatin Spain.
Duk da wadannan alamu, hasashe a cikin wannan ma'anar, tuni ya fara shekara, ya nuna babban yuwuwar samun ci gaban tattalin arziki wanda ya fi na 2016, wanda yake (3.2%) kuma akwai wasu dalilan da suka sa wannan taron ya faru, ƙarfin motsi watakila ba haka bane ake tsammani a aikin yi da saka jari.
Bari muyi nazarin tsinkayen wasu hukumomi, masana da kungiyoyi
A cikin shekarar 2017, kungiyoyin duniya daban-daban kamar su Hukumar Turai da IMF (Asusun ba da Lamuni na Duniya) da ma wasu 'yan ƙasa, suna ta ƙarin hasashen nasu. Misali, OECD a farkon watan Yuni ya kara kimanta GDP zuwa 2.8%.
A watan Yuli IMF ta sake duba karuwar GDP zuwa 3.1% a wannan shekara (daga 2.6% a da).
La Hukumar Turai ya bayyana ra'ayinsa cewa Spain ma za ta gaza kan gibin a shekarar 2017. Luis de Guindos, Ministan Tattalin Arziki, ya ce a lokacin cewa gibin jama'a zai kasance kasa da kashi 3% na GDP a wannan shekara, kodayake Hukumar Tarayyar Turai ta sanya alkaluman a 3.1 % a cikin bazarar bazara.
Guindos ya kuma ba da tabbacin cewa "banda lalacewa, zai yi matukar wahala ga Spain ta bunkasa kasa da 2.7" a wannan shekara, lura da ci gaban da aka riga aka tabbatar da shi na 3.4 a farkon kwata, kamar yadda Cibiyar Nazarin Statididdiga ta (asa (INE) ta bayyana.
Majalisar Tattalin Arziki ta yi kimantawa a farkon kwata na shekara kuma ta nuna cewa tattalin arzikin Spain zai haɓaka da kashi 2.7%.
Hukumar Turai
A cikin watan Mayu, da Ofishin Tarayyar Turai Ya ce ci gaban tattalin arzikin Spain ya fi na sauran kasashen Turai. Ya kirga cewa tattalin arzikin zai bunkasa 2.8% a wannan shekarar.
Ya yi nuni da cewa za a samar da ayyukan yi mai karfi, duk da cewa rashin aikin yi zai yi sama da na sauran kasashen yankin. Ya ce rarar kasafin kudi za ta kare a bana da kashi 3.2% na GDP, yana mai yin tsokaci kan gibin da aka samu a asusun gwamnati.
Wararren Panelwararraki
A farkon shekara, bisa ga kwamitin fiye da masana Sipaniya sama da 350, manajoji da 'yan kasuwa da PwC ta shirya; yanayin tattalin arziki a Spain ya kasance mai kyau, kuma sun ce wannan halin zai ci gaba har zuwa ƙarshen shekara, sakamakon kyakkyawan yanayi mai kyau a cikin amfani, fitarwa, yanayin kuɗi ga kamfanoni da mutane, da sauran masu canji masu kyau kamar aikin yi da kuma saka jari mai amfani.
47.6% na waɗanda aka bincika sunyi la'akari da cewa amfani da iyali zai zama yana ƙaruwa a shekara. Kashi 55.2% sun yi hasashen cewa bukatar gidaje za ta karu. Kashi 66.7% sun kiyasta cewa samar da ayyukan yi zai ci gaba da karuwa, kashi 59% sun yi amannar cewa wani abu makamancin haka zai faru da fitarwa kuma kashi 48.6% ya ce hakan zai faru tare da saka jari mai amfani.
Wadannan masana sunyi magana game da bangaren yawon bude ido kasancewar shine zai jagoranci ci gaban kasar, kaso 91.2% daga cikinsu suna da wannan ra'ayi.
'Yan kwamitin sun tabbatar da cewa aikin yi zai bunkasa a bangarori kamar yawon bude ido da gine-gine, wadanda al'adun gargajiya ne; amma kuma hakan zai kasance yana yin shi a cikin bangarori masu tasowa kamar kiwon lafiya, sufuri da kayan aiki, al'adu, da dai sauransu.
Suna tsammanin sakamako mara kyau, game da kawar da ayyuka ga harkar kudi da inshora.
Bank of Spain
Bankin Spain ya yi la’akari a cikin Afrilu cewa hauhawar farashi za ta kasance mai kyau a cikin 2017, wannan saboda canjin farashin mai. An yi tsammanin farashin wannan samfurin ya daidaita a cikin sauran shekara, yana taimakawa rage jinkirin CPI. Ya kuma yi tsammanin ci gaban aikin yi a cikin adadi mai yawa, wanda zai haifar da wadataccen riba.
Binciken Bbva
A watan Agusta 2016, da Sabis ɗin bincike na BBVA Ya ce a shekara mai zuwa tattalin arzikin Spain zai yi kasa saboda tasirin "Brexit" a kansa, kuma hakan zai sa ta ci kashi hudu cikin goma na ci gaban.
Sun yi tsokaci a lokacin cewa yanayin rauni na tattalin arzikin Sifen yana ƙaruwa kuma yawancin abubuwa sun yi tsammanin karkatar da hankali a cikin 2017. Sun yi hasashen ci gaban na 2.3% na wannan shekarar.
Baya ga "Brexit", sun tabbatar da cewa kasancewar rashin tabbas game da manufofin kuɗi da wasu matakan kuɗi, ya sanya su matsakaici game da tsammanin na 2017.
A cikin wannan binciken na 2016, sun ce abin da ke tantancewa yayin bayyana abubuwan ci gaban ya ci gaba da kasancewa amfanin gida.
A wancan lokacin, sun yi hasashen cewa za a samu ƙaruwa game da samar da guraben aikin yi kusan 800.000 na ayyuka kuma za a iya rage adadin rashin aikin yi zuwa kusan 18.2%
Tuni a cikin 2017, BBVA yana da bege game da ingantaccen canjin tattalin arzikin Spain. Sun zo ne don hango karuwar GDP har zuwa 3% a wannan shekara, kasancewar ƙididdigar fata.
Sun ce ci gaban tattalin arzikin a kasar ba zai kasance daidai ba ta hanyar al'ummomi masu cin gashin kansu. Tsibirin Balearic a matsayin al'ummar da za ta fi ƙaruwa a wannan shekara, sai kuma Canary Islands da Madrid, Andalusia da Castilla-La Mancha.
Sun kiyasta cewa al'ummomi masu cin gashin kansu guda tara zasu bunkasa kasa da matsakaita na kasa, mafi koma baya a bayan Asturias, Cantabria da Extremadura.
FUNCAS - Asusun Banki na Asusun
A watan Mayu na wannan shekara, da Asusun Banki na Asusun (Funcas) ya kuma yi hasashen tattalin arziki. An kiyasta karuwar GDP da kashi 2.8%, yana mai cewa yankuna huɗu masu cin gashin kansu da zasu fi ƙaruwa zasu kasance Madrid, Tsubirin Balearic, Catalonia da Galicia.
Dangane da rashin aikin yi da kirkirar sabbin ayyuka, ya ba da kimanin dubu 450.000 sabbin mukaman aiki, wanda hakan zai rage yawan marasa aikin yi zuwa kashi 17.5%.
Game da gibin gudanarwar jama'a, ya kammala da cewa cigaban tattalin arzikin kasar akan lokaci yakamata ya bada damar raguwarsa, amma bawai ya hadu da kashi 3.1% na GDP wanda aka amince dashi da Brussels ba.
AIReF - Hukuma mai zaman kanta don ɗaukar nauyi
Wannan kwayar ta yi hasashen ci gaban tattalin arziki na 3.2%, wannan yana nuni ne da kashi biyu cikin goma fiye da na Gwamnati (+ 3%). Hasashen ci gaban GDP ya kasance a 0.85% a cikin kwata na uku da 0.81% na huɗu.
Game da tattalin arzikin Sifen, a cikin wannan kusan ƙarshen 2017, mun taƙaita wasu hasashen da aka yi kafin farkon shekara da bayan ta fara.
Sannan zai yiwu a iya kwatanta abin da masana suka lissafa kuma suka lissafa da ainihin abin da ya gudana a cikin waɗannan watanni goma sha biyu, batun da za a bincika tare da zurfafawa don isa ga ƙarshe.