Beingungiyar Tarayyar Turai da Amurka ta Yarjejeniyar Ciniki, wacce ke da nufin haɗa ƙasashen biyu tattalin arziki, ana kasancewa tattaunawa a asirce, gaskiyar da ta haifar da tsoro da fushi tsakanin 'yan ƙasa da yawa, a cikin Amurka da Turai. Ana jin tsoro bambancin da cewa dokokin al'umma na iya yin gwaji tare da manufar sauƙaƙa musayar tsakanin bangarorin biyu. Hakanan ana jin tsoron cewa sakamakon hakan, zai karu rashin aikin yiSabanin haka, masu ba da shawara na TTIP suna hasashen ci gaban rayuwa ga 'yan asalin Turai.
Har zuwa yanzu, bayanin yana da yawa, duka na gaba da gaba, kuma warwatse. Amma kwanan nan, Jeromin capaldo, mai bincike daga Tufts jami'a yayi karin haske game da lamarin.
Musamman, aikinsa Yana da taken kamar haka: »Yarjejeniyar Cinikin Transatlantic da Zuba Jari: Rushewar Tarayyar Turai, Rashin Aikin yi da Rashin kwanciyar hankali».
Jeromin yayi magana cewa karatun da Tarayyar Turai ke kare matsayinta a kai karatu ne bisa kan ƙarancin tsarin tattalin arziki. Ba kamar samfurin da aka yi amfani da shi don wannan binciken ba; Manufofin Duniya na Majalisar Dinkin Duniya.
Aikin annabta a launin toka nan gaba ga masu tsara manufofin Tarayyar Turai, wanda zai iya fuskantar asarar kusan 600.000 ayyuka kazalika da gagarumar asara a kudin shiga na ma'aikata (Game da Faransa, wanda abin ya fi shafa, kusan € 5.500 ga kowane ma'aikaci).
Bayyanannun bayanai daga rahoton
- A TTIP zai kai ga asarar da aka samu dangane da fitar da kaya zuwa kasashen waje har zuwa shekaru goma bayan an yarda, idan aka kwatanta da yanayin "babu TTIP". Tattalin arzikin Arewacin Turai zai yi asara mafi girma (2,7% na GDP), sai Faransa (1,9%), Jamus (1,4%) da United Kingdom (0,95%).
- A TTIP zai kai ga asarar kuɗi dangane da GDP. Kamar yadda yake tare da ƙididdigar fitattun fitarwa, ƙasashen Arewacin Turai zasu sha wahala mafi girma a cikin GDP (-0,50%) sai Faransa (-0,48%) da Jamus (-0,29%).
- A TTIP zai kai ga asara a cikin albashin ma'aikata. Faransa ce za ta fi fuskantar matsalar, inda ta yi asarar worker 5.500 ga kowane ma'aikaci, sai kuma kasashen Arewacin Turai (€ -4.800 ga kowane ma'aikaci), United Kingdom (€ -4.200 ga kowane ma'aikaci) da kuma Jamus (- € 3.400 ga kowane ma'aikaci).
- TTIP din zai haifar da asarar ayyuka. Mun kiyasta cewa kusan ayyuka 600.000 za a rasa. Europeanasashen Arewacin Turai za su fi shafa (-223.000 aiki), sai kuma Jamus (-134.000 aikin yi), Faransa (-130.000 aikin yi) da ƙasashen Kudancin Turai (-90.000 ayyuka).
- A TTIP zai kai ga wani rage ragin albashi a cikin GDP, ƙarfafa yanayin da ke ba da gudummawa ga ci gaban halin yanzu. Takwaran nata ƙari ne na gudummawar riba da kuɗin shiga zuwa jimlar riba, yana mai nuna cewa za a sami canjin kuɗi daga kwadago zuwa jari. Canjin mafi mahimmanci zai gudana a inasar Ingila (7%), Faransa (8%), Jamus da Arewacin Turai (4%).
- A TTIP zai kai ga wani asara a cikin kudaden shiga na Jihohi. Excessarin harajin kai tsaye (kamar Addarin Taxarin Haraji) a kan tallafi zai ragu a cikin duk ƙasashen EU, tare da Faransa mafi yawan hasara (0.64% na GDP). Karancin jama'a zai kara yawan kasonsu na GDP na kowace kasa ta EU, yana mai tura kudaden jama'a kusa, ko bayan, iyakokin da yarjejeniyar Maastricht ta sanya.
- A TTIP zai kai ga wani karuwar rashin kudi da kuma rashin daidaituwa. Tare da raguwar kuɗaɗen fitarwa, raguwar albashi da raguwar kuɗaɗen shiga, buƙatu zai kasance tare da riba da saka hannun jari. Amma tare da haɓakar amfani mai rauni, ba za a iya tsammanin fa'idodin sun zo ne daga ƙimar tallace-tallace ba. Kyakkyawan zato shi ne cewa riba da saka hannun jari (galibi a cikin dukiyar kuɗi) za su ci gaba ta haɓaka farashin kadara. Dama ga rashin daidaito na tattalin arziki na wannan shawarar kowa sananne ne.
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