A kalla lokacin da ake tsammani ga masu saka jari, sabon "Bakar Litinin" ya fito a kasuwannin hannayen jari na duniya. Farawar mako ba zai iya farawa mafi muni ga kasuwannin kuɗi na samun kudin shiga. Inda mai iko index Dow Jones an bar shi kusan 5%. Daya daga cikin mawuyacin faduwa a tarihinta kuma wanda ba a iya tuna girmansa tun shekara ta 2011, a cikin yanayin koma bayan tattalin arziki. Wannan koma baya, a daya bangaren, ya bazu zuwa wasu kasuwanni, kamar Asiya da Turai. A kowane hali, an sake shigar da damuwa tsakanin masu amfani da kasuwar hannun jari.
Wannan faduwar darajar a kasuwar hada-hadar hannayen jari, musamman ta Arewacin Amurka, ta ba da mamaki ga wani bangare mai kyau na masu nazarin hada-hadar kudade. Saboda juyin halittar Arewacin Amurka bashi da kyau har zuwa yanzu. Bugun kowace rana da kowane lokaci kuma ya zama ɗayan kasuwannin kuɗi masu fa'ida a duniya. Tare da samun riba cewa a cikin shekaru goma da suka gabata ya kusanci 100%. Gaskiya ne cewa ana tsammanin wani irin gyara, amma ba tashin hankali ba kamar wanda ya ci gaba a wannan makon.
Haɗin sayarwar yanzu ya fito fili ya ɗora kanta akan matsayin siye. Amma sabon abu a wannan lokacin ya kasance cikin tsananin waɗannan matsayi. Zuwa ga abin da ya ba da mamaki ga ƙanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari tare da sauya kafa. Yanzu abin da muke ƙoƙari mu bincika shin wannan digo abu ne na musamman da takamaiman abu ne ko kuwa wani abu ne mai mahimmanci. Wato, farkon a raguwa hakan na iya haifar da mummunan tasiri ga matsayin masu saka hannun jari. Wannan yana daga cikin mabuɗan da wakilan kuɗaɗe ke tambayar kansu kwanakin nan.
Dalilan fasawa a Amurka
Rasa 5% a cikin zaman ciniki ɗaya manyan kalmomi ne idan yazo ga daidaito. A cikin kowane hali, ainihin dalilin da ya sa wannan rushewar kasuwar hannun jari ta Amurka ke da nasaba da yanke shawara kan tashi cikin kudin ruwa. Yanzu ga alama ba zai ci gaba ba, kamar yadda masu saka jari suka ɗauka. Idan ba haka ba wannan na iya zama mafi rikici da sauri fiye da yadda kuke tsammani. Tsoro ne wanda yake a halin yanzu a cikin kyakkyawan ɓangare na ƙanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari kuma an canja shi zuwa kasuwannin daidaito.
Da kyau, duk abin da alama yana nuna cewa tattalin arzikin Arewacin Amurka yana tafiya kamar harbi, kamar yadda mafi yawansa suka nuna Masana tattalin arzikin kasa. Amma tare da ƙaramar nuance, kuma wannan shine cewa akwai alamun da ke nuna cewa akwai yiwuwar ɗumi a ciki. Kuma wannan mahimmancin lamarin na iya haifar da lahani a kan aikace-aikacen matakan ƙimar riba a ɗaya gefen Atlantic. Kuma an bayyana wannan tsoro ga kasuwannin hada-hadar hannayen jari. Wannan shine yadda ake bayanin wannan digo na ba komai ba kuma babu abinda ya wuce 5%.
Me zai faru da kuɗin ruwa?
Ala kulli hal, akwai abu guda daya da ya bayyana karara kuma shine yanke shawara akan kudaden ruwa a Amurka, yana ci gaba da yanke hukunci game da canjin kasuwannin daidaito. An bayyana wannan tare da tsananin kuzari a cikin waɗannan kwanakin. Tare da matsin lamba na sayarwa wanda ba'a taɓa ganin sa ba a cikin shekaru, aƙalla a cikin kasuwannin hannayen jari na Amurka. Tare da babbar faduwa da aka taɓa rubutawa a cikin Dow Jones. Wani al'amari da ya karfafa mummunan fata na kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi don ci gaba da dabarunsu na kasancewa cikin ruwa a kasuwannin hada-hada.
Ko ta yaya, hannayen jarin Turai sun faɗi kusan 2%, wanda ya faɗi ƙasa da babbar faduwa a maki da Dow Jones ya rubuta. Tare da haɗin kai tsaye kai tsaye dangane da farashin hannun jari a cikin sauran manyan kasuwannin hadahadar kasuwancin duniya. Zuwa ga nuna babbar ma'amala da ke kasancewa a wannan lokacin tare da waɗannan kadarorin kuɗi. Ba a banza ba, Kasashen Asiya Hakanan sun bar kusan 4% a matsakaici a waɗannan kwanakin farko na mako. Yanzu kawai zai zama dole a bincika idan waɗannan faɗuwar a cikin manyan alamun duniya zasu sami ƙarin tsawo a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa.
Downs wanda ya fadada zuwa Turai
Ba wai kawai kasuwar hannayen jari ta Amurka ta tafi mummunan ba a kwanakin nan. Idan ba haka ba, akasin haka, a tsohuwar nahiya wannan girgiza kuma ya kasance a cikin duniyar kasuwar hannun jari. Sakamakon haka, Faransa CAC 40 ta yi kasa da kashi 2,35%; Birtaniya FTSE, 2,64%; Dax na Frankfurt, 2,32% da MIB na Milan, 1,52%. Game da kasuwar hannun jari ta Sifen, dole ne a ce ta kiyaye wannan layin lokacin da Ibex 35 2,5%. Tare da gaba a cikin ja a duk kasuwanni, abin da ke da shakku yana nuna ƙarin faduwa yayin makon. Kodayake watakila ba su da karfi kamar na Litinin.
A cikin kowane hali, ba shine kawai kasuwar kuɗi ta ɓace ba a cikin waɗannan mahimman kwanaki don duk masu saka jari. Wani babban abin da ya shafa shine mai, tun bayan ganga brent, ma'auni a Turai, ya kasance sama da $ 67. Tare da faduwar darajar farashinta na 0,70%. Koyaya, bai zama mai ban mamaki ba kamar yadda yake a cikin manyan alamomin ƙasa da ƙasa. Tare da tasiri mai iyakancewa har zuwa yanzu.
Matsayi na ikon mallaka
Wani mawuyacin tasirin wannan babbar durkushewa a cikin daidaito a duk duniya ya samo asali a cikin kari. Saboda a sakamakon haka, daga wannan sabon hangen nesa game da saka hannun jari, jarin Amurka ya tsaya kai tsaye a kwanakin nan ta hanyar nuna sha'awar kashi 2,7%, wanda ya bambanta da ribar da jumlar ta Jamus ke bayarwa a waɗannan kwanakin, wanda ke motsawa a cikin ƙungiyar da ke da matsakaita 0,7%. Wadannan farashin suna tsammanin tashin farashin nan gaba, wanda shine babban tsoron da kasuwannin kudi suke da shi. Kuma inda wannan durkushewar hannayen jari a Amurka ya tattara kuma zuwa wata ƙasa kaɗan fiye da sauran yankuna na duniya.
Saboda haka, wannan faduwa a kasuwar hannun jari kuma ana iya fassara shi azaman tara fa'ida a kasuwar hannun jari ta Amurka. Kodayake tare da mahimman bayanai masu mahimmanci daga wasu ra'ayoyin ra'ayoyi. A wannan ma'anar, ba za ku iya mantawa daga yanzu ba cewa an sami canjin mai shi a cikin tsarin kuɗi a hayin tekun Atlantika. Kuma wannan wani lamari ne da zai iya haifar da rashin yarda tsakanin ƙanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari.
Canji ba shakka a cikin Fed
Ba kuma za a iya mantawa da hakan ba Tarayya Tarayya na Amurka (FED) ya ɗauki sabon shugabanci kuma wannan koyaushe yana haifar da wani fushin a kasuwannin kuɗi. Akan matakan da za'a iya ɗauka a cikin sha'anin kuɗi kuma musamman alaƙa da ƙimar riba. Wasu wannan ma yana da alaƙa da faɗuwar kasuwar hannun jari a farkon makon. Ba abin mamaki bane, an fara tunanin cewa sabon shugaban Fed, Jerome Powell, na iya aiwatar da wasu nau'ikan ƙungiyoyi masu tayar da hankali lokacin da ya shigo ofis. Domin idan haka ne, wannan darajar darajar a cikin kasuwannin daidaito ba zai zama akan lokaci ba. In ba haka ba a matsayin share fage ga sabbin yanka kuma watakila ma ya fi tsanani dangane da manyan tasirinsa.
A gefe guda, ba a yanke hukunci ba cewa kasuwar hannayen jari na ci gaba da kara darajar zuwa jarin ku, amma wani abu guda daya tabbatacce ne kuma wannan shi ne cewa canjin ya kusan kaiwa kasuwannin hannayen jari kusan kowa. Juyin Halitta Bayanin VIX Wannan a bayyane yake a cikin waɗannan kwanaki biyu, tare da ci gaba fiye da sananne a matakan su. Tabbas, ba zaku iya mantawa da cewa abin da wannan alamomin kai tsaye ya danganta da matakan kasuwar hannayen jari shine tsoron masu saka jari. Kuma a yanzu abin da yake fada shi ne cewa akwai da yawa.
Sabuwar kasuwancin kasuwanci
Kodayake idan kun saka hannun jari a cikin wannan ma'auni, kada ku yi shakkar cewa za ku iya samun kuɗi mai yawa daga yanzu idan rashin zaman lafiya a kasuwannin kuɗi gaskiya ne. Kodayake tare da babban haɗari a cikin ayyukan tunda ya zama dole don samar da ƙwarewa mai yawa a cikin irin wannan motsi na musamman daga duk ra'ayoyi. Ala kulli halin, sabuwar shekara ta yanzu ta fara motsawa fiye da yadda ake tsammani daga farko.
Inda, ba tare da wata shakka ba, damar kasuwanci za ta ci gaba da fitowa, koda kuwa abubuwa sun tabarbare a kasuwar hannayen jari a cikin ragowar shekara. Aƙalla sabon yanayi ne wanda ba lallai bane ku tsara ayyukan ku a kasuwar jari. Domin a ƙarshen rana wannan jaka ce. Inda zaku iya samun kuɗi da yawa, amma kuma ku bar yuro da yawa akan hanya.