Gajeren yawon shakatawa na Janet Yellen jagorancin US Federal Reserve (FED) ya zo ƙarshe. Nan da 'yan makonni za a san sabon sunan da zai jagoranci manufofin kudin Amurka. Lamarin da zai iya haifar da babban tasiri a kasuwannin daidaito a cikin wannan ƙasar, har ma a wasu yankuna na duniya, kamar EU. Ba abin mamaki bane, yana da alhakin yawancin yanke shawara waɗanda suka ƙare tasiri ga kasuwancin kasuwancin. Saboda wannan, ba abin mamaki ba ne cewa a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa kasuwannin hannayen jari suna nuna wata damuwa game da shawarar da za a iya yankewa a cikin shekaru masu zuwa.
A gefe guda kuma, ra'ayinku game da janyewar ci gaban tattalin arziki da tuni aka fara shi a karkashin umarnin Yellen zai yi matukar dacewa. Saboda duk wani kaucewa daga dabarun da za'a dauka na iya haifar da kaifin motsi a kasuwannin daidaito. Dukansu dangane da wata hanya ko wata. Tare da tasiri kai tsaye kan saka hannun jari cewa a wannan lokacin kun buɗe a cikin kasuwannin daidaito. A saboda wannan dalili, tsammanin da aka samar ya zuwa yanzu shine mafi girma tsakanin ƙanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari. A kan menene girke-girke da sabon gwamna (ko gwamna) na FED zai yi amfani da shi.
A wannan ma'anar, a halin yanzu babu suna na musamman da yake sauti. Kodayake magudanar masu nazarin harkokin kuɗi suna nuni ga mutane biyu da ke da ƙwarewa sosai don taka wannan muhimmiyar rawa a cikin tattalin arziƙin ɗayan manyan ƙasashen duniya. Wanene yake neman karɓar ƙarfi a cikin awanni na ƙarshe shine Jerome Powell, dan takarar da yafi kowane saurin fada. Wani ɗan takarar shi ne John Taylor, kuma kasuwanni suna ɗaukarsa a matsayin wanda ya fi ƙarfin fada a ji a hanyoyinsu. Da alama waɗannan ƙididdigar ce da shugaban Amurka, Donald Trump, yake dubawa don jagorantar manufofin kuɗin wannan al'ummar na fewan shekaru masu zuwa.
EDF: raguwar abubuwan kara kuzari
A kowane hali, da alama cewa hanyar Janet Yellen a shugaban Babban Asusun Tarayyar Amurka an riga an daidaita ta. Inda a cikin taron na Oktoba an riga an sanar da cewa ya fara rage takaddun Fed. Don haka girma da QEs masu zuwa, wanda tuni yake wakiltar sama da dala tiriliyan 4,5. Yanzu tambayar da manazarta harkokin kuɗi ke yi wa kansu da kuma idan sabuwar ƙungiyar tattalin arzikin za ta ci gaba da irin dabarun. Duk alamomi suna nuna wannan lamarin. Amma ba a cire wasu abubuwan mamaki ba, wanda a ƙarshe zai zama waɗanda zasu iya canza jagorancin jaka a cikin fewan kwanaki masu zuwa.
Sabon alƙawarin ba zai jira dogon lokaci ba. Har ya zuwa yadda Shugaban Amurka, Donald Trump, ya tabbatar da hakan zai sanar da maye gurbinsa a cikin wannan makon. Ko a farkon farkon na gaba. A wannan ma'anar, yana da matukar mahimmanci a bincika yadda kasuwanni ke karɓar sabon gwamnan FED. Zai zama bayyananne sigina game da inda harbe-harben zasu iya tafiya. Yana ma iya zama abin motsawa don buɗewa ko rufe cinikai a kasuwar jari, gwargwadon niyyarka.
Tsarin watan Disamba
Ko ta yaya, akwai abu daya tabbatacce kuma wannan shine cewa ɗayan mahimman bayanai zasu bayyana a cikin watan Disamba. Ba abin mamaki bane, shine ranar da aka zaba don Tarayya Tarayya na Amurka kara farashin a karo na uku a wannan shekara. Wannan lokacin, har zuwa yankin 1,25% da 1,50%. A halin yanzu, aikace-aikacen wannan ƙimar kuɗin ba da alama tana da sakamako mai yawa a kan kasuwannin daidaito. Amma yana da matukar mahimmanci a sami ra'ayin sabon gwamnan Fed akan teburin. Zai iya zama bazara ta yadda buhun duniya zai juya zuwa ƙasa ko akasin haka zuwa sama. Dole ne ku zama masu jiran tsammani don ku iya tsammanin motsi da za a haifar a cikin kasuwanni daga yanzu.
A gefe guda kuma, zai zama dole a gani ko a cikin watan Disamba, lokacin da nadin nasa na karshe ya gabato, yanayin tattalin arziki zai canza, duk da cewa da alama hakan ba ta yiwu ba. Saboda duk wani canji mai mahimmanci a cikin manyan sifofin tattalin arziki na iya wakiltar juyawa a kasuwannin daidaito. Kodayake ba tare da girma da kuma karfin da wasu manazarta harkokin kudi ke gargadin ba. Saboda mafi girman ra'ayi a tsakanin su shine komai zai ci gaba kamar da. Tare da modian gyare-gyare a cikin tsarin Tarayyar Tarayya daga Amurka. A kowane hali, dole ne ku kasance masu tsammanin idan nufin ku shine saya da siyar da hannun jari akan kasuwar hannun jari.
Kula da manufofin kuɗi
Dangane da wannan, ƙungiyar mai fita ta bayyana a fili game da ainihin niyyar su. Har zuwa lokacin da mai ci yanzu, Janet Yellen ta riga ta faɗi wasu lokuta, cewa yanayin tattalin arzikin da muke ciki yanzu ya rage waɗannan nau'ikan daidaito daga matakan yau da kullun na tarihi. Da alama cewa sababbin shuwagabannin na FED suna bin wannan tsarin dabarun. Yanzu kawai suna buƙatar tabbatar da waɗannan niyyar. Abu ne da kasuwannin kuɗi suke ɗokin gani. Kuma tabbas kai kanka domin ka san irin shawarar da zaka yanke don samun damar yin riba daga yanzu zuwa yanzu.
Idan aka fuskanci wannan yanayin, tuni akwai muryoyi da yawa da suka dace waɗanda ke nuna cewa ba zai zama baƙon abu ba ga FED don haɓaka haɓaka biyu ko uku yayin 2018. Wani abu wanda a ra'ayinsa bai kamata ya shafi halin haja ba. Dukansu a cikin Amurka da kan Nahiyar Turai zuwa wani ɗan ƙarami. Tare da sigogi guda biyu waɗanda zasu zama da mahimmanci sosai don la'akari dasu. A gefe guda, gaskiyar cewa rashin aikin yi a mafi ƙarancin 4,2%. Kuma a gefe guda, saboda matsin lamba na albashi na ci gaba da bayyana. Dalilai, a cikin al'amuran biyu, waɗanda zasu iya faɗi manufofin kuɗi na sabuwar ƙungiyar.
Jira yanke shawara
Ofaya daga cikin tasirin wannan gaskiyar akan manufofin tattalin arzikin Amurka shine yadda daidaito zasu iya haɓaka daga wannan muhimmin canjin a cikin FED. Don haka ta wannan hanyar, yanke shawara ku da mafi kariya a cikin ayyuka. Da kyau, da farko dai dole ne ku jira waɗannan canje-canje su faru kafin yanke shawarar shiga ko fita daga kowane kasuwannin kuɗi. Babu matsala ku jira kawai 'yan kwanaki saboda zai dace da dage wannan matsayin. Ko da kuwa yakamata ku jira wasu andan kwanaki kuma ku rasa wani ɓangare na balaguro ko tafiya mai ƙarfi wanda ke haɓaka.
Idan komai ya bunkasa koyaushe kuma komai yana ci gaba kamar da, zai iya zama kyakkyawar dama don ɗaukar matsayi a kasuwar jari. Saboda ba za ku iya mantawa da cewa kuna fuskantar ɗayan mawuyacin ɓangare na shekara ba. Inda sake kimar darajar ya wuce 10% wani sauki, kamar yadda suka faru a shekarun baya. Ba abin mamaki bane, kaɗan ne kwata-kwata na wannan lokacin waɗanda suka sami rauni a ƙimar farashin. Idan aka ba da wannan gaskiyar, to gayyata ce a gare ka ka saka kuɗin ka a cikin kasuwar hannayen jari, gwargwadon abubuwan da kake so game da yankunan da kake son aiki.
Nasihun jarin
A kowane hali, koyaushe yana da amfani sosai don amfani da wasu jagororin halayya. Don haka ta wannan hanyar, samar da cikakken tsaro ga kowane ayyukan da za ku ci gaba daga yanzu. Waɗannan su ne mafi dacewa.
- Kada a yi ƙoƙarin daidaita ayyukanMadadin haka, ya kamata ku jira don ganin wanene sabon shugaban hukumar ta FED.
- Ba a tsammanin motsi a cikin kasuwar hannun jari ya kasance mai saurin tashin hankali saboda haka dole ne ku yi haɗari idan kuna son faɗaɗa ribar ayyukan.
- Wannan shawarar zata sami impactananan tasiri ga kasuwannin kuɗi na tsohuwar nahiyar. Kuna iya zaɓar wannan wurin don kauce wa motsi na tunani a cikin kasuwanni.
- Kyakkyawan ra'ayi don kare matsayinku a cikin daidaito shine fadada saka hannun jari. Bai kamata ku ware duk abubuwan da kuka tanada ba don tsaro ko dukiyar kuɗi ba.
- Bambancin tsakanin Amurka da kasuwannin Turai na iya bayyana a yanzu daga yanzu. Amma a lokaci guda zai iya baka mafi girma da dama a bangaren saka hannun jari.
- Kasuwancin kudin yana iya zama ɗayan mafi ban sha'awa a yanzu. Amma tare da hasara cewa zaku buƙaci ƙarin ilimi a cikin al'adun kuɗi don buɗe matsayi a cikin wasu waɗannan dukiyar kuɗin.
- Nadin sabon gwamnan Federal Reserve na Amurka na iya shafar ku a cikin ayyukan gajere. A gefe guda, a cikin matsakaici da tsawo zai zama daban-daban abin da zai ba ku damar zama mai faɗaɗawa cikin hanyoyin da za ku ɗauka.
- Kada a yi ƙoƙarin hanzarta aiki a cikin waɗannan kwanakin tunda a cikin waɗannan al'amuran kuna da asarar da yawa fiye da riba. Ka riƙe wannan a zuciya don kada ka ɗauki abin mamaki a cikin 'yan kwanaki masu zuwa. Inda yin taka-tsantsan zai kasance daya daga cikin manyan abokanka.