Yarjejeniyar tsakanin Ingila da Tarayyar Turai game da aikace-aikacen Brexit da kuma kasafin kudin da dole ne gwamnatin Italia ta gabatar zai zama abubuwan tantance abubuwan da zasu haifar da cigaban kasuwannin daidaito a cikin makon da ya gabata na Nuwamba. A ka'ida, komai yana nuna cewa zai fara ne daga hanyar sama saboda komai yana da alama waɗannan matsalolin zasu iya shirya ta hanya mai gamsarwa domin bukatun kananan da matsakaitan masu saka jari. Bayan mako guda a cikin abin da ke nuna alamar kasa, Ibex 35, ya ragu kadan fiye da 1,50% a cikin zaman ciniki biyar.
A gefe guda, a wannan makon za a fitar da jerin bayanan amincewa da kasuwanci IFO daga Jamus da Sashin Turai, yayin da Amurka za ta fitar da lamuni na watanni uku da shida da kuma bayanan shekara biyu. Za su kasance wasu masu matukar dacewa waɗanda za su ƙayyade, a wata ma'ana ko wata, hanyar da za ta bi, ba kawai kasuwar hannun jari ta Spain ba, har ma da sauran duniya. Kuma hakan a kowane hali, zai kasance tare da yadda kasuwannin hada-hadar kuɗi ke narkar da mahimman yarjejeniyar da aka tattauna a taron Tarayyar Turai kan Brexit kuma aka gudanar a ƙarshen wannan makon.
Duk da yake akasin haka, kuma game da tattalin arzikin Amurka, duk idanu za a karkata ga tsarin kasuwancin masana'antu na Dallas Fed kuma wanda hasashensa ya nuna zuwa matakan matakan 105,90. Wani daga cikin bayanan da suka fi dacewa ga wannan yanki shi ne wanda ke ishara zuwa tsarin ayyukan Chicago Fed na kasa, wanda shi ma za a sake shi a wannan makon. saboda haka akwai bayanai da yawa waɗanda ƙanana da matsakaita masu saka jari zasu yi niƙa don su ɗauki matsayin da ya fi dacewa don yin dukiyoyinsu da riba.
Brexit: yakamata ya tallata kasuwar jari
Yarjejeniyar da aka cimma kan ficewar Birtaniyya daga Tarayyar Turai ana tsammanin zai haifar da tasiri mai tasiri ga hannayen jari a jerin tsare-tsaren da za su tashi bayan faduwar ta baya-bayan nan a 'yan watannin nan. Ba a banza ba, wasu daga cikin masanan da suka dace a kasuwannin hada-hadar kuɗi sun nuna cewa zai iya farawa a ci gaban gargajiyar gangamin bikin kirsimeti. Kodayake kamar yadda masu saka hannun jari ke san da kyau, yadda kasuwannin kuɗi ba za a iya faɗi ba da gaske tunda galibi ana saye shi tare da jita-jita kuma ana sayar dashi lokacin da aka tabbatar da labarai. Shin hakan zai kasance a wannan yanayin?
A gefe guda, tabbas za a sami wasu hannun jari waɗanda za su fi dacewa da irin wannan labaran. Dukansu a wata ma'ana da kuma wata, kamar yadda ya faru a cikin 'yan shekarun nan. Lokaci ɗaya na shekara fata a cikin kasuwannin kuɗi na iya zama haɗin kai gama gari a yawancin lambobin tsaro. A cikin zama na gaba wakilan dillalai daban-daban zai bar shubuhohi, duka don sayayya da siyar hannun jari akan kasuwar hannun jari. Lokacin da ya rage saura wata guda har zuwa ƙarshen wannan shekara mai wahala don kasuwannin daidaito.
Amincewa da Majalisar Ingila
A kowane hali, babbar matsalar ci gaba a kasuwannin hannayen jari zai dogara ne da amincewar nan gaba ta Majalisar Burtaniya na taron da aka gudanar tare da hukumomin mulki na Tarayyar Turai. Saboda haka, babu wani zaɓi face auna ayyukan da aka gudanar da kyau. Domin a zahiri, matakin farko na kasuwannin hannayen jari a wannan Litinin ɗin ya fito fili, tare da yaba Ibex 35 kusan 2%. Bankunan ne suka jagoranci wannan hauhawar bayan tsananin ukubar da aka samu a makonnin da suka gabata. Ci gaban Sabadell, BBVA, Bankia ko Santander sun kasance sama da waɗanda sauran fannoni ke canzawa.
Wannan martanin na kasuwannin kuɗaɗen ya haifar da zaɓin zaɓi na kasuwar hannun jari ta Mutanen Espanya ya zama matakan damuwa 9.200 maki. Kodayake a cikin fewan kwanaki masu zuwa ci gabanta zai kasance mai mahimmanci don nuna ko sau ɗaya ne kawai aka sake dawowa ko wani abu mai mahimmancin gaske wanda zai iya ɗaukar wannan tushen tushen kasuwar kasuwancin zuwa matakan mafi girma. Inda ɗayan manyan mahimman bayanai zasu kasance goyon baya mai ƙarfi wanda yake da maki 9.500 kuma hakan ma yana iya haifar da ɓangare mafi girma na farashin.
Ana tsammanin gyarawa ga matsalar Italia
Dangane da kasafin kudin da aka aika zuwa Brussels da gwamnatin Italiya, yanzu duk abin da alama yana nuna cewa dabarun transalpine ne don cimma kyakkyawan yanayi don sasanta bashinta. Koyaya, yan makwanni biyu zasu ci gaba don ganin menene gaskiyar wannan halin na musamman da cibiyoyin al'umma ke ciki. Idan an gyara, tabbas zai iya zama wani ƙarfi mai ƙarfi don samun kuɗin Turai don samar da wani ci gaba sama kafin ƙarshen shekara.
Daya daga cikin manyan masu cin gajiyar wannan halin tabbas zai kasance bankunan da zasu iya kawo ƙarshen shekarar fiye da yadda suka fara. Ba a banza ba, ɗayan bangarorin ne suka bar mafi yawan kuɗin Euro akan hanya yayin waɗannan kusan watanni goma sha biyu. Tare da raguwa a wasu alamomin hannun jari sama da 10%. Zuwa ga cewa yana ɗaya daga cikin sassa a cikin kasuwannin kuɗi tare da mafi munin shawarwarin da masu binciken kuɗi ke bayarwa. Tare da tip zuwa mara nauyi kuma wannan ya haifar da tallace-tallace a fili waɗanda suka fi ƙarfin siye.
Hadarin babbar faduwa
A kowane hali, ba duk masu nazarin harkokin kuɗi suke da kwarin gwiwa ba game da ci gaban kasuwar hannayen jari ta Sipaniya don kwanakin ƙarshe na shekara ba. Amma, akasin haka, suna tunanin cewa Ibex 35 na iya kaiwa matakan kusa da waɗanda ke nan gaba. 7.000 ko 7.500 maki, wanda zai sanya wannan alamar a ɗaya daga cikin mafi ƙasƙanci a cikin recentan shekarun nan. Tare da ƙarin haɗarin cewa raguwa na iya zama mai saurin ɗaukar nauyi fiye da yadda aka zata a baya. Dangane da dukkan sharuɗɗa: gajere, matsakaici da tsayi da ƙari sauran ƙididdigar fasaha kuma wataƙila daga mahimmin ra'ayi.
Jiran abin da zai iya faruwa, ɗayan matakan zuwa lura da kwanaki masu zuwa yana da matukar dacewa da maki 8.500. Daidai ne inda ya tsaya a cikin digo na ƙarshe wanda ya samu a farkon kwanakin Nuwamba. Domin idan an wuce shi, ba tare da wata shakka ba, ragin da aka samu a cikin daidaiton Mutanen Espanya na iya zama mafi tsanani kuma ya bi mafi yanayin zato na masu sharhi na kuɗi. Duk da cewa sakamakon kasuwancin na kwata na ƙarshe bai kasance abin damuwa ba.
Jiran kyautar Kirsimeti
A tsakanin wannan mahallin, duk ƙanana da matsakaita masu saka jari suna jiran taron da ake tsammani na waɗannan hutun Kirsimeti zuwa ƙasa. Yana da matukar yawa cewa yana bayyana a kwanakin nan, amma ba koyaushe bane kamar yadda ya faru a cikin shekarar da ta gabata, ga rashin jin daɗin dubban dubban masu saka jari waɗanda ke son shiga kasuwannin kuɗi a cikin waɗannan kwanakin kafin ƙofar Kirsimeti. Inda farashin hannun jari zai iya sake yin tasiri a kusa da 8%. Ba abin mamaki bane, sabili da haka, cewa yawancin su suna jiran bayyanar su don gudanar da ayyukansu kuma don haka sanya ribar ta riba cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci.
Inda mafi yawan bangarorin zasu kasance sune suke da kyakkyawan aiki a wannan lokacin mai matukar wahala. Ko kuma, rashin nasarar wannan, waɗancan ƙimomin da suka rage ƙima a wannan shekarar. Inda kuma bankunan Suna taka muhimmiyar rawa wajen jagorancin haɓakawa da rage ragin da suke kasuwanci a halin yanzu kaɗan. A gefe guda, ƙimar fasaha wasu kuma suna da katunan jefa kuri'a don nuna babban ci gaba a farashin su. Don lalata kamfanonin kariya da duk waɗanda ke aiki a matsayin mafaka mafaka a wasu lokuta mafi girman rashin kwanciyar hankali a kasuwannin kuɗi.
Kyakkyawan lokacin saka hannun jari
Koyaya, Disamba da Janairu a al'adance sun kasance watanni biyu masu fa'ida sosai don kasuwannin daidaito. Wannan wani abu ne wanda kyakkyawan ɓangare na ƙanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari suka dogara da shi don ƙare shekarar da kyau. Koda kuwa ba doka bace tsayayye cewa ana cika shi koyaushe kuma wannan wani lamari ne wanda yakamata kuyi la'akari dashi don kar ku ɗanɗani rashin jin daɗi daga yanzu.
A cikin ɗayan mafi rikitarwa shekaru don musayar hannun jari na ƙasa da ƙasa a cikin shekarun da suka gabata. Inda mai yiwuwa Ibex 35 zai ƙare da raguwar lambobi biyu. Kodayake babu ƙarancin manazarta kasuwa waɗanda ke tunanin cewa bayan kwas ɗin da ba shi da kyau kamar wannan, yana biye da manyan ƙimomi a ƙimar farashin hannun jari.