Rashin nasarar zabe na gwamnati mai ci yanzu a Ajantina ya haifar da durkushewar kasuwar hannayen jari ta Amurka da karfi sosai. A cikin zama guda an bar kusan 10%, tare da faduwa a dukkan bangarorin kuma inda aka sake ganin firgita tsakanin kanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari na Argentina. Amma alaƙarta da tattalin arzikin Spain tana da tsananin ƙarfi kuma a yanzu ɗaya daga cikin fargabar da ke tasowa ita ce yadda za ta shafi ƙididdigar daidaitattun kuɗin Spain waɗanda aka fallasa su zuwa wannan muhimmin yanki.
Har zuwa cewa zasu iya fuskantar raunin gaske a cikin farashin su idan wannan faɗuwar canjin gwamnati a Argentina daga ƙarshe ya faru. A zahiri, jerin zaɓaɓɓu na kasuwar hannun jari ta Sifen, Ibex 35, ya kasance ɗayan mafi munin abin da ya faru a nahiyar Turai. A saman jakunan Faransa, Ingilishi ko Jamusanci. Zai iya zama sabon koma-baya ga kanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari a kasarmu. A kowane hali, akwai tabbatacciyar hujja kuma wannan shine Rashin nasarar Macri a Ajantina hadarin bashin bashi ya harbe har zuwa 75%. Gaskiyar gaskiyar da ke magana sosai game da gaskiyar da zata iya bayyana a kasuwannin kuɗi daga yanzu.
A kowane hali, waɗannan sababbi ne kuma a wannan yanayin gizagizai marasa fa'ida game da bukatun masu saka hannun jari. Musamman, suna iya shafar watanni na kaka, wanda shine ranar da aka sanya don gudanar da zaɓuka a Ajantina. Tare da sauya yanayin da ba zato ba tsammani wanda tabbas zai sami sakamako mai tsanani a cikin kasuwannin kuɗin Latin. Zuwa matsayin da zaka iya samu sabon gyaran farashin na hannayen jarin kamfanonin da wannan kamfani ya shafa. A cikin abin da aka saita a matsayin abin damuwa don wakilan kudi.
Exposedimar da aka fallasa a cikin Argentina
Akwai tabbatacciyar hujja wacce ta share dukkan shubuhohi kuma hakan yana cikin gaskiyar cewa Spain ta ci gaba da kasancewa mai saka jari na biyu a kasar bayan Amurka. Dangane da sabon bayanan da aka samu daga Icex, Telefónica a halin yanzu tana tallafawa mafi girman saka hannun jari na Sipaniya a cikin ƙasar, tare da aikin Euro miliyan 2.200, sai kuma Banco Santander, tare da miliyan 1.800, da Gas Natural, tare da miliyan 400. Amma kuma akwai wasu sauran ƙananan hannun jari waɗanda za a iya shafar wannan yanayin.
Duk wannan, a cikin yanayi a cikin kasuwannin daidaito waɗanda ba sa kiran kyakkyawan fata. Kamar yadda Ibex 35 ke nutsewa cikin raguwa, aƙalla cikin gajeren lokaci, wanda zai iya kai shi ga ziyartar matakan maki 8.200 a matakin mafi ƙaranci a wannan shekara. Sabili da haka, yi hankali sosai idan zaku buɗe matsayi a kasuwar hannun jari ta Sipaniya tunda kuna iya samun wasu abubuwan mamakin mara kyau daga yanzu. A cikin weeksan makonnin da ake sanya matsin sayarwa tare da bayyane akan mai siye, kodayake tare da ƙaramar ƙaramar kwangila.
Bankunan Spain za su shafa
Shakka babu cewa harkar banki na iya kasancewa mafi tasirin shan kaye a zaben da gwamnati mai ci a yanzu a Ajantina. Ba a banza ba, manyan abubuwa biyu, BBVA da SantanderSuna da tasiri sosai ga wannan ƙasar Amurka. A cikin fewan lokacin kaɗan ga waɗanda ba sa cikin mafi kyawun yanayi. Tare da faɗuwar gaske a cikin kasuwannin daidaitattun ƙasa kuma hakan ya haifar da cinikin su a matakan yuro 4,40 da 3.50 a kowane rabo, bi da bi. Amma abubuwa suna da saukin canzawa zuwa mummunan idan canjin gwamnati ya faru a Ajantina. Tare da tsananin tsoro tsakanin ƙanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari waɗanda suka riga suka ɗauki matsayi a cikin waɗannan amincin.
Duk da yake a ɗaya hannun, ba za a iya mantawa da cewa ƙungiyoyin kuɗi sun yi riba mai yawa a cikin shekarar da ta gabata ta hanyar rassan su a Argentina. Haƙiƙa wanda tabbas zai iya tsananta yanayin waɗannan bankunan a kasuwannin hada-hadar kuɗi. Fiye da wasu lamuran yanayi na fasaha kuma wataƙila daga mahangar abubuwan yau da kullun. A kowane hali, sune shawarwari da za'a kalla don kar a yi kuskure a dabarun saka jari daga yanzu.
Telefónica a cikin ido na guguwa
Dangane da yanayin tattalin arzikin Argentina da kimar da aka bayar, kamfanin sadarwar na iya zama wani ƙimar haƙƙin wannan faduwar. Daga Yuro 6,50 wanda aka lissafa shi a halin yanzu kuma hakan na iya haifar da shi har ma da ciniki a ƙasa da euro shida ta kowane fanni. Kodayake yana ɗaya daga cikin ƙimar kasuwar hannun jari ta Sifen da ke gabatar da a mafi kyawun riba, musamman 6,3% kuma wanda ya dace sosai da ƙanana da matsakaita-manya masu tsaron gida ko masu saka jari masu ra'ayin mazan jiya.
A gefe guda, bai dace ba sosai don haɗa kayan aikinmu na tsaro na tsawon watanni shida masu zuwa saboda yawan shakku da irin wannan saka hannun jari ke haifarwa. A wannan ma'anar, ba za ku iya mantawa da cewa a ɗan gajeren lokacin da na gabata ba ciniki kusa da shingen Yuro 9. Watau, ya rage daraja da kusan kashi 35%, wanda yake da yawa don tsaro wanda a aan shekarun da suka gabata ana ɗaukar shi mai karko sosai don samun sa a cikin dogon matsayi. Kuma wannan lokacin Argentina tana da wani tushe na rashin tabbas wanda zai iya ƙara nisanta masu saka jari.
Naturgy ne kawai lantarki da aka fallasa
Gaskiya ne cewa bangaren wutar lantarki ya aminta daga wadannan bayanan. Tare da keɓance kawai na wannan kamfanin makamashi, amma tare da bambanci idan aka kwatanta da sauran wanda yake dulmiya cikin tsarin bijimin, aƙalla a cikin matsakaici da dogon lokaci. Daga wannan yanayin, ana iya cewa Naturgy tsaro ne mai hatsarin gaske saboda yana cikin ɓangaren wutar lantarki kuma yana da matakan kariya fiye da sauran matakan tsaro. A gefe guda kuma, suna kuma zama mafaka mai tsaro yayin fuskantar yanayin rashin kwanciyar hankali a kasuwannin daidaito.
A kowane hali, kuma tare da Iberdrola, akwai kamfanoni biyu a cikin ɓangaren makamashi waɗanda aka fallasa zuwa Argentina kuma tabbas ana yin hakan na iya hukunta su daga yanzu. Kodayake zuwa mafi ƙarancin darajar sauran alamomin waɗannan halaye kuma waɗanda aka haɗa su a cikin jerin zaɓaɓɓun lambobin Ispaniya, Ibex 35. Bugu da ƙari, ba za ku iya manta cewa kamfanin gas ɗin yana ba da raba yawan amfanin ƙasa na fiye da 6%. Ta hanyar tsayayyen tabbataccen biya a kowace shekara. A gefe guda kuma, suna kuma zama mafaka mai tsaro yayin fuskantar yanayin rashin kwanciyar hankali a kasuwannin daidaito.
Kasuwar hannun jari ta Sipaniya da aka yankewa hukunci
Wani bangare kuma da ya kamata ku yi la'akari da shi a wannan lokacin shi ne cewa kayen zaɓe na gwamnati mai ci yanzu a Argentina na iya ƙara hukunta daidaiton ƙasa. Sama da sauran alamun Index na tsohuwar nahiyar, kamar yadda ake ganin ta kwanakin nan. Wannan nauyi ne wanda dole ne ku ɗauka idan a ƙarshe kuka zaɓi wannan wurin don aiki akan kasuwar hannun jari. Kodayake za a iya kauce wa tasirinsa idan ka je wasu kasuwannin hada-hadar hannayen jari a yankin Euro wadanda ba a fallasa su ga wannan abin da ke faruwa ba. A kowane hali, ana sanya harajin ayyukan tare da kwamitocin da suka fi buƙata hakan zai sa kuyi ƙoƙari na kuɗi mafi girma lokacin siyarwa da siyar hannun jari a cikin kasuwannin daidaito.
Ba a banza ba, dole ne ku ɗauka cewa mummunan mamaki ga kasuwanni, wanda ke nufin ƙarancin rashin nasara da ƙarancin Macri a zagayen farko na zaɓen shugaban ƙasa, za a ji a hannun jarin waɗannan kamfanonin da aka lissafa. Kuma hakan zai bayyana a kimar wasu kamfanonin da aka lissafa a kasuwar hadahadar hannayen jari ta Madrid. A lokacin da kasuwanni suka tashi daga kasancewa a cikin wani yanayi mai tasowa (ko kuma aƙalla ta gefe) zuwa na dorewa kuma tare da alamun cewa ana iya jagorantar Ibex 35 a matakan da ke kusa da maki 7.000. Wato, a mafi ƙarancin shekara kuma ɗayan mafi ƙasƙanci a cikin shekarun da suka gabata.
Prosegur, daya daga cikin wadanda lamarin yafi shafa
Tallace-tallace na rukuni a cikin farkon watanni shida na shekara sun ci gaba tare da kyakkyawan yanayin ci gaban ayyuka a cikin kuɗin gida, wanda ya karu da 14,0%. Mummunar tasirin tasirin fassara na kuɗin Latin Amurka, wanda ga ƙungiyar gabaɗaya ya cire 11,8%, yana nufin kudaden shiga cikin kudin Tarayyar Turai tsaya a euro miliyan 2.055, 2,2% ya fi na farkon rabin 2018.
Fa'idar ayyukan ƙungiyar tana ci gaba da rinjayi sakamakon haɗuwa da canjin musayar tare da aiwatar da ƙididdigar ƙididdigar IAS 21 da 29, bayan da aka ayyana Argentina a matsayin tattalin arziƙin hauhawa. Sakamakon haka, EBITDA ya ba da rahoton a farkon rabin shekarar 2019 Euro miliyan 247, ƙasa da 1,6%, kuma EBIT ya kai euro miliyan 145, ƙasa da 19,9%. Tare da wannan, yankin EBIT ya tashi daga 9,0% a farkon rabin 2018 zuwa 7,0% a cikin lokacin yanzu.