Sasibikezelwe kanjani isimo somnotho waseSpain sango-2017?

Umnotho waseSpain

Unyaka we-2017 usuzophela, uma usuphelile, kuzokwazi ukucabanga nge Umnotho waseSpain Kulesi sigaba, kwenzekeni nokuthi uphele kanjani lo nyaka kulokhu; imiphumela yayo, ukuthi ikhule kangakanani, kwenzekeni ngokuqashwa, ukusilela komphakathi, njll. Ubukhulu obuthile ama-macroeconomics afana ne-GDP kanye neZinga Lokungasebenzi, bazosinikeza ngemininingwane ebalulekile yokuhlaziywa okuhlukahlukene.

Silungiselela ukuhlola, njengesifinyeto, mayelana nalokho okuhleliwe nokulinganiselwa kulezi zinyanga eziyishumi nambili. Sizokwethula izibikezelo ezinikezwe ngaphambi nangemva kokuqala konyaka.

Ngale ndlela, sizoba nolwazi olunamandla okubhekana neqiniso, uma kuphela unyaka we-2017.

Asizimisele ukuphetha ngokungagunci ngokuqondene nalokho okwenzekile ngempela, kepha kunalokho okwashiwo futhi kulinganiselwa yizinhlangano ezahlukene, iziphathimandla kanye nochwepheshe. Into esezofakazelwa uma kuphela unyaka.

Ngo-2015, i- Isikhungo Sezifundo Zomnotho kwakucatshangwa ukuthi unyaka we-2017 uzoba yisikhathi sokuguquka komnotho waseSpain. Uqhube wathi okusize umnotho ngalowo nyaka kuzowulimaza ngo-2017.

IEE kusho ngaleso sikhathi ukuthi umnotho waseSpain wethula i-inertia enamandla kakhulu yokwandisa, into enenzuzo okwesikhashana, kepha ukuthi ngo-2017 kuzoqala umjikelezo ophezulu wamazinga wenzalo namanani entengo yezinto zokusetshenziswa. Ingxenye enkulu nje yokukhula kweGDP yaseSpain ibangelwe yizinto zokusetshenziswa ezingambi eqolo, ikakhulukazi uwoyela, izwe elidinga ukungenisa kuwo.

Ngo-2016, abahlaziyi abaningi abazimele nezinhlangano zamazwe ngamazwe baqinisekisa ukuthi yize kunezingqinamba eziningi ezikhona, iSpain izoqhubeka nokuba yizwe elizokhula kakhulu ngo-2017, uma kuqhathaniswa neminotho emikhulu eYurophu.

Okwalonyaka Ngo-2017 i- (GDP) - Isamba Somkhiqizo Wasekhaya, kulinganiselwa nguhulumeni waseSpain kwizigidi eziyi-1.137, ukukhula ngo-2.5%. Isilinganiso senani labantu abangasebenzi bekungu-4.3 million. Kulinganiselwa inani labangasebenzi ku-18.9

Njengoba unyaka lo nyaka uqhubeka, abahlaziyi abaningi ngokulandelana bakhuphule ukulindela noma izibikezelo zabo zomnotho eSpain uma kuqhathaniswa nezibikezelo zangaphambilini. Lokhu kwenzeke phakathi kwezinye izingqinamba ngoba ukwakhiwa kwemisebenzi okuqhubekayo kwagcinwa futhi ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kukhombisa ukuvela okuhle.

Ku-2016, ochwepheshe abaningi babikezela ukuthi i-GDP izokwehla iye cishe iphuzu futhi yanikeza njengezimbangela ezinamandla zalo mcimbi, isimo se "Brexit" e-United Kingdom kanye nezinkinga zesikhashana ezikhona kuHulumeni waseSpain.

Ngaphandle kwalezi zibikezelo, izibikezelo ngalowo mqondo, esezivele ziqale unyaka, zikhombise amathuba amakhulu okukhula komnotho okukhulu kunalokho kuka-2016, okwakungu (3.2%) futhi kunezimbangela ezithile zalo mcimbi, ukuguquguquka okungenzeka kwakungalindelekile ekuqashweni nasekutshalweni kwemali.

Ake sihlole ukuqagela kwezinye iziphathimandla, ochwepheshe kanye nezinhlangano

Umnotho waseSpain

Kuwo wonke u-2017, izinhlangano ezahlukahlukene zamazwe omhlaba ezinjenge I-European Commission kanye ne-IMF (International Monetary Fund) futhi nezinye izizwe, bezikhuphula izibikezelo zazo. Isibonelo, i-OECD ekuqaleni kukaJuni inyuse isilinganiso seGDP saba ngu-2.8%.

NgoJulayi i-IMF ibuyekeze ukukhuphuka kwe-GDP kuya ku-3.1% kulo nyaka (kusuka ku-2.6% phambilini).

La I-European Commission uveze umbono wakhe wokuthi iSpain nayo izokwehluleka ukukhokha imali ngo-2017. U-Luis de Guindos, uNgqongqoshe Wezomnotho, wathi ngaleso sikhathi ukushoda komphakathi kwakuzoba ngaphansi kuka-3% we-GDP kulo nyaka, yize i-European Commission yayibeka isibalo ku-3.1 % kusibikezelo sentwasahlobo.

UGuindos uphinde waqinisekisa ukuthi "ngaphandle kokudonswa kwemali, kungaba nzima kakhulu eSpain ukuthi sikhule sibe ngaphansi kuka-2.7" kulo nyaka, sibona ukukhula osekuqinisekisiwe kuka-3.4 kwikota yokuqala, njengoba kuvezwe yiNational Institute of Statistics (INE).

Umkhandlu Wezomnotho wenze izilinganiso kwikota yokuqala yonyaka futhi wakhombisa ukuthi umnotho waseSpain uzokhula ngo-2.7%.

I-European Commission

Ngenyanga kaMeyi, i Ukufika kweYurophu  Uthe ukuthuthuka kwezomnotho kweSpain kwakungaphezu kwawo wonke amazwe aseYurophu. Ubala ukuthi umnotho uzokhula ngo-2.8% kulo nyaka.

Uveze ukuthi kuzoba khona ukuvulwa kwamathuba emisebenzi okuqinile, yize ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi kuzoba ngaphezu kwesilinganiso samanye amazwe akulesi sifunda. Uthe imbobo yezimali izophela kulo nyaka ibe ngu-3.2% we-GDP, ephawula ngokushoda kuma-akhawunti omphakathi.

Iphaneli Yesazi

Umnotho waseSpain

Ekuqaleni konyaka, ngokwethimba labachwepheshe abangaphezu kwama-350 baseSpain, abaphathi nosomabhizinisi abalungiselelwe yiPwC; isimo sezomnotho eSpain sasisihle, futhi bathi lesi simo sizohlala kuze kube sekupheleni konyaka, ngenxa yesimo esihle ngokusetshenziswa, ukuthunyelwa kwangaphandle, izimo zezimali zezinkampani nabantu ngabanye, kanye nezinye izinto ezinhle ezifana nokuqashwa kanye nokutshalwa kwemali okukhiqizayo.

Ama-47.6% alabo okuxoxwe nabo babheka ukuthi i- ukusetshenziswa komndeni bekuzokwanda ngonyaka. U-55.2% wabikezela ukuthi isidingo sezindlu sizokwenyuka. U-66.7% walinganisela ukuthi ukuvulwa kwamathuba omsebenzi kuzoqhubeka nokwanda, u-59% wakholwa ukuthi kuzokwenzeka into efanayo nakwamanye amazwe kanti u-48.6% uthe kuzokwenzeka okufanayo ngokutshalwa kwemali okukhiqizayo.

Labo ngoti bakhulume ngokuthi umkhakha wezokuvakasha yiwona ozohola ukukhula ezweni, u-91.2% wabo wayenalo mbono.

Ama-panelists akuqinisekisile ukuthi ukuqashwa kuzokhula emikhakheni efana nezokuvakasha kanye nezokwakha, okuyizinto zendabuko; kepha nokuthi izobe ikwenza nasemikhakheni esaqhamuka kakhulu efana neyezempilo, ezokuthutha kanye ne-logistics, isiko, njll.

Balindele imiphumela engemihle, maqondana nokuqedwa kwemisebenzi ye- umkhakha wezezimali nowomshuwalense.

Ibhange laseSpain

I-Bank of Spain ibheke ngo-Ephreli ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kuzomakwa kahle ngo-2017, lokhu kungenxa yokuvela kwamanani kawoyela. Izintengo zalo mkhiqizo bekulindeleke ukuthi zizinze unyaka wonke, zisize ukwehlisa ijubane le-CPI. Futhi ubelindele ukukhula kwamanani ngamanani aphezulu, okungaholela ekuzuzeni komkhiqizo okuncane.

Bbva Ucwaningo

Ngo-Agasti 2016, i- Insiza yokuhlaziya ye-BBVA  Uthe ngonyaka ozayo umnotho waseSpain uzokwehla ngenxa yemiphumela ye- “Brexit” kuwo, nokuthi uzowubiza ngokukhula kokune.

Baphawula ngaleso sikhathi ukuthi ukuba sengozini komnotho waseSpain kwakukhula nokuthi izinto eziningi zazilindele ukwehla okwehla ngo-2017. Babikezela ukukhula ngo-2.3% kulo nyaka.

Ngaphandle kwe "Brexit", bakuqinisekisile ukuthi ukuba khona kokungaqiniseki mayelana nenqubomgomo yezimali kanye nezinyathelo ezithile zezimali, kubenze baba ngokulinganisela maqondana nokulindelwe kowezi-2017.

Kulolo cwaningo lwango-2016, bathe into yokunquma lapho kuchazwa ukwakhiwa kokukhula iyaqhubeka nokusetshenziswa kwasekhaya.

Ngaleso sikhathi, babikezela ukuthi kuzoba nokwanda ekwakhiweni kwemisebenzi cishe kwemisebenzi engama-800.000 nokuthi izinga lokungasebenzi lingehliswa laya cishe ku-18.2%

Kakade ku-2017, i-BBVA yayinethemba lokuvela okuhle komnotho waseSpain. Bafike babona ukukhula kwe-GDP okufika ku-3% kulo nyaka, kube yizilinganiso ezinethemba elikhulu.

Bathe ukukhula komnotho ezweni kuzobe kungalingani ngemiphakathi ezimele. Iziqhingi zaseBalearic njengomphakathi obuzokhula kakhulu kulo nyaka, kulandelwe iCanary Islands neMadrid, i-Andalusia neCastilla-La Mancha.

Balinganisela ukuthi imiphakathi eyisishiyagalolunye ezimele izokhula ngaphansi kwesilinganiso sikazwelonke, esilele kakhulu ngemuva kwe-Asturias, iCantabria ne-Extremadura.

I-FUNCAS - Isisekelo Samabhange Okonga

Umnotho waseSpain

NgoMeyi walo nyaka, i I-Savings Banks Foundation (Funcas) futhi wenza izibikezelo zezomnotho. Ukukhula kwe-GDP kulinganiselwa ku-2.8%, kushiwo ukuthi izifunda ezine ezizimele ezizokhula kakhulu kuzoba yiMadrid, iBalearic Islands, iCatalonia neGalicia.

Ekhuluma ngokuntuleka kwemisebenzi nokwakhiwa kwemisebenzi emisha, unikeze isibalo esilinganisiwe sezikhundla ezintsha ezingama-450.000, okuzonciphisa izinga lokungasebenzi liye kuma-17.5%.

Mayelana nokusilela ekuphathweni komphakathi, uphethe ngokuthi ukuvela kwezomnotho ngesikhathi esifanele kwezwe kufanele kuvumele ukuncishiswa kwalo, kepha hhayi kangako ukuhlangabezana no-3.1% we-GDP okwavunyelwana ngawo neBrussels.

I-AIReF - Isiphathimandla Esizimele Somthwalo Wezezimali

Lo mzimba wabikezela ukukhula komnotho ngo-3.2%, lokhu kwaba yisibikezelo sesibili esitshumi ngaphezulu kwesikaHulumeni (+ 3%). Isibikezelo sokukhula kwe-GDP bekuku-0.85% kwikota yesithathu kwathi u-0.81% kube owesine.

Mayelana nomnotho waseSpain, kulo nyaka ocishe uphele ka-2017, sifingqe ezinye zezibikezelo ezenziwa ngaphambi kokuqala konyaka nangemva kokuqala kwawo.

Ngemuva kwalokho kuzokwazi ukuqhathanisa obekucatshangwa futhi kubalwa ngochwepheshe nalokho obekuqhubeka kulezi zinyanga eziyishumi nambili, isifundo okuzodingeka siphenywe futhi sijuliswe ukuze kufinyelelwe eziphethweni ezinembile.


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  1. Ubhekele imininingwane: Miguel Ángel Gatón
  2. Inhloso yedatha: Lawula Ugaxekile, ukuphathwa kwamazwana.
  3. Ukusemthethweni: Imvume yakho
  4. Ukuxhumana kwemininingwane: Imininingwane ngeke idluliselwe kubantu besithathu ngaphandle kwesibopho esisemthethweni.
  5. Isitoreji sedatha: Idatabase ebanjwe yi-Occentus Networks (EU)
  6. Amalungelo: Nganoma yisiphi isikhathi ungakhawulela, uthole futhi ususe imininingwane yakho.