Unyaka ubungeke uqale kabi ukwedlula izimakethe ezinkulu zamasheya. Ngokuncipha osukwini lwayo lokuqala lokuhweba olungaziwa eminyakeni yamuva, futhi okuholele kuwo wonke ama-indices wokuma, ngaphandle kokukhetha, ukuzibeka endaweni engemihle kusenesikhathi. Ukuphelelwa yithemba kwabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi abebelinde ukufika kweminyakazo ye-bullish ukubingelela unyaka.
Futhi kube yini imbangela yabathengisi ukuthi bazithwalise kanzima ngokweqile? Njengoba abahlaziyi abaningi bezezimali babebikezele, umsuka walezi zinyakazo ezingazelelwe wawungeke uqhamuke kwenye indawo ngokwendawo kuneChina. Izaba, kulokhu, kube idatha edumazayo kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe izimakethe. Lapho umsebenzi womkhakha wezokukhiqiza we-giant yase-Asia wehle khona ngenyanga edlule kaDisemba.
Ukubaluleka kwale datha ye-macroeconomic embi kulele ekutheni Ukungabaza okukhulu ngokuvela komnotho waseChina kuyavela futhi. Ngisho nokuhlaziywa okuhlukile emaphephandabeni akhethekile aseSpain kukhombisile ukuthi ibhamuza lezezimali kule ngxenye yomhlaba liyakwazi ukuqhuma nganoma yisiphi isikhathi, noma ngabe lizosheshe lifike kungekudala. Imiphumela isivele ngokushesha: abatshalizimali bayaphuma ezimakethe, zombili izikhungo nezokuthengisa.
Donsela ngokungazelelwe kuzo zonke izikhwama
Akumangalisi Izimakethe zamasheya zaseNtshonalanga sezithathe kulokhu kukhathazeka futhi zavalwa emazingeni angabonwa ezinyangeni ezedlule. Kudonswe phansi ukuvalwa ngaphambi kwesikhathi kwemakethe yamasheya yaseChina, okushiywe cishe ku-7% ngosuku lwayo lokuqala lokuhweba. Inkomba yeDow Jones e-United States, isibonelo, yehle ngo-1,6%. Kepha ingxenye embi kakhulu ithwelwe yimali yaseYurophu, ngaphandle kokuhlukile.
IDax yaseJalimane yehle ngethonsi elikhulu kunawo wonke, i-4,28%, i-Eurostoxx-50, cishe i-3%, ngenkathi inkomba yokuma kweSpain, i-Ibex-35, ibe ngomunye wabantu abangasebenzi kahle kakhulu abaphume kulo mthengisi wezimakethe ezimakethe zezimali, ngo-2,42% kuphela. Kodwa-ke, ukukhathazeka phakathi kwabasindisi baseSpain kukhulu, besaba ukuthi lokhu kushayeka kwemakethe yamasheya ekuseni kakhulu kuyisandulela sokuwa okuvelele, noma ukwehla okusha komnotho emhlabeni wonke. Futhi lokho kungadala umonakalo omkhulu ezimpahleni zakho, uma ngalesi sikhathi unezikhundla zomthengi kunoma yiziphi izimakethe zezezimali.
Umphumela wokuqala okhishwe kulo msombuluko omnyama ezimakethe zamasheya emhlabeni wonke yilokho Yizinkomba namagugu adalulwe kakhulu emnothweni waseChina ahlukumezeka kakhulu ngenxa yokushayisana kwamanani. Futhi nokuthi sebeze bafika nasezimakethe zezinto zokusetshenziswa, ngisho no-oyela. Akumangalisi ukuthi njengoba umkhiqizo wehla kule ngxenye yomhlaba, ukusetshenziswa kwalezi zimpahla zezimali kuzokwehla ngokusobala.
Ukusabela kwezimakethe zesikhathi esizayo
Ukungaqiniseki okukhulu ukuthi abatshalizimali abavela engxenyeni yomhlaba banakho ukuthi izimakethe zizoguquka kanjani kusukela manje kuqhubeke. Uma ukuwa okungathi sína kuzoma, noma uma kunalokho, kuzoba nzima kakhulu ezimakethe, futhi uvalo luzobamba izimakethe. Kungaba yisipho esingalindelekile ukuthi oMajesties babo oMagi abavela eMpumalanga bakulethele lo nyaka omusha.. Kepha manje hhayi ngesimo samakha, amaselula, amashethi noma ezinye izipho, kepha ngamanani.
Okwamanje, izimakethe zesikhathi esizayo zase-Asia zivule iseshini ngokuvuleka okuthe xaxa ezimakethe zamasheya zaseYurophu naseNyakatho Melika, ngentuthuko enamahloni, phakathi kuka-0,05% no-0,30%, engakhombisi ngokusobala ngokuvulwa kwamanani. ekuseni ngalo Lwesibili.
Mayelana nezimakethe zamasheya ase-Asia, lapho iningi labatshalizimali abancane lincike khona, maphakathi neseshini, izimakethe ezinkulu zamasheya ziqale usuku ngenzuzo eningi, eholwa yi-Indonesia, kanye nezikhwama ezingezansi ePhilippines naseVietnam okwaqala ngokulahlekelwa. Imakethe yamasheya yaseChina ithuthuke cishe ngo-1%, kuyilapho amaJapan engathokozelwa yishumi kuphela. Kodwa-ke, njengoba iseshini iqhubeka, umbala obomvu kuzintengo uphoqelela inzuzo.
Ibhamuza lezimali elingenzeka laseChina.
Enye yezincazelo ezinikezwe ngalokhu kuziphatha kwezimakethe zamasheya zamazwe omhlaba ezinsukwini zokuqala zikaJanuwari, kungenxa yokuthi ukwethuka ukuthi isimo sezomnotho ePeople's Republic of China sibi kakhulu kunezinkomba zezomnotho ezisikhombisa. Futhi ukuthi kungaba nemiphumela emibi emhlabeni wonke. Okokuqala, kulabo abasafufusa (iBrazil, iRussia, iNdiya, i-Argentina, iSouth Korea, njll.), Okuzothinteka kakhulu.
Kepha nasezindaweni ezinkulu zezomnotho (e-United States, e-European Union nase-Japan), okungangabazeki ukuthi zizobandakanyeka ekwehleni kwe-GDP yabo (Umkhiqizo Wekhaya Owonke). Ngisho nokomnotho omusha ongaletha izinkinga ezinkulu kula mazwe.
Ngokwalo mbono wezomnotho, izinyathelo ezithathwe izimakethe zokulingana emhlabeni wonke azikhuthazi kakhulu. Futhi ngemuva kokuphela konyaka odlule, ngesibikezelo sabahlaziyi abahloniphekile, okukhombisa ukuthambekela okuya phezulu - esimweni sokuma kukazwelonke -, phakathi kuka-10% no-30%. Okwamanje amaqiniso ayaziphika lezi zimo ezinethemba, kepha ngokunengqondo u-2016 usanda kuqala, yize kungayiphi indlela.
Ukungezwani phakathi kweSaudi Arabia ne-Iran
Isimo sibhebhethekiswa yisimo esisha se-geostrategic eMiddle East, ngemuva kwezinsolo eziphakathi kweSaudi Arabia ne-Iran ngemuva kokubulawa kukamfundisi wamaShiite ngowayengowokuqala. Futhi lokho sekuholele ekukhuliseni ukungezwani kule ndawo yomhlaba. Kungathatha nomthelela ezimakethe zamasheya, yize kuzodingeka ukuthi kutholakale kangakanani, ngoba iyindawo eshisa kakhulu emhlabeni futhi inemiphumela emihle ezimakethe.
Ngaphandle kokukhohlwa lokho futhi intengo engahluziwe isengcupheni, ngoba bobabili bangabakhiqizi abakhulu bale nto eluhlaza. Futhi lokho okwamanje kungenye yamanani aphansi kakhulu eminyakeni yamuva. Ngokuqondile, umgqomo uthengisa ngo- $ 36. Futhi kwakungesinye sezici ezaholela ekuvalweni konyaka owedlule ngokulahleka, futhi kwaze kwaba nomhlangano wendabuko kaKhisimusi.
Zizoba amaphuzu amabili abalulekile okufanele uwabheke ezinsukwini ezizayo, ukuhlola ukuvela kwemakethe yamasheya, futhi ukuthi ubone ukuthi babeka ukungazami okuthile kuyo yonke iminyakazo. Mhlawumbe ngomehluko obalulekile phakathi kwezintengo zabo eziphakeme nezincane, okuzoba mnandi kakhulu ukwenza kube semthethweni uma uzokwenza imisebenzi yokuhweba ngasikhathi sinye sokuhweba.
Izinkinobho eziyisishiyagalombili zokulondoloza imali oyitshalile
Inhloso enkulu yezenzo zakho kusukela kulo mzuzu kuqhubeke kuzoba njalo gcina izenzo zakho. Isinqumo okungelula kangako ukusenza, lapho kungenzeka ukuthi usuvele unqwabelene nokulahlekelwa kwemali emalini esele kuphothifoliyo yakho yokutshala imali. Kunoma ikuphi, futhi uma kwenzeka isimo siba sibi ngokwengeziwe, kunconywa kakhulu ukuthi thatha uchungechunge lwezinyathelo zokuqapha ezizosiza kakhulu uma kwenzeka izinto ziba zimbi ngezikhathi zokuhweba ezilandelayo, noma mhlawumbe kulo lonke ukuvivinya umzimba.
- Uma isifiso sakho bekuwukusebenzisa ngokunenzuzo izinsuku zokuqala zonyaka ukwenza ukuthenga okukhethiwe kumasheya, kunconywa kakhulu ukuthi uyeke leli qhinga futhi usunemali ephelele ngaphambi kokufika kombono ongcono ngomnotho wamazwe omhlaba. Ungasheshi lapho wenza noma yikuphi ukusebenza ezimakethe, ngoba intengo ongayikhokha iphezulu kakhulu.
- Uma uthenge amasheya, kunoma imuphi umakethe, umkhakha noma ama-indices emakethe yamasheya, futhi unawo ngokuzuza kwemali, noma ngabe incane kangakanani, unganikeza i-oda elisheshayo lokuthengisa ukuze uye ngqo kwi-akhawunti yakho yokuhlola. Ukujabulela ukusebenza kwabo, ngenkathi ubuka izinkunzi eceleni.
- Ungasizakala ngezimali zokutshala imali, ezixhunyaniswe nokuguquguquka, noma ubuyisele emuva utshalomali (phansi) ukusizakala ngalezi zinhlangano ezenzeka ngokungazelelwe ezimakethe zezimali ezikhona, futhi inqobo nje uma zisaqhubeka ezinsukwini ezizayo. Ngale ndlela, ungakhulisa ngokuphawulekayo imali oyitshalile.
- Ngaphansi kwanoma yiziphi izimo awutshali imali yakho ezimakethe zamasheya zaseChina manjeFuthi nakomakhelwane bayo base-Asia, ngoba zizoba yizindawo ezivulekele kakhulu ukuwa okunzima uma umnotho wazo uqhubeka nokuwohloka.
- Kufanele ucabangele ukuthi yonke imikhakha yemakethe yamasheya izodalulwa kumanje ngokuthengisa kwabatshalizimali, kepha ikakhulukazi lezo zinkampani ezibalwe ezixhunywe emnothweni we-giant yase-Asia. Futhi-ke labo abavela emkhakheni wezezimali (amabhange, izinkampani zomshuwalense, amaqembu okutshalwa kwezimali, njll.).
- Indlela enhle yokuqala unyaka ingaqhamuka kwimikhiqizo yasebhange ehloselwe ukonga. Ngeke bakunikeze imbuyiselo emangalisayo, engekho ngaphezulu kwe-1%, kepha ngokubuyisa uzovikela ukulondolozwa kwakho ngokuphepha okuphelele.
- Thola ngokuvela kwezimali zokutshala onazo kuphothifoliyo yakho, ngoba noma ngabe awazi, bangathinteka ukwehla komnotho wase-Asia. Futhi manje, kungaba yisikhathi sokuzibuyekeza futhi ushintshe isu lakho, mhlawumbe kokuzivikela ngokwengeziwe ngokudluliswa ongakwenza.
- Ekugcineni, khohlwa ngamanani okungenani izinsuku ezimbalwa. Ngale ndlela uzogwema ukudinwa okungaphezu kokukodwa, futhi ngaphezu kwakho konke uzokwazi ukuba nefa elifanayo oqale ngalo unyaka, okungelona elincane ezimeni zamanje. Sebenzisa izinsuku zokugcina zalawa maqembu athandekayo ukuze ujabule kancane, uzobe usuthole isikhathi esanele sokuhlaziya izimakethe, futhi uthathe nezikhundla kuzo, uma izimo zivuma.