Kukhona ukungabaza izimakethe zezimali okusamele zikuxazulule?

Bekuhlale kushiwo ukuthi isitha esiyinhloko sezimakethe zokulingana ukungabaza okukhiqizwa ku- ezomnotho, ezombusazwe kanye nezamabhizinisi. Lokhu kuyiqiniso njengoba ukungabaza kudala ukungazinzi okuphawulekayo ezimakethe zezimali. Ukuthi kube ngesinye sezizathu eziyinhloko zokuthi ama-stock indices abo awe ekucushweni kwamanani abo. Ngaphandle kokunye ukucatshangelwa kobuchwepheshe futhi mhlawumbe futhi kusukela ekubukeni kwezisekelo zayo.

Kunoma ikuphi, okuwukuphela kwento eqinisekile ngalesi sikhathi, kusenokungabaza okuningi okufanele kuxazululwe, ezimakethe zezimali zikazwelonke nangaphandle kwemingcele yethu. Futhi yilabo abazocacisa ukuthi isikhwama khuphuka noma wehle ezinyangeni ezizayo ngokususelwa kokuningi kwalokhu okuguqukayo. Ngakho-ke, ngeke usakwazi ukuzikhethela kusuka manje ukuya phambili kunokwazi kakhulu lezi zinhlaka ezibalulekile uma ufuna ukwenza imisebenzi yakho emakethe yamasheya ibe nenzuzo. Kokubili ngokuvula nokuvala izikhundla kwizibambiso zabo.

Ngokwalo mongo ojwayelekile, sizokunikeza okunye ukungabaza okungakaxazululwa nanamuhla. Kuningi kodwa noma kunjalo sizoklelisa okunye okubaluleke kakhulu futhi okuzoba yikhona okuzothonya i- ukuziphatha kwezimakethe zokulingana kusuka manje. Ngomqondo othile noma omunye, njengoba uzokwazi ukuqinisekisa kusukela manje kuqhubeke. Ikakhulukazi ukuthuthukisa utshalomali lwakho engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka. Isikhathi lapho kufanele ugxilise amasu akho kutshalomali uma ungafuni ngempela ukwenza amaphutha abeka imali yakho etholakalayo engcupheni.

Ukungabaza emakethe: ukwehla kwamandla omnotho

Imininingwane ye-macroeconomic ayiniki kungabaza: sibhekene nesikhathi sokuncipha komnotho emazweni omhlaba. Yebo, manje kusazobonakala ukuthi ngabe le nhlangano emnothweni wamazwe omhlaba ingaholela ku ukwehla kwamandla omnotho okusha. Ngalo mqondo, imibiko yakamuva evela ezinhlanganweni zamazwe omhlaba, njengaleyo eyenziwe yi-International Monetary Fund (IMF). Lapho kukhonjiswa khona ukuthi onyakeni owedlule, umsebenzi wezomnotho wawushesha cishe kuzo zonke izifunda zomhlaba futhi ukukhula komnotho womhlaba kwakulinganiselwa ku-3,9% ngo-2018 nango-2019.

Kuningi okushintshile kusukela lapho: ukukhuphuka kwezingxabano phakathi kwe-United States neChina, ukungezwani komnotho omkhulu e-Argentina naseTurkey, ukuphazamiseka imboni yezimoto eJalimane, ukuqiniswa kwezinqubomgomo zezikweletu eChina, kanye nokuncipha kwezimo zezimali ezenzeke ngokuhambisana nokwenziwa kwenqubomgomo yezimali emnothweni omkhulu kunayo yonke kube nomthelela ekwehliseni okukhulu kokwanda komhlaba, ikakhulukazi kwisemester yesibili yonyaka wezi-2018.

Izibikezelo zekusasa le-IMF

Njengesibikezelo esivela ku-International Monetary Fund (IMF), babheka ukuthi ubuthakathaka buzoqhubeka ngonyaka we-2019, embikweni wabo womnotho wezwe (Umbiko we-WEO, ngesifinyezo saso esiNgisini) kulindeleke ukuthi inkontileka yokukhula ngo-2019 ifinyelele kuma-70% umhlaba wezomnotho. Ukukhula komhlaba wonke, okuthinte ama-4% aphezulu ngo-2017, kwehle kwaba ngu-3,6% ngo-2018 futhi kuzoqhubeka leyo ndlela yokutholakala ngo-3,3% ngo-2019. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, bagcizelela ukuthi isimo sibi kakhulu kunalokho abebekulindele futhi bakhuthaza ohulumeni emhlabeni wonke ukuthi benze izexwayiso zabo zisebenze.

Ngenkathi ngakolunye uhlangothi, kushiwo embikweni we-International Monetary Fund ukuthi “amathemba abhekene namazwe amaningi abucayi kakhulu, aphawuleka ngokungaqiniseki okukhulu kwesikhashana, ikakhulukazi njengoba amazinga okukhula eminothweni ethuthukile ziguqukele emandleni amancane esikhathi eside ”. Leli qiniso lingabonakala ezimakethe zezimali, ngokulungisa izikhundla zabo ngenkathi lesi simo sisekhona, esingenalo nhlobo ithemba emnothweni wamazwe omhlaba.

Impi phakathi kweChina ne-United States

Zonke izimakethe zezezimali zilindile kokungenzeka ngalesi sici. Esikhathini esifushane, akukho kungabaza ukuthi kuyabonakala ezimakethe zamasheya emhlabeni jikelele. Yize kunethemba lokuthi udaba luzoxazululwa kahle ekugcineni. Kungenzeka kakhulu engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka. Kepha okwamanje it is detracting from the international stock markets, even ngokuwa okunzima kakhulu kwezinye izikhathi zokuhweba, ngokwehla okungaphezulu kuka-2%. Akumangalisi ukuthi, ngokweminye imibiko yamazwe omhlaba, ukukhula komnotho emhlabeni kuzoncika kukho. Ngomthelela onqumayo ezimakethe zezimali.

Ngenkathi ngakolunye uhlangothi, kungahle kube yiqiniso okusolwa ngalo ezinyangeni ezimbalwa ezizayo okungaletha ukungazinzi okuningi ezimakethe zokulingana emhlabeni jikelele. Noma iziphi izindaba ngaleli qiniso eliphawuleka kakhulu ziyahlolwa ngabenzeli abahlukahlukene bezezimali. Kufinyelela ezingeni lokuthi kungadala ukuwa okukhulu noma ukukhuphuka emakethe yamasheya. Kunoma ikuphi, lokho okukhiqizayo kuningi ukungazinzi ezimakethe. Lapho ukungazethembi kungenye yezinhlaka ezijwayelekile zazo zonke izigaba.

Kala ukukhuphuka endaweni ye-euro

Yize ezinyangeni ezedlule kuyinkinga esekukhohliwe izimakethe zezimali, ikhona lapho. Ukuze abatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi bazi ngokuvela kwayo lapho kufika isikhathi sokwakha iphothifoliyo yabo elandelayo yokutshala imali. Empeleni, kuhlelwe ukuthi amanani wenzalo khuphuka ngaphezulu konyaka olandelayo. Kepha noma yiluphi ushintsho kumasu lungaholela ekunyakazeni okunodlame kakhulu ezimakethe zezimali. Kuzofanele silindele kakhulu ngezinqumo i-European Central Bank (ECB) engazithatha.

Ngalo mqondo, akungabazeki ukuthi kuzoba nokulahlekelwa okukhulu kanye nezinzuzo kwizibambiso ezenza imali engenayo kazwelonke. Ngokuphathelene nokwangaphambili, kungaba amabhange ukuthi uma isimo sentengo yemali eshibhile sinomkhawulo omncane wokulamula ukukhiqiza inzuzo yabo. Ngenkathi ngakolunye uhlangothi, abazuzi balesi silinganiso izinkampani zikagesi. Akumangazi ukuthi ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezedlule bancome ngaphezu kwama-30%. Ukuba umkhakha omuhle kakhulu wezimali zaseSpain, kude. Ngaphezu kwalokho, yibo abasabalalisa izabelo ezinhle kakhulu, nezimbuyiselo ezingaphezu kuka-6%.

Ukuphuma okucacile kweBrexit

Ukuphuma okucacile kweGreat Britain ezikhungweni zomphakathi kuthengiswa kancane kancane emakethe yamasheya ngenxa yokuthi lokhu kugcina sekwenzekile. Kufanele kusasikhathaze, kepha ngamandla wezinyanga ezimbalwa ezedlule. Lapho kunqume khona ukuvela kwezikhwama kuzo zonke izindlela zokubuka. Kusukela manje kuya phambili ngeke isaba yisinqumo esinqumayo njengakuqala, yize inganikela ngaphezu kokwethusa kwamanye amasheya athinteke kakhulu. Njengoba zisezimalini zikazwelonke, USantander, uSabadell, u-Iberdrola futhi mayelana nenkampani yezindiza i-IAG. Bangaqhubeka nokuthola ukulungiswa okukhulu ngamanani abo kusukela manje kuqhubeke.

Ukuphuma okucacile kweGreat Britain kungasho ukuphumula kwabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi. Ngaphezu kwanoma yini ngoba bazosusa ukungabaza ngaphezulu futhi leli qiniso lingaholela ekutheni bathuthukise isu labo lokutshala imali ngethemba elikhulu kunamanje. Okungenani kuzoba yinto engeke isabhalwa ekuthengisweni kwamasheya kusukela ngalolo suku ekuphumeni okucacile okuvela eGreat Britain. Kulindeleke ukuthi lesi sinqumo singabambezeleka isikhathi eside, ngenhlanhla ingxenye enkulu yabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi.

I-locomotive yaseYurophu inciphisa ijubane

Ukuntengantenga kwezepolitiki nezomnotho kungafinyelela kwelinye lamazwe anamandla kakhulu ku-European Union njengeJalimane. Isipoki se- ukhetho lokuqala indiza phezu kwazo zonke izimakethe zamasheya zaseYurophu futhi lokhu akufuni abatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi. Ukuthi bayabona ukuthi ukungabaza okusha kubabamba kanjani ukuze bathathe isinqumo ngalezi zikhathi eziqondile nokuthi ngosuku oluthile kungaba namandla okuthengisa kakhulu ezimakethe zezimali. Ngaphandle kokunye ukucatshangelwa kobuchwepheshe okuzoba isihloko sokunye ukuhlaziywa.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, asikwazi ukukhohlwa ithonya elikhulu iJalimane elinalo ekuthuthukiseni izimakethe zezimali kulo lonke izwekazi laseYurophu. Lapho yonke iphuzu ledatha ngomqondo wokuthi kukhona ukwehla kwezomnotho okufanele ukucatshangelwe. Nokuthi kungathatha izikhwama ziye emazingeni aphansi ezicashunwe ngazo okwamanje. Kanye nomphumela wayo wezengqondo engxenyeni enkulu yabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi. Ukufika ezingeni lokuthi bangakhetha izikhundla ezimfushane esikhundleni sabathengi. Noma kunjalo ukuze babe sesimweni sokuthola izinkontileka zemikhiqizo yezimali ngokususelwa kumanje we-bearish wezimakethe zesitoko. Ngakho konke okusho ukusebenzisa leli qhinga ekutshalweni kwemali. Ngaphandle kokunye ukucatshangelwa kobuchwepheshe okuzoba isihloko sokunye ukuhlaziywa.


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  1. Ubhekele imininingwane: Miguel Ángel Gatón
  2. Inhloso yedatha: Lawula Ugaxekile, ukuphathwa kwamazwana.
  3. Ukusemthethweni: Imvume yakho
  4. Ukuxhumana kwemininingwane: Imininingwane ngeke idluliselwe kubantu besithathu ngaphandle kwesibopho esisemthethweni.
  5. Isitoreji sedatha: Idatabase ebanjwe yi-Occentus Networks (EU)
  6. Amalungelo: Nganoma yisiphi isikhathi ungakhawulela, uthole futhi ususe imininingwane yakho.