Ngesikhathi esilindelekile kubatshalizimali, sekuvele “uMsombuluko omnyama” omusha ezimakethe zamasheya zomhlaba jikelele. Ukuqala kwesonto bekungeke kuqale kabi ezimakethe zezimali ze imali engenayo. Lapho inkomba enamandla Dow Jones ishiywe cishe ngo-5%. Okunye kokuwa okubucayi kakhulu emlandweni wawo futhi umfutho wawo ongakaze ukhunjulwe kusukela ngonyaka wezi-2011, phakathi nesimo sezomnotho esicindezelayo. Lokhu kwehla, ngakolunye uhlangothi, kudlulele nakwezinye izimakethe, njenge-Asia neYurophu. Kunoma ikuphi, ukukhathazeka sekufake kabusha phakathi kwabasebenzisi be-stock market.
Lokhu kwehla emakethe yamasheya, ikakhulukazi iNyakatho Melika, kumangaze ingxenye enhle yabahlaziyi bezezimali. Ngoba ukuvela kwamasheya aseNyakatho Melika bekungaqondakali kuze kube manje. Ukushaya usuku nosuku i- ukuphakama kwesikhathi sonke futhi ube ngomunye wemakethe yezimali enenzuzo enkulu emhlabeni. Ngenzuzo yokuthi eminyakeni eyishumi edlule isondele ku-100%. Kuyiqiniso ukuthi uhlobo oluthile lokulungiswa belulindelekile, kepha hhayi ukunyakaza okunodlame njengalokhu okuthuthukisiwe kuleli sonto.
Okwamanje ukuthengisa kuzibeke ngokusobala ezindaweni zokuthenga. Kepha ubusha ngalesi sikhathi bebusemandla kulezi zikhundla. Kuze kube sekumangaliseni abatshalizimali abaningi abancane nabaphakathi ngonyawo olushintshile. Manje esizama ukukuhlaziya ukuthi ngabe lokhu kwehla kungumcimbi ohlukile futhi othize noma kuyinto ebaluleke kakhulu. Lokho okungukuthi, ukuqala kwe- kwehle lokho kungaba nemiphumela emibi kakhulu ezikhundleni zabatshalizimali. Lesi ngesinye sezihluthulelo abasebenza ngokwezezimali abazibuza zona kulezi zinsuku.
Izizathu zokuqhekeka e-United States
Ukulahlekelwa yi-5% kuseshini eyodwa yokuhweba ngamagama amakhulu uma kukhulunywa ngamasheya. Kunoma ikuphi, isizathu sokuqala, nesisobala, salokhu kuwa kwemakethe yamasheya yase-United States sixhumene nesinqumo se- ukukhuphuka kwamanani wenzalo. Manje kubonakala sengathi ngeke kube ngokuqhubekayo, njengoba abatshalizimali babecabanga. Uma kungenjalo lokho kungahle kube yisiphithiphithi futhi kusheshe kakhulu kunalokho ongakulindela. Ukwesaba okukhona njengamanje engxenyeni enhle yabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi futhi okudluliselwe ezimakethe zezimali.
Yebo, konke kubonakala kukhombisa ukuthi umnotho waseNyakatho Melika uhamba njengesibhamu, njengoba kukhonjisiwe iningi lawo Izinkomba ze-macroeconomic. Kepha nge-nuance encane, futhi lokho kungukuthi kunezinkomba zokuthi ukufudumala okuthile kungenzeka ukuthi kwenzeka kukho. Futhi lesi sici esibalulekile singaba nemiphumela emibi ekusetshenzisweni kwamazinga wenzalo kolunye uhlangothi lwe-Atlantic. Futhi lokhu kwesaba kudalulwe ezimakethe zamasheya. Le yindlela okuchazwa ngayo lokhu kwehla kokuncane futhi akukho okungaphezu kuka-5%.
Kuzokwenzekani ngamanani wenzalo?
Kunoma ikuphi, kunento eyodwa ecace bha nokuthi lokho isinqumo ngamanani wenzalo e-United States, iyaqhubeka nokuthatha isinqumo sokuvela kwezimakethe zokulingana. Lokhu kuvezwe ngobudlova obukhulu phakathi nalezi zinsuku. Ngokucindezela kokuthengisa okungakaze kubonwe eminyakeni, okungenani ezimakethe zamasheya zaseMelika. Ngethonsi elikhulu kunawo wonke ake aqoshwa ku-Dow Jones. Isici esikhuthaze ukungabi nathemba ezimakethe zezezimali ukuthi siqhubeke namasu abo okuba yimali ezimakethe zezimali.
Kunoma yikuphi, amasheya aseYurophu awela cishe ku-2%, adonswa phansi ukwehla okukhulu kwamaphoyinti aqoshwe yiDow Jones. Ngokuxhumanisa okuqondile maqondana namanani entengo yamasheya kwenye imakethe enkulu yezimali yamazwe omhlaba. Kufika eqophelweni lokugqamisa ukuxhumana okukhulu okukhona njengamanje ngalezi zimpahla zezimali. Hhayi ngeze, Izimakethe zase-Asia Bashiye cishe u-4% ngokwesilinganiso kulezi zinsuku ezimbili zokuqala zesonto. Manje kuzodingeka kuphela ukubheka ukuthi ngabe lokhu kuwela kuzinkomba zomhlaba eziyinhloko kuzoba nokunwetshwa okwengeziwe phakathi nezinsuku ezilandelayo.
Ama-Downs adlulela nase-Europe
Akukhona kuphela ukuthi imakethe yamasheya yaseMelika ihambe kabi kulezi zinsuku. Uma kungenjalo, ngokuphambene nalokho, ezwenikazi elidala lokhu kuzamazama nakho kukhonjisiwe emhlabeni wemakethe yamasheya. Ngenxa yalokho, iFrance CAC 40 yehle ngo-2,35%; i-FTSE yaseBrithani, i-2,64%; iDax yaseFrankfurt, 2,32% neMIB yaseMilan, 1,52%. Mayelana nemakethe yamasheya yaseSpain, kufanele kuthiwe igcine lo mugqa ofanayo lapho Ibex 35 2,5%. Ngekusasa elibomvu kuzo zonke izimakethe, okungabazekayo kuveza ukuwa okuningi phakathi nesonto. Yize kungenzeka zingabi namandla afanayo nangoMsombuluko.
Kunoma ikuphi, akuyona imakethe yezimali kuphela elahlekelwe inani kulezi zinsuku ezibucayi kubo bonke abatshalizimali. Okunye okuthintekile kakhulu kube uwoyela, kusukela umgqomo brent, ibhentshimakhi eYurophu, ihlale ingaphezu nje kwamaRandi angama-67. Ngokwehla kwenani lentengo yalo engu-0,70%. Kodwa-ke, bekungekho okumangazayo njengasesimweni sezinkomba eziyinhloko zomhlaba jikelele. Ngomthelela okhawulelwe kakhulu kuze kube manje.
Isikhundla sesibopho sobukhosi
Eminye yemiphumela yesibambiso yalokhu kwehla okukhulu kwamanani emhlabeni wonke ivele ku amabhonasi. Ngoba empeleni, kusukela kulo mbono omusha wotshalo-mali, ibhondi yase-US ivelele kulezi zinsuku ngokumaka inzalo ka-2,7%, ephikisana nenzuzo ibhondi yaseJalimane enikela ngayo kulezi zinsuku, ehamba ebhendi elinesilinganiso 0,7%. Lezi zintengo zilindele ukukhuphuka kwezinga lesikhathi esizayo, nokuyikwesaba okukhulu izimakethe zezezimali ezinakho. Futhi lapho lokhu kwehla kwamanani e-United States kugxilwe futhi kwaba sezingeni elincane kunezinye izindawo zomhlaba.
Ngakho-ke, lokhu kwehla emakethe yamasheya nakho kungahunyushwa njengeqoqo nje lenzuzo emakethe yamasheya yase-US. Yize kunezincazelo ezibaluleke kakhulu ezivela kwamanye amaphuzu wokubuka wokutshala imali. Ngalo mqondo, awukwazi ukukhohlwa kusukela manje kuqhubeke ukuthi kube khona ushintsho lomnikazi ku inqubomgomo yezimali ngaphesheya kwe-Atlantic. Futhi lesi yisici esingadala ukungathembani phakathi kwabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi.
Shintsha kunjalo ku-FED
Futhi kungakhohlwa lokho I-Federal Reserve yase-United States (FED) ithatha isikhundla sokuba ngumongameli omusha futhi lokhu kuhlwanyela intukuthelo ethile ezimakethe zezimali. Ezinyathelweni ezingathathwa ezindabeni zezimali futhi zixhunyaniswe ikakhulukazi namazinga wenzalo. Okunye kwalokhu kuphathelene nokuphahlazeka kwemakethe yamasheya ekuqaleni kwesonto. Akumangalisi ukuthi sekuqala ukucatshangelwa ukuthi inhloko entsha yeFed, uJerome Powell, angahle enze uhlobo oluthile lokunyakaza kwemali olunolaka lapho efika nje esikhundleni. Ngoba uma kunjalo, lokhu kwehla kwezimakethe zezimali ngeke kube ukugcina isikhathi. Uma kungenjalo njengesandulela sokusikwa okusha futhi mhlawumbe kukhulu ngokwengeziwe ngemiphumela yako eyinhloko.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, akunqatshelwe ukuthi imakethe yamasheya iyaqhubeka nokwengeza inani otshalweni lwakho, kepha into eyodwa iqinisekile kakhulu futhi lokho ukuthi ukungazethembi sekufinyelele ezimakethe zamasheya cishe zawo wonke umuntu futhi. Ukuvela kwe Inkomba ye-VIX Lokhu kubonakala kulezi zinsuku ezimbili, ngokuguquka okuphawulekayo emazingeni abo. Vele, awukwazi ukukhohlwa ukuthi lokho le nkomba exhumene ngqo nezinyathelo zemakethe yamasheya ukwesaba kwabatshalizimali. Futhi njengamanje akushoyo ukuthi kuningi.
Amathuba amasha ebhizinisi
Yize uma utshala imali kulesilinganiso, ungangabazi ukuthi uzokwazi ukuthola imali eningi kusuka manje kuqhubeke uma ukuntengantenga ezimakethe zezimali kuyinto yangempela. Yize kunengozi enkulu ekusebenzeni ngoba kuyadingeka ukuhlinzeka ngolwazi oluningi kulolu hlobo lokunyakaza okukhetheke kakhulu kusuka kuwo wonke amaphuzu wokubuka. Kunoma ikuphi, unyaka omusha okhona njengamanje uqale ukushukunyiswa kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelekile kusukela ekuqaleni.
Lapho, ngaphandle kokungabaza, amathuba amabhizinisi azoqhubeka nokuvela, noma ngabe izinto ziba zimbi kakhulu emakethe yamasheya esikhathini esisele sonyaka. Okungenani kuyisimo esisha lapho bekungadingeki ukuthi wenze ngokusemthethweni ukusebenza kwakho emakethe yamasheya. Ngoba ekugcineni kosuku yilesi sikhwama. Lapho ungathola khona imali eningi, kepha futhi shiya ama-euro amaningi emgwaqeni.