I-ECB izobeka ijubane ezimakethe zamasheya zase-Europe ngonyaka we-2019

ecb

Umkhandlu olawulayo we-European Central Bank (ECB) uthathe isinqumo sokugcina inzalo ingashintshi emihlanganweni yawo yokugcina. Umzimba ophethwe isiNtaliyane UMario Draghi iyaqhubeka necebo layo lokuthenga izimpahla, yize zinamandla amancane kunango-2019. Lezi zindaba zilungele izintshisekelo zabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi abangalindeli ukuthi leli qiniso lizoba nemiphumela eyeqile ezimakethe zezimali zezwekazi elidala e lo nyaka omusha esibe nokuzivocavoca kuwo izinsuku ezimbalwa.

Enye into ethakazelisa kakhulu evela ezithakazelweni zebhange lase-Europe lokukhishwa yilelo elibhekisa ekukhuleni komnotho woMphakathi. Ngalo mqondo, kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi ibhizinisi eliyibhange eliphakathi libuyekeze izibikezelo zalo zokukhula kwe-GDP kulo nyaka ngeshumi elilodwa, ikakhulukazi zehlisa kusuka ku-1,8% kuya ku-1,7% futhi ishiya umbono ofanayo we-2020 ekukhuleni kwe-1,7%. Kunoma ikuphi, ukwehluka okuncane okungeke kube nomthelela omkhulu ezimakethe zezimali. Yize kungeke kumangaze kakhulu ukuthi kubuyekezwe ezinyangeni ezizayo.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, futhi kulokho okubhekiswa ku- ukwehla kwamandla emali, ukuhlaziywa kwabo kusemthanjeni ofanayo nowangenhla. Lapho kukhonjiswa khona ukuthi izonyuka ezinyangeni ezizayo, ngesibikezelo esisemthethweni esisuka ku-1,7% kuye ku-1,8%, kanti ngokuphambene nalokho, ukwehla kwamandla emali kwe-2020 kuzokwehla kuye ku-1,6% kusuka ku-1,7%. Futhi awekho amamephu abaluleke kakhulu ukuhambisa izimakethe zezimali kolunye uhlangothi noma kolunye. Ngezinye izikhathi akuyona idatha enqumayo ukuthonya amanani ezimakethe zamasheya ezwekazini elidala. Ngaphandle kokunye ukucatshangelwa kwezobuchwepheshe ngisho nasendaweni yokubuka eyisisekelo.

I-ECB: amanani wenzalo

draghi

Kunoma ikuphi, i-European Central Bank (ECB) iyakuqinisekisa lokho kulo nyaka okhona izintshisekelo ezisebenzayo imisebenzi eyinhloko yezezimali izohamba ngalesi sikhathi ngaphandle kokwehluka noma okungenani okuncane kakhulu, emazingeni we-0,00%, 0,25% no -0,40%, ngokulandelana kwesinye sezikhathi ezihlaziyiwe. Lapho, kusuka emzimbeni wezimali wase-Europe kukhonjiswa ukuthi "izingozi ezizungeze amathemba okukhula kwendawo ye-euro zisengalinganiswa njengezilinganisiwe". Isici esibhekabheka kakhulu nokuthi kulokhu kungenzeka sithonye izimakethe zezezimali.

Ngomunye umqondo, kufanele kuphawulwe futhi ukuthi kugcizelela ukuthi "ukuba sengcupheni ezimakethe ezisafufusa kanye nokungazinzi ezimakethe zezimali." Kodwa-ke lokhu kuyi- inkemba esika nhlangothi zombili njengoba ingxenye enhle yabahlaziyi bezezimali bamazwe ngamazwe igcizelela ukuthi yizimakethe zamasheya ezingakhuphuka kakhulu ezinyangeni eziyishumi nambili ezizayo noma okungenani kuze kube sekupheleni kwalo nyaka ezisanda kuvela. Akumangalisi ukuthi inamandla okubuyekeza aphezulu kunamanye ama-stock indices endaweni yaseYurophu.

Ngokuguqulwa kwezinqubomgomo zezimali

imali

Kunoma ikuphi, esinye isici okufanele sibhekwe kusukela manje kuqhubeke yi inqubomgomo yezimali endaweni ye-euro. Yile ndlela uMario Draghi amxwayise ngayo ngenkathi exwayisa emhlanganweni wakamuva nabezindaba ukuthi "kubalulekile ukuvikela izikhundla eziqinile zezimali." Yisexwayiso esicacile kubasolwandle abahamba ezweni eliyinkimbinkimbi njalo lemali futhi lelo lokutshala imali. Ngoba empeleni, kuzoba ngolunye lwezinguquko ezenzeka ngokushesha kule ndawo ebalulekile yendawo.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, kufanele kubhekwe ukuthi kusukela kulo nyaka okhona, okuningi kuzoshiwo yi-European Central Bank (ECB) enamandla onke. Lapho enye yezindaba ezisemqoka ukuthi ingasingatha ayikho enye futhi ayikho enye ngaphandle kokufaka esikhundleni sikamongameli wayo onethonya, njengamanje umNtaliyane u-Mario Draghi. Konke ukukhombisa ukuthi ukukhululeka kwakhe kuzovela kwabanamandla Umkhakha webhange waseJalimane, yize izinguquko eziningi kunqubomgomo yemali ezakhiwe kuze kube manje kungalindelekile. Ngokuhluka okumbalwa kakhulu, njengoba kubikwe ngabahlaziyi abaningi bezomnotho abafanele kakhulu.

Thayipha ukuphakama

Kunoma ikuphi, uma lo nyaka omusha uzohlukaniselwa okuthile, kungenxa yokuthi uzongena emlandweni njengonyaka owawukuwo inzalo inyukile. Yize kunjalo, kulindeleke ukuthi umfutho ungabi phezulu kakhulu futhi uzokwenzeka engxenyeni yesine yephuzu, okuyinani izimakethe zezimali zezwekazi elidala ezizehlisayo. Ngalo mqondo, noma yini ebiyenyuka ephakeme ibizozizwa kepha imbi kakhulu kubatshalizimali. Ngokuncipha okungenzeka kwezokuphepha ezibhalwe emakethe yamasheya yaseYurophu. Ngaphandle kokunye ukucatshangelwa kobuchwepheshe futhi mhlawumbe ngisho nasendaweni yokubuka izisekelo zayo.

Kunoma ikuphi, kunento eyodwa eqinisekile futhi leyo intengo yemali ngeke ishibhile njengamanje. Kufanele kukhunjulwe ukuthi manje iku-0%, okusho ukuthi yizinga elilodwa lomlando osezingeni eliphansi nokuthi empeleni kusho ukuthi imali ayifanele lutho okwamanje. Ukuvuka kokuqala kulindelwe ibekwe emazingeni angu-0,25%, kodwa hhayi okunye okuningi okwamanje. Yize enye into ehluke kakhulu yilokho okuzokwenzeka esikhathini esimaphakathi nesikhathi eside. Ngoba kulinganiselwa ukuthi kungaba khona ukwanda ngokuqhubekayo kuze kube yilapho iziphathimandla ze-European Central Bank (ECB) zithatha isinqumo.

Utshalomali luyahlawuliswa

Lesi sinqumo esibonakalayo semali se-ECB sizocubungula ukusebenza kwabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi. Phakathi kwezinye izizathu ngoba ingakhiqiza kwehle ezimakethe zokulingana zendawo ye-euro. Akusizi ngalutho, esinye sezinyathelo eziphakanyiswe yi-European Central Bank ukuqeda ukukhishwa kwemali ezimakethe zezimali. Njengomphumela walesi simo esisha ezwenikazi elidala, akungabazeki ukuthi ukuthengisa ingcindezi kuzobusa phezu kokuthenga ingcindezi emakethe yamasheya.

Zonke lezi zinto ezibalulekile zingenza kube nzima kakhulu kwizibambiso ezifakwe kuhlu kusuka manje. Futhi okuningi kakhulu lapho izimali zaseYurophu zibophele amaketanga umugqa omude kakhulu we-bullish eminyakeni yamuva nje, cishe akunamakhefu. Kuze kube ngo-2018 imakethe yamasheya ishiywe ekulinganisweni kwayo ngaphezu kuka-10% maqondana nonyaka owedlule. Okuthile okungaphindwa kulo nyaka esisanda kukuqala emasontweni ambalwa edlule. Futhi-ke, ngeke kube khona okunye ongakwenza ngaphandle kokubheka kakhulu lezi zinto eziguqukayo imakethe yamasheya engancika kuzo ezinyangeni ezizayo.

Imikhiqizo yokonga ihlomulile

ukulondoloza

Ngokuphambene nalokho, abazuzi abakhulu baleli qhinga lezezimali endaweni ye-euro ngokungangabazeki bayoba yibo imikhiqizo yokonga (imali efakwa ebhange yesikhathi esinqunyiwe, amanothi ezethembiso zebhange kanye nama-akhawunti emali engenayo ephezulu, phakathi kokunye okuhambisana kakhulu). Akumangalisi ukuthi bazobona imishado yabo yokulamula ithuthukile ukuze banikeze izinzuzo ezithokozisayo ekulondolozeni kunamanje. Hhayi ngamandla aphakeme kakhulu, kepha okungenani ukuze ingxenye enhle yokonga yangasese iphinde inentshisekelo kulolu hlobo lwamamodeli wokonga. Ngalo mqondo, banganikela kuze kufike ku-2%, lapho okwamanje bekukhawulelwe kokuncane ngaphansi kuka-1%.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, kunesici esibaluleke kakhulu ukukhetha le mikhiqizo yokonga ngoba iqinisekisa i- ukusebenza okungaguquki futhi okuqinisekisiwe minyaka yonke. Noma yini eyenzekayo ezimakethe zezimali ngisho nasezimo ezingezinhle kakhulu kubo. Ngaso sonke isikhathi kunemigomo ethile yokuhlala unomphela nokuthi kwezinye izimo kudinga ukuthi imali ibhajiswe isikhathi esingeqile. Lesi ngesinye sezici ezimbi kakhulu zokuqasha eminye yale mikhiqizo yezezimali. Ngaphandle kokunye ukucatshangelwa okuzohlaziywa kweminye imibhalo ukuqonda kangcono yonke lemiqondo.

Njengoba kungenzeka ubonile, iqiniso lokuthi kulo nyaka ungenza imali emakethe yamasheya kuzoncika, ngandlela thile, ezinyathelweni zezomnotho ezenziwa kusuka e-European Central Bank kusukela manje kuqhubeke. Kungaba ukukuzuzisa noma ngokuphambene nalokho, ukuthatha ukungajabuli ngezikhathi ezithile ezikhundleni zakho ezimakethe zezimali. Ngakho-ke, kuzofanele sazi konke okwenzayo ngo-2019 nokuthi amalungu alo afanele kakhulu athini.

Akumangalisi ukuthi asikwazi ukufihla ukuthi sibhekene noshintsho kumjikelezo kumodeli yezomnotho noma yamasheya. Lokhu, ngemuva kwakho konke, isimo esethulwe izimakethe zamasheya. Futhi ngale ndlela, ungathuthukisa imisebenzi yakho ngeziqinisekiso ezinkulu zempumelelo. Ngalo mqondo, banganikela kuze kufike ku-2%, lapho okwamanje bekukhawulelwe kokuncane ngaphansi kuka-1%.


Yiba ngowokuqala ukuphawula

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  1. Ubhekele imininingwane: Miguel Ángel Gatón
  2. Inhloso yedatha: Lawula Ugaxekile, ukuphathwa kwamazwana.
  3. Ukusemthethweni: Imvume yakho
  4. Ukuxhumana kwemininingwane: Imininingwane ngeke idluliselwe kubantu besithathu ngaphandle kwesibopho esisemthethweni.
  5. Isitoreji sedatha: Idatabase ebanjwe yi-Occentus Networks (EU)
  6. Amalungelo: Nganoma yisiphi isikhathi ungakhawulela, uthole futhi ususe imininingwane yakho.