Lapho cishe sesiphakathi nesikhathi segama likamongameli waseMelika, uDonald Trump, kunento eyodwa eqinisekile esingayisho. Ukuvela kwezimakethe zezimali kube kuhle futhi kwaba sezingeni labatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi. Ngalo mqondo, Ukuthula kufanele kube ngesinye sezici ezijwayelekile ezenzweni zabo, ngaphesheya kokungenzeka kokwenza ukulungiswa okunengqondo ekuvumelaneni kwamanani wamanani wemakethe yamasheya.
Kungashiwo ukuthi kuMongameli Trump kwakwanele ukukhulisa ukungezwani kwezohwebo neChina ukuze kusuka ku I-Federal Reserve yase-United States (FED) inqume ukwehlisa inzalo. Ngalokho, lesi senzo sizohumusha ekukhuleni okujwayelekile ezimakethe zamasheya, zombili ngakolunye uhlangothi lwe-Atlantic nolunye. Ukuba, noma kunjalo, i-ace emkhonweni umongameli waseMelika anayo ukuze izimakethe zamasheya ziqhubeke nokukhuphuka kwazo ezinyangeni ezizayo nangeminyaka phakathi neminyaka lapho ephethe elinye lamandla amakhulu ezomnotho Umhlaba.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, kufanele siqaphele ukukhathazeka kukaDonald Trump ngokuvela kwamasheya kusukela ufike njengomqashi omusha e-White House. Ngoba impela, akunakulibaleka ukuthi kusukela ekuqaleni izamile ukukhulisa lezi zimpahla zezimali ngaphezu kwezinye izinyathelo zezomnotho nezezezimali. Ngaphandle kwemiphumela engaba nayo ekuziphatheni kwabatshalizimali.
NgoTrump imakethe yamasheya isezingeni eliphakeme
Kuyiqiniso ukuthi izimali zaseMelika zikhona isilinganiso sayo esiphezulu emlandweni wayo wonke. Lapho yonke into ibonakala ikhombisa ukuthi izowa, okungenani kulo nyaka okhona nokuthi ifinyelele esimweni esiphambene. Njengamanje, izimakethe zezimali zase-US zisendaweni ephakeme ngaso sonke isikhathi. Unyaka nonyaka selokhu kwaphela ukuphela kwenkinga yezomnotho ka-2008. Lapho abatshalizimali bathole inzuzo engaphezu kuka-100% wamasheya abo. Ngokulungiswa okube kufushane kakhulu ngezikhathi lapho amanani anqunyiwe khona.
Ngenkathi ngakolunye uhlangothi, imakethe yamasheya ayikaze iyeke ukukhula kule minyaka. Ngokungenamakhefu futhi cishe nawo wonke amasheya asendaweni enhle ukujabulisa abatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi abebenezikhundla ezivulekile ezimakethe zezezimali. Kulokho okubhekwa njengenye yezikhathi ezinhle kakhulu zokulingana kuleli. Yize ukwesaba ukuthi lesi sikhathi singaphela sekusebenze njengebhuleki emzameni wabatshalizimali abasha wokujoyina izimakethe zezezimali. Ngokuqonda ukuthi isikhwama sesivele bekubiza kancane njengokuvula izikhundla ezinde.
Kuzoqhubeka nokukhula isikhathi esingakanani?
Manje umbuzo wesigidi samadola ophakanyiswe yizinkulungwane nezinkulungwane zabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi emhlabeni wonke ukuthi le nkathi ye-boom izohamba kude kangakanani nezintshisekelo zabasindisi. Ngalo mqondo, kunabahlaziyi bezimali abaningana abakhombisa ukuthi kuzoba khona kuze kube kukhona ushintsho lwethrendi entengo yemali. Lokho wukuthi, kuze kube khona ukuphakama okucacile kwenqubomgomo yezimali yi-United States Federal Reserve (FED). Cishe sekwedlule isikhathi kunokulindelwa ekuqaleni ngabathile bezomnotho. Ekuqaleni kwesigaba sesibili sonyaka ozayo futhi kungaholela nasekushintsheni kwesimo ezimakethe zamasheya.
Ngokwalo mongo ojwayelekile, akungabazeki ukuthi kuzofanele sinake kakhulu imihlangano elandelayo kuFed. Ngoba nakanjani bazonikeza umkhondo ongaphezu kowodwa wokuthi izinhloso zingashonaphi yeziphathimandla zezimali zaseMelika. Ngenhloso eyinhloko yokwakha isu lokutshala imali ukungena noma ukuphuma ezimakethe zezimali ezinyangeni ezizayo nangokuya ngezinqumo ezizokwenziwa kwesinye sezikhungo zamandla ezibaluleke kakhulu emhlabeni.
Amanani azokwehla kakhulu
Ngesikhathi esifanele lapho ushintsho kumkhuba ezimakethe zamasheya kuba ngokoqobo, kuzodingeka ukuthi kubhekwe ukuthi yimaphi amanani angashiya imali eningi emgwaqeni. Ngalo mqondo, ukubheja kucace bha kubo bonke abahlaziyi bezezimali. Kuzoba yibo abaningi baye bazisa eminyakeni yamuva labo abazoshaywa kakhulu yilokhu kuncishiswa kwentengo. Ngaphandle kokunye ukucatshangelwa kobuchwepheshe futhi mhlawumbe futhi kusukela ekubukeni kwezisekelo zayo. Lokhu kuyiqiniso lokuthi kuze kube manje akekho umxhumanisi ezimakethe zezimali oke wangabaza.
Ngenkathi esinye isici okufanele sisinakekele kulezi zikhathi eziqondile yiso esihlobene ngqo nesici sobuchwepheshe semikhakha esohlwini lwezimakethe zezimali. Ngalo mqondo, akungabazeki ukuthi okunye okubi kakhulu amabhange namaqembu ezezimali. Hhayi e-United States kuphela kepha emhlabeni wonke ngenxa yokwehla kwentengo yemali futhi lokho kungaholela ekutheni amanani abo abe ngaphansi kakhulu kwamanani abhekiswe kuwo. Njengoba kwenzeka eSpain, ngamanani wokubaluleka okukhethekile njenge I-BBVA noma iBanco Santander lokho kuhweba ngezaphulelo ezibalulekile kuzintengo zabo.
Ngemuva kwesikhathi emakethe yamasheya aseMelika
Kunoma ikuphi, uma inhloso yakho ukungena ezimakethe zaseMelika kusuka manje kuqhubeke, akungabazeki ukuthi akuyona leyo isikhathi esihle sokwenza lesi sinqumo. Akumangalisi ukuthi uphuthelwe yikho konke ukwanda eminyakeni yamuva futhi ungamangala ukuthi uma ungena ungaqala ukulungisa amanani entengo amasheya. Ngisho nangaphansi kokuqina okukhulu njengomphumela wokuthi lezi zimiso zazise kangakanani eminyakeni eyisishiyagalombili edlule yokuhweba. Lokho okubizwa ngokuthi ukugula kokuphakama kungadala ukuthi ukuthenga kukhawulwe ngokuqinile kumaseshini alandelayo emakethe yamasheya.
Asikwazi ukukhohlwa, ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuthi ama-equities aseMelika akhuliswa ngokweqile futhi kungenzeka nganoma yisiphi isikhathi lungisa lesi simo sobuchwepheshe okuvelele kakhulu. Ngisho nakumanani wokuzivikela kakhulu anganikeza nokungathandi kakhulu kubatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi. Ngoba empeleni, cishe yonke imikhakha yemakethe yamasheya ibonge kule nkathi ebanzi yezimakethe zezimali zaseMelika. Ungangabazi ukuthi ngalesi sikhathi kuningi okulahlekile kunokunqoba kule makethe yamazwe omhlaba ngakho-ke akukufanele ukubeka engcupheni imali yakho ngendlela engadingekile.
Ukugeleza kwemali kuya ezimakethe ezisafufusa
Okungenzeka kusuka manje ukuthi imali iya ezimakethe ezisafufusa, uma kunjalo Ngikuqedile ukulayishwa ezigcawini zase-United States. Ngokuvela kwamathuba amabhizinisi amasha nangamanani ancintisana kakhulu ukwenza ukonga kube nenzuzo kusuka manje. Kunoma ikuphi, ngeke kube nokukhetha ngaphandle kokukhetha kakhulu ezinqumweni ezizothathwa emasontweni azayo. Ngoba akuzona zonke izimakethe ezisafufusa ezinikeza isici sobuchwepheshe esifanayo. Hhayi kancane futhi lokhu kuyisici okufanele usazise ukuze usebenze ngamanani emakethe yamasheya.
Kubaluleke kakhulu futhi ukuthi ingcindezi yokuthengisa ifakwe kumthengi ngu i-inertia yakho yezimakethe zezezimali. Lokhu ngemuva kwento ethile enengqondo eyenzeka emalini futhi akumele kumangaze noma ngubani, ingasaphathwa eyabatshalizimali abancane nabaphakathi. Ngoba asikwazi ukukhohlwa ukuthi sisebenzelana nezimakethe zamasheya ngakho konke okushiwo yileli gama nangaphezulu kolunye uchungechunge lwezinto ezibhekwayo. Ukuze ukwazi ukuthatha isinqumo esifanelekile sokuvikela imali oyitshalile.
I-QE entsha iyaqhubeka
Kunoma ikuphi, kunento eyodwa esingayisho ngokuzwakalayo ngokuphelele nokuthi igunya likaTrump lihle kakhulu emkhakheni wokutshala imali. Ngaphezu kwanoma yimuphi omunye umongameli womunye weminotho emikhulu emhlabeni. Ngezinga ongakuthola ngalo lokho Powell qalisa i-QE entsha. Isici esizophinda sinikeze esinye isikhathi esandayo ezimakethe zamasheya emhlabeni jikelele. Vele, kungahle kube nezimanga maqondana nalokhu esikhathini esisele sonyaka.
Ngalo mongameli wase-United States, noma yini ingenzeka ezimakethe zezimali, ngisho nokuthi izimakethe zamasheya zingaqhubeka nokukhuphuka. Kepha kulokhu, ukulungiswa okulandelayo kungaba kukhulu kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe kusukela ekuqaleni. Ekupheleni konyaka sizoba nemikhondo emisha mayelana nokuthi yini engenzeka empeleni kulezi zimpahla zezimali ukwenza isinqumo esihle sokutshala imali, okuyikho phela.