Yintoni ukunyuka kwamaxabiso?

ukunyuka kwamaxabiso

Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso yenye yezona zinto zibalulekileyo eziguqukayo kwicandelo lezoqoqosho ukuya kwinqanaba lokuba ibe sisigqibo sokuthatha izigqibo ezininzi kule nkalo yoluleko. Kunokuthiwa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunokuchaphazela uninzi lwemisebenzi yakho yesiqhelo kwaye ingaba iphantsi njani epokothweni yakho. Kule meko, kunokuthiwa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso yinkqubo yezoqoqosho ebangelwa yi ukungalingani phakathi kwemveliso kunye nemfuno. Ngenxa yesi siganeko, kunokubangela ukunyuka okuqhubekayo kumaxabiso ezona mveliso kunye neenkonzo. Kwaye inokuba ngaphantsi kokulahleka kwexabiso le dinero ukubanakho ukuzifumana okanye ukuzisebenzisa. Ngokuthengwa kwezinto eziphathekayo kubandakanya.

Ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwahluka ngento enye, kungenxa yempembelelo ephezulu kwiipokotho zabathengi. Ayothusi into yokuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso yiparameter yokubaluleka okukhethekileyo ukumisela Umvuzo wabasebenzi okanye nokuhlaziya izivumelwano zamacandelo ahlukeneyo kwihlabathi lomsebenzi. Kwelinye icala, ikwasebenza nokujonga kwakhona iikhontrakthi zokurenta izindlu nomhlaba. Ke ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuphezulu kakhulu ngelo xesha, kuya kuqatshelwa kwimirhumo ekufuneka ihlawulwe ngabaqeshi ukusuka kuloo mzuzu.

Enye yeengxaki ezinkulu kwicala loorhulumente baseNtshona kukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso isibhakabhaka. Akumangalisi ukuba iimpembelelo kuqoqosho ziyingozi kwaye ekugqibeleni zichaphazele abasebenzisi. Esi sesinye sezizathu zokuba bazame ukuyilawula ngaphezulu kwezinye izinto eziqwalaselwayo. Ingakumbi ukuba imisebenzi yezoqoqosho ikwinqanaba lokwehla kwamandla emali, njengoko nizakubona kwintlekele yoqoqosho yokugqibela ka-2008. Ukuza kuthi ga kwinqanaba elilungileyo lemigaqo-nkqubo yezemali basekela isicwangciso-qhinga sabo kulawulo olukhulu lo mahluko ubalulekileyo wezoqoqosho.

Ukuvela kwamaxabiso abathengi

Ireyithi yonyaka ye-Index yamaXabiso abaThengi ngokubanzi (CPI) ngenyanga kaMeyi yi-2,1%, inqaku elinye liphezulu kunelo libhalisiweyo kwinyanga ephelileyo. Amaqela anefuthe elihle ekunyuseni izinga lonyaka ngala:

ZothuthoUmahluko wonyaka we-5,1%, ngaphezulu kwamanqaku amathathu ngaphezulu kwenyanga edlulileyo. Oku kunyuka kubangelwe kukuba amaxabiso epetroli kunye nezinto zokuthambisa kwaye, ukuya kuthi ga kwinqanaba, ukuthuthwa kwabahambi ngenqwelomoya, kunyuke kule nyanga, ngelixa behlile ngoMeyi wonyaka ophelileyo.

indawo yokuhlala, Ireyithi yayo inyuse inqaku elinesiqingatha kwaye yema kwi-2,3%, ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane, aphezulu kunango-2017. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso edizili nako kube nefuthe, nangona bekukho kumgangatho omncinci wokufudumeza, owehle kunyaka ophelileyo.

Kwelinye icala, ngenyanga kaMeyi inqanaba lokwahluka kwe-HICP limi kwi-2,1%, inqaku elinye ngaphezulu kokubhaliswa kwinyanga ephelileyo. Umahluko ngenyanga kwi-HICP yi-0,9%, ngokweedatha yakutshanje ebonelelwe liZiko lezeNkcukacha-manani leSizwe (i-INE).

Uhamba njani ukunyuka kwamaxabiso?

dinero

Yonke into eza kugcina ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuluhlu olusuka kwi-0,5% ukuya kwi-3% ithathwa njengesiqhelo kwaye ukuya kuthi ga kwinqanaba elithile kusengqiqweni ukuba yenzeke. Enye into eyahluke mpela kukuba iyagqitha kula margins kwaye kwimeko apho akuyi kubakho khetho ngaphandle kokutshintsha umgaqo-nkqubo ngokubhekisele kwixabiso lemali. Kulungile ukuthoba okanye ukunyusa inzala, kuxhomekeke ekubeni ixabiso lentengo liphantsi okanye liphezulu. Kuba, ewe, zimbalwa izinto eziguquguqukayo kwezoqoqosho ezinefuthe ngqo kwimali yabathengi. Ukufikelela kwinqanaba lokuba kuxhomekeke kwindaleko yabo, kunokuthiwa banemali engaphezulu okanye encinci. Ukuya kuthi ga kwinqanaba elithile, ivelise isiqwenga solwazi esibaluleke kakhulu ukuseka ukuba leliphi inqanaba lobutyebi bosapho kumzuzu othile.

Kule meko ngokubanzi, awunakuqonda ukunyuka kwamaxabiso njengenye idatha yoqoqosho. Ukuba akunjalo, ngokuchaseneyo, njengento esondele kakhulu kwiminqweno yakho kwaye inyanga nenyanga ihlaziywa kwidatha yayo. Ukuza kuthi ga kwinqanaba lokuba kulandelwa kakhulu phantse ziiarhente zoqoqosho zelizwe. Ngale ndlela, awungekhe ulibale ukuba ukunqongophala kolawulo kwixabiso lokunyuka kwamaxabiso yayingunobangela we ingxaki enkulu yezoqoqosho ngeminyaka yee-30 kwinkulungwane edlulileyo. Kwaye ngenxa yesi sizathu, asifuni ukuba le meko ikhathazayo iphindaphinde, ngakumbi kumazwe aseYurophu.

Impembelelo yayo kwimarike yemasheya

bolsa

Kwelinye icala, ayinakulibala ukusukela ngoku ukuya kwiimpembelelo zayo kwiimalike zokulingana kwihlabathi liphela. Kungenxa yokuba nangona ubudlelwane babo bungajonganga ngqo, bunokuhambisa ii-indices zesitokhwe kwelinye icala okanye kwelinye. Kunjalo asiyiyo idatha yezoqoqosho elandelwa kakhulu ngabatyalomali. Kodwa ewe, nakuphi na ukuphambuka kwiindlela eziqhelekileyo kunokuthathwa ukungena okanye ukuphuma kwiimarike zemali. Ngaphaya kokunye ukuqwalaselwa kobuchwephesha kwaye mhlawumbi nakwindawo yokujonga esisiseko.

Ngokomgaqo, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu okanye asezantsi akunyanzelekanga ukuba kuchaphazele ukunyuka nokuhla kwestokhwe. Ayothusi into yokuba kukho olunye uthotho lweedatha ezifanelekileyo ukumisela oku ukuvela kweemarike zezemali. Ngale ndlela, inokuthi ithathelwe ingqalelo njengedatha engathathi hlangothi okanye engathathi hlangothi ukwenza isigqibo ngotyalo-mali lwempahla yakho kunye neyentsapho. Nangona inokukunika umkhondo ongaqhelekanga malunga nokwenzekayo kwezi zikwere zamanye amazwe ngalo lonke ixesha isiqwenga solwazi ngezi mpawu sipapashwa. Kwimeko nayiphi na into, akufanele uthathe ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngexhala elibi kwi-stock market.

Thelekisa inqwelo yokuthenga

kuthengwa

Enye yeendlela ezilungileyo zokujonga yokwenyani yokwenyuka kwamaxabiso kukujonga kwibhasikithi yokuthenga. Iya kuthatha isigqibo ukubonisa ukuba zeziphi amanqaku okanye iimveliso ezihla okanye zinyuka kakhulu qho ngonyaka. Kuba, eneneni, ibhaskithi yokuthenga imele zonke iimpahla kunye neenkonzo ezisetyenziswa ziintsapho ngonyaka. Ngamnye unexabiso, elinokwahluka ngokuhamba kwexesha. Izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso lonyaka libalwa ngokuthelekisa ixabiso lebhasikithi kwinyanga enikiweyo kunye nexabiso lebhasikithi enye kwinyanga enye kunyaka ophelileyo.

Njengoko usazi kakuhle, ekhayeni lakho, elona futhe likhulu kwindalo yamaxabiso ibonakaliswa kwibhasikithi yokuthenga. Oko kukuthi, iindleko oya kuba nazo ngoku Ayifani naleyo wawunayo kwiminyaka elishumi okanye engamashumi amabini eyadlulayo. Uya kuqaphela ukuba amaxabiso akhula ngokunyuka rhoqo ngonyaka. Nangona oscillations esengqiqweni nganye yazo. Konke oku kubangelwe kukunyuka kwamandla emali kuba ithatha isigqibo ukuze ubenamandla amakhulu okanye amancinci okuthenga ngexesha elithile. Ekugqibeleni yenye yezona zinto ziphambili kuye. Linganisa inqanaba lamaxabiso kuyo nayiphi na imisebenzi yezoqoqosho, njengoko kubonisiwe zezona ngcali zezoqoqosho zibalulekileyo emhlabeni.

Izinto ezibangela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso

Enye into ebaluleke kakhulu kule datha yezoqoqosho efanelekileyo yile ibhekisa ekubeni kutheni isenzeka ngamanye amaxesha obomi. Ewe, uxinzelelo lwamaxabiso emali ngu Ukubonelela kunye nokufuna ukungalingani oko kubangela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwintengiso enye okanye ezingaphezulu. Ngale ndlela, ibhanki esembindini yelizwe okanye indawo eqhelekileyo yezoqoqosho inokuthatha isigqibo sokunyusa ubonelelo lwemali ukukhuthaza imveliso. Nangona kunjalo, ukuba ibango lemali okanye imveliso ayikhuli kunye nonikezelo, kulapho ke oko sikubiza ngokuba kukuhla kwamandla emali kunokwenziwa.

Ngokuqhelekileyo inxulumene nemfuno. Ewe kunjalo, kuqhelekile ukuba ivele ngalo mzuzu kanye xa ukunyuka kwemfuno ngokubanzi kunye nokubonelelwa kwecandelo lemveliso kungenakho ukuhlangabezana naloo mfuno. Ke ngoko, isiphumo kwangoko kukunyuka kwamaxabiso, kubunzulu obukhulu okanye obuncinci kuxhomekeke kwinqanaba layo. Kwelinye icala, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuyavela kwakhona xa iindleko zemveliso zinyuka. Oku kunokubangelwa kukunyuka kwamaxabiso ezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo okanye nakwimfuno yemali yabasebenzi uqobo.

Kwaye akunakugwetywa ukuba le ntshukumo yezoqoqosho yenza ukubonakala ngenxa yokulindelwe ngabavelisi ngokwabo. Ngale ndlela, ukubangela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuthathelwa ingqalelo kakhulu ngoochwephesha njengezinto ezingezizo. Ngomdla ocacileyo kumacandelo abo kwaye oko kunokubangela ukwahluka okunzulu kumgaqo-nkqubo wezoqoqosho welizwe okanye kwindawo edibeneyo yezoqoqosho. Ngayiphi na imeko, oonobangela bokunyuka kwamaxabiso banokuchazwa kwizikolo ezahlukeneyo zoqoqosho. Ukusuka kwiimonitha ezizimeleyo ukuya kwezo zithathwe kwithisisi kaKeynes. Ngezisombululo ezahluke kakhulu kule ngxaki ezinokuvela ngaxa lithile kumjikelo wezoqoqosho.


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