Ngaba ukuhla kwezinto ezingafunekiyo kuyichaphazela njani intengiso yemasheya?

Ixabiso leoyile yaseBrent lisebenze ngama-54,78 eedola ngomgqomo, lilahlekelwa yi-1,62% xa kuthelekiswa nama-55,68 ekupheleni kosuku lwangaphambili kwimarike yezemali eLondon. Kodwa eyona nto ibaluleke kakhulu ngeli xabiso kukuba iphuhlise i-rally ye-bearish kuba le asethi yemali yayijikeleze i-70 yeedola emgqonyeni. Oko kukuthi, ngokuhla kwexabiso ngaphezulu kwe-20%. Kwelinye lawona mathontsi anamandla eoyile ekrwada kule minyaka idlulileyo. Kule meko, kubangelwa ziziphumo zoqoqosho lwehlabathi intsholongwane e-china kwaye oko kukhokelela ekuweni kwento ebalulekileyo ekrwada

Kodwa imeko yokubambisa kwi lahla ioyile ekrwada yindlela ezichaphazeleka ngayo iimarike zokulingana ngokubanzi. Kuba, enyanisweni, iintambo zayo ziyafikelela kwimarike yemasheya, ngandlela ithile okanye enye enokusetyenziselwa ukusebenza kwabatyali mali abancinci nabaphakathi ukulungisa iiphothifoliyo zabo. Ngale ndlela, kucace gca ukuba kukho abaphulukene kakhulu kunye nabaxhamli kule meko intsha ethe yabangela ukulahleka kwamaxabiso kwioyile.

Ukusuka kule meko ngokubanzi, alithandabuzeki elokuba amaxhoba aphambili ezinkampani zeoyile eziwabonayo amaxabiso azo kwimarike yemasheya kwezi ntsuku zingaphantsi kuneeveki ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo. Ngokuhla kwexabiso oko Uluhlu oluphakathi kwe-2% kunye ne-8% kwaye baphantsi koxinzelelo olunzima lokuthengisa kwezi ntsuku. Ukuza kuthi ga kwinqanaba lokuba indawo entle yenkunzi yeenkampani zolawulo lwamanye amazwe iya kwamanye, amacandelo emarike ekhuselekileyo. Ngokukhethekileyo iinkampani zombane ezinikezela ngembuyekezo eyonelisayo ngakumbi kulondolozo kwimidla yabathengisi kunye nomyinge wonyaka wenzuzo ye6%.

Ukulahla ioyile ekrwada: eyona ichaphazelekayo

Zonke iinkampani zeoyile zishiye i-euro eninzi endleleni kwezi ntsuku. Kwingeniso yelizwe eguquguqukayo oyena mntu ukhupha eyona nto iphambili Repsol eshiye phantse iipesenti ezintlanu ukufikelela kufutshane kakhulu kumanqanaba ee-euro ezingama-5 kwisabelo ngasinye. Xa iinyanga ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo ibingaphezulu kwe-12 ye-euro kwaye njengenye yexabiso elivelayo lesalathiso esikhethiweyo kwimarike yesitokhwe yelizwe lethu, i-Ibex 14. Ngale ndlela ihambile ekubonakaliseni ubuchwephesha obuhle kakhulu ekuwohlokeni. kwindaleko yayo kwiimarike zezemali. Ukuya kwinqanaba lokuba icandelo elibaluleke kakhulu labahlalutyi bezemali bakhethe ukuhlengahlengisa izikhundla kweli xabiso. Ngokunikwa umngcipheko wokwenyani onokuthi uqhubeke ukwehla kwiiveki okanye kwiinyanga ezizayo.

Ukongeza, ayinakulityalwa ukuba ulungiso lwento ethile eyenzekayo inokuthatha le nto ikrwada iye kumanqanaba asezantsi nangaphantsi kunangoku. Ngamanye amagama, unokuninzi okulahlekileyo kunokufumana ngalo mzuzu kwaye ke ayifanelekanga ukubeka emngciphekweni izikhundla zakho kwiimarike zezabelo. Ukusuka kule ndlela yotyalo-mali, kungcono ukuba ukhethe amanye amacandelo esitokhwe anenkangeleko engcono kuhlalutyo lobuchwephesha kwaye akuvumela ukuba wenze ingeniso enenzuzo ngokhuseleko olukhulu kunye nokuqinisekisa ukuba ezi mbuyekezo kwikapitali ziyahlangatyezwa.

I-repsol ekujoliseni kwezantsi

Inkampani ye-Ibex 35 ihambe kwiintsuku ezimbalwa ukusuka ekubeni lelinye lamaxabiso acetyiswayo kwilizwe lethu ukuya kwindawo yokuthengisa emva kokuba izaphuliwe izixhasi ezibaluleke kakhulu kuhlalutyo lobuchwephesha. Emva kokufumanisa ukuba umngcipheko mkhulu kunezibonelelo ezinokufunyanwa ekuvuleni izikhundla zabo. Kwaye kuye kwaphuculwa kwiintsuku zamva nje ziziphumo zecoronavirus e China. Ngaphandle komzuzwana bazikhuphile iziphumo zabo kwiimarike zemali. Ayothusi into yokuba yenye yeendlela uninzi lwamaxabiso e-bearish kwimarike yaseSpain. Ngokulahleka kuqikelelo lwamaxabiso kwimarike yemasheya ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kulo nyaka ungaphezulu nje kwe-5%, kwiqela leyona nto ibambekayo kwiinyanga zokuqala zonyaka.

Konke oku ngaphandle kwento yokuba iRapsol ifumene i Inzuzo epheleleyo ye-1.466 yezigidi ze-euro kwiinyanga ezilithoba zokuqala zonyaka, xa kuthelekiswa nezigidi ezingama-2.171 kwangelo xesha linye lonyaka ongaphambili. Apho ingeniso ehlengahlengisiweyo yomnatha, ethi ngokuthe ngqo ilinganise inkqubela phambili yeshishini lenkampani, ibimi kwi-1.637 yezigidi zeerandi, xa kuthelekiswa ne-1.720 yezigidi ezizuzwe phakathi kukaJanuwari noSeptemba 2018. Ukomelela kweziphumo zenkampani kunye namandla ayo okwenza imali akhokelele kwiBhodi Abalawuli bayavuma ukucebisa kwintlanganiso kawonke-wonke elandelayo ukuphuculwa komvuzo kumnini zabelo ngokuhlawulwa kwe-5% yesitokhwe esiyinkunzi.

Uncedwe kukuhla kweoyile ekrwada

Ngokuchasene noko, kukho elinye iqela lamaxabiso aqiniswayo kukuhla kwexabiso leoyile ekrwada. Enye yazo yeyelayini zomoya ezixhamlayo kule meko intsha kwezi zinto zivelisiweyo. Kodwa ngokuchaseneyo nokuba yenye yezinto ezinkulu ezenzakaliswe kukuvela kwe-coronavirus e-China. Ngoluvo lunqabileyo lokuba luyashiya phakathi kwabatyali zimali abancinci nabaphakathi abangaziyo ukuba mabenze ntoni na nolu didi lwezokhuseleko, umzekelo Ityala elithile le-IAG. Ukusukela kwelinye icala kubabiza imali encinci yokubasa, kodwa kwangaxeshanye kukubona ukuba zingaphi iindiza ezirhoxiswayo, ngakumbi ezo zijolise kwiMpuma Ekude.

Ngelixa kwelinye icala, elinye lamacandelo aphuma kakuhle kule meko ngumbane. Ngokuhlala njengendawo yokusabela kwezi ntlobo zeziganeko njengoko kwenzekile ngokwembali iminyaka emininzi. Apho abatyali mali bafuna ikhusi ukugcina ukonga kwabo kwaye kule ndlela akukho nto ilunge ngaphezu kweenkampani ezibonelela ngenzuzo ephindaphindayo phantse minyaka le. Ukongeza, bahambisa esona sabelo siphezulu sengeniso yelizwe lethu, ngenzala yonyaka leyo Umjikelo 6%. Okungaphezulu kakhulu kunazo zonke iimveliso zebhanki okanye iimveliso ezivela kwimarike yengeniso esisigxina.

Olunye ukhuseleko alunxibelelananga neoyile ekrwada

Enye yeedatha ezibonisa ukuvela kwezinto eziphambili ze-equity indices zaseYurophu kukuba i-Ibex 35 ibethwa nzima kunezinye ii-indices zaseYurophu. Kodwa nangona kunjalo, izitokhwe kwicandelo lokutya zigqwesa ezinye. Ngendima ngokulinganayo indawo yokubalekela kwiimeko ezingafunekiyo kwiimarike zezabelo. Apho ikapitali yotyalo-mali ingagcinwa ikhuseleke kakhulu kunolunye uthotho lwezindululo zeemarike zamasheya, ngokomzekelo kwenzeka neenkampani zeoyile okanye ezinxulumene nexabiso leoyile ekrwada.

Kwelinye icala, ayinakulityalwa ukuba olu didi lokhuseleko alunabuzaza kwaye luvelisa nembuyekezo esezantsi, nangona inobungozi obuncinci kunabanye. Ukongeza, ngokubanzi banesabelo sesahlulo esinokubangela umdla kakhulu kubatyali mali abancinci nabaphakathi. Phantse iipesenti ezi-4 okanye ezi-5, kuxhomekeke kumaxabiso esitokhwe akhethwe ngabathengisi. Ngelixa kwelinye icala, kunokuba lolona khetho lufanelekileyo kutyalo-mali oluneprofayili yokuzikhusela ngakumbi okanye ukusikwa kunye nalapho ulondolozo lotyalo-mali lukhona ngaphezulu kwezinye iintlobo zokuqwalaselwa. Ukuthatha ukuba awuyi kufumana nzuzo enkulu yeemali ezinkulu kwiimeko ezininzi. Ngolwahlulo olubalulekileyo ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo zeshishini: ukutya, ukuhanjiswa, njl. apho izikhundla zinokuthathwa khona ukusukela ngoku.

Exxon ngezantsi kokulindelweyo

Kwi-Exxon Mobil Corp, isicwangciso se-CEO uDarren Woods sokuvuselela inzuzo yeyona nkampani inkulu yeoyile kunye negesi eMelika iyalahlwa kumashishini amabini awazi kakuhle: imichiza kunye nokusulungekisa. Ngokutsho kwabahlalutyi beshishini, omnye unyaka wokurholisa umvuzo unokunyanzela i-Exxon ukuba Phinda ucinge ngezicwangciso zakho zokuchitha imali okanye buthathaka amandla ayo emozulu ukwehla okuthe kratya kumaxabiso eoyile. Ngokuphathelene noku, kufanele kuqatshelwe ukuba i-Exxon sele ibolekile okanye ithengise iiasethi ukuhlawula inxalenye yentlawulo yesahlulo kubanini zabelo.

Inkampani yeoyile kwakukudala ithathwa njengenye yeenkampani ezilawulwa kakuhle kwaye ikwazi ukujamelana nokungazinzi kwexabiso ngenxa yobukhulu bayo. Nangona kunjalo, ezi zibonelelo ziye zancipha kule minyaka idlulileyo, ngenxa yokuwa kweenzuzo ezazizinzile ngaphambili kwimichiza. Ukubuyela kubanini zabelo kuye kwabonakala kungalunganga (-13%) kule minyaka mi-5 idlulileyo (kude kube yile nyanga), xa kuthelekiswa nenzuzo ye-25% kwi-DRM Corp kunye ne-82% kwi-BP, ngokweengxelo zamva nje ezivela icandelo.

Nokuba yeyiphi na, lelinye lawona macandelo atshintshashintshayo ngalo mzuzu, kwaye ke isigqibo esigqibeleleyo kukushiya amaxabiso aso. Ubuncinci ngexesha lokudodobala kwenkqubo ekrwada.


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