Idatha yezoqoqosho ibonakala ngathi iya isiba mbi, kodwa kusenokwenzeka ukuba sele benesaphulelo kwiimarike zezabelo. Ngaba oku kunjalo nakwiimarike ezisakhulayo? Apho enye yezona datha zichaphazelekayo kukuba Ukukhula kwe China iye yabuthathaka kwelona zinga licothayo kwiminyaka engama-25. Ngelixa kwelinye icala, imveliso yaseYurophu yokuvelisa i-PMI ikwelona nqanaba liphantsi kwiminyaka emithandathu. Njengokukhula koqoqosho lwehlabathi, isenokungafikeleli kwi-2,2 yeepesenti ukusukela ngoku, njengoko kubonisiwe ngabahlalutyi abathile beemarike zezemali.
Esinye seziphumo zezi zenzo kwiimarike zesitokhwe zehlabathi kukuba ezi asethi zemali ziya kuba ncinane kwaye zingabi nangeniso. Inxalenye ethile ngenxa ye- ukuncipha kwinzuzo Iinkampani ezidwelisiweyo. Ukujongana nale meko ichanekileyo, kuyinto eqhelekileyo ukuba inxenye elungileyo yabatyali zimali abancinci nabaphakathi bazibuze ukuba lixesha lokuba babuyele kwiimarike zamasheya ezisakhulayo. Njengesixhobo sokuqinisekisa nokwenza ulondolozo lwakho lube nenzuzo, ubuncinci kwiinyanga ezilishumi elinambini ezizayo.
Olunye lweempawu zoko kubizwa ngokuba kukutshintshiselana kwesitokhwe kukuba banokuvumela inzuzo enkulu kwimisebenzi yokuthenga neyokuthengisa kwiimarike zezabelo. Kodwa bayayibona ngokonyuka komngcipheko wale misebenzi kuba ungaphulukana nenxalenye ebaluleke kakhulu kuyo ngexesha elifutshane kakhulu. Ke ngoko, lukhetho olunobungozi kubo bonke abatyali mali apho, emva kwayo yonke loo nto, iziphumo zale ntshukumo azinakuqikelelwa.
UkuTshintshiselana ngokuShishino okuTshisayo: Ngaba kucetyisiwe?
Enye yezinto iinkampani ezincinci neziphakathi ekufuneka zicace gca kukuba ayizizo zonke iimarike ezisakhasayo ezifanayo. Umahluko ubuthathaka kakhulu ukusuka kwelinye ukuya kwelinye kwaye ukhetho oluchanekileyo lunokulala kwizitshixo zempumelelo okanye ukusilela ekusebenzeni kwethu ukusukela ngoku. Ngokufanelekileyo, Imarike yemasheya yase China ayifani naleyo yase Russia kwaye banokubonisa ukwahluka okubonakalayo kwindalo yee-indices zabo. Njengoko kunokubonwa kwiigrafu zozibini izikwere zamanye amazwe ngalo mzuzu kanye.
Ukusuka kolu luvo, enye yeenjongo zethu kufuneka ibe kukukhetha ukuthengisa iimarike zezentengiso zendalo evelayo nenobuchwephesha obungcono. Oko kukuthi, bayakhula ngokucaca ngokwendlela eya phezulu, kwixesha eliphakathi nelide. Ukuze imisebenzi yethu yentengiso yesitokhwe inokwenziwa ngokhuseleko olukhulu kwaye ngendlela ethile iqinisekisa impumelelo kwincopho yabo. Okwangoku, umzekelo ocacileyo wezi zenzo ubonakaliswa yimarike yestokhwe yaseIndiya, nangona imeko yayo isiya phezulu inokutshintsha nangaliphi na ixesha.
Umngcipheko ekusebenzeni
Kuya kufuneka kuboniswe ukuba ngokusebenza nolu phawu lweemarike, uthatha umngcipheko obonakalayo ngakumbi kunezinye iimarike zamanye amazwe. Enye yezona zinto zibaluleke kakhulu yile inxulunyaniswa nokungazinzi kumaxabiso abo ngokwahluka okubanzi phakathi kwamaxabiso aphezulu kunye neyona isezantsi kwaye anokufikelela kwinqanaba le-10% kwezinye iimeko. Enye yeengozi zayo ezibaluleke kakhulu kukuba inento yokwenza nayo utyekelo lwayo lwe-bearish lubonakala ngakumbi kunokuba kwiimarike yaseYurophu okanye US. Ngumahluko otsala umdla wenxalenye elungileyo yabahlalutyi bezemali.
Ngelixa kwelinye icala, akufuneki ilibale ukuba iimarike ezisakhasayo zahluliwe kuba zinokumela enye indlela yokuxhasa ukungabikho kweempendulo kwiimarike zamashishini ezilinganayo kumazwe aseNtshona. Apho utshintsho kwisicwangciso sotyalo-mali lunokwenziwa ngenjongo yokuphucula inzuzo yokonga, nangona ngexabiso lokunyusa umngcipheko kwiintshukumo ezenziwa ngabatyali mali abambalwa. Oko kukuthi, emva kwayo yonke loo nto, enye yeenjongo zakhe ngokunxulumene nelizwe elihlala linzima lemali.
Iimakethi ezingabizi kakhulu
Ngale ndlela, kufanele kuqatshelwe ukuba icandelo elilungileyo le- abahlalutyi ingeniso eguquguqukayo Kudala bethetha ukuba iimarike ezingaphandle kweMelika zinexabiso eliphantsi. Kodwa kwiinyanga nje ezidlulileyo baphosakele kuqikelelo lwabo lokuqala, kwaye nakweyiphi na imeko kunokuthiwa okwangoku yonke into ibonakala ngathi ibonisa ukuba izinto ziyatshintsha kwaye nomoya uvuthuza uxhasa iimarike zesitokhwe zaseYurophu kungekudala. Kodwa nakwezinye zeemarike ezikhulayo, kodwa lumka kakhulu kuba ayisiyiyo yonke. Oku kufanele kufunyanwe ngabatyali mali kuyilo lwesicwangciso-qhinga sotyalo-mali kule minyaka mibini okanye mithathu izayo.
Kuba nangona iimarike zase-Ibero-American zezona zinamaxabiso okhuphiswano, ayinyani kangako ukuba zezona zikude ekuhlangabezaneni noqingqo-maxabiso lwabo ngabameli bezezimali. Enye into eyahluke kakhulu kwinto eyenzekayo nengeniso eyahlukileyo ye- Indiya Kunye nezigebenga zaseAsia, kwaye ezikwinkqubo yokwenyusa, zikwimilinganiselo ecace gca yokuthenga kwaye ezinokubuyisa iinkampani ezincinci neziphakathi ekuphuhliseni ukusebenza kwezi marike zamanye amazwe. Ngaphandle kwento yokuba imeko yayo yobuchwephesha ingaphezulu kokuhle kwiinyanga ezimbalwa ezizayo.
Igalelo lamazwe asakhulayo
Nokuba yeyiphi na indlela, ukuthatha isikhundla kwezi marike ze-equity kukuzisela enye inzuzo njengoko uza kubona ngezantsi. Enye yazo kukuba inzuzo onokuyifumana ukusukela ngoku inomdla ngakumbi kumdla wakho kwicandelo lotyalo-mali. Ngaphantsi kweepesenti ezinokudutyulwa ziye kuthi ga amanani amabini. Akumangalisi ukuba ngamanye amaxesha bashiye ngasemva kwiimarike zesitokhwe zaseYurophu naseMelika. Ngamanye amagama, ngohlaziyo olunamandla ngakumbi olunokubakho.
Enye into ekufuneka uyiqwalasele inxulunyaniswe nenyaniso yokuba ezi zixabiso elinokubangela umdla kakhulu ekuqhubeni isicwangciso sobundlobongela. Nangona ungabazi ubunjani beenkampani ezidweliswe kwezi ndawo zikude kwindawo yakho. Njengokubetha ithamsanqa, unokufumana imali kwiakhawunti yakho yokonga kwaye ungawufezekisa lo mnqweno ukuba ufuna ukubeka emngciphekweni okungaphezulu kokwenza i-equities zaseSpain okanye ezinye kwezona ndawo zikufutshane. Nangona oko kuya kuthetha iikhomishini eziphezulu kunye nenkcitho kulawulo kunye nolondolozo kunokuba ubuqhele ukwenza kude kwiintsuku ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo.
Kumaxesha e-bearish
Abatyali zimali abathengisi akunyanzelekanga ukuba bayeke ukulingana ngamaxesha ezoqoqosho okanye isitokhwe semarike, njengoko kuhlala kunjalo amathuba emarike yemasheyankqu kumaxesha e-bearish. Kwaye impumelelo yayo idlula ngokukhetha ngokufanelekileyo ukubheja kwimarike yemasheya, eyenziwa njengeyona nto yokuqala yobunzima ekuphuhliseni isicwangciso esonyusa ukonga kwethu kulo nyaka. Ukwahlula imali kwimimandla eyahlukeneyo yamazwe asahlumayo ukuzama ukunciphisa umda welahleko kwimeko apho ii-indices zazo zingahambelani nolindelo lwakho lokuqala.
Ngelixa kwelinye icala, awungekhe uyilibale inyani yokuba ezi marike zezimali zinakho ukwenza uphononongo olunzulu ngaphambi kokuvula izikhundla. Ngale ndlela, isicwangciso esinamandla sokuba abatyali mali abancinci kufuneka benze ipotifoliyo yabo yezokhuseleko kulo nyaka isekwe kwi uhlalutyo lobugcisa Iinkampani ezidwelisiweyo. Kwaye oko kunokwenza indawo yokuqala ukuthatha isikhundla (ukuthenga) kuyo nayiphi na kuzo. Inani lemarike yemasheya elinikezela ngeziqinisekiso ezithile zezinto ezixhaswayo, ezinamanqanaba amaxabiso okusebenza anokuqaliswa.
Yiya kwisitokhwe esingaxabisekanga
Ukuthengiswa okungaphezulu kwezabelo, kwelinye icala, kuya kuba sisiqalo sokuqala sokungena kwiimarike zamasheya, kuba ziya kubonisa ukuba amanqanaba okusasaza aya kuphela kwaye ngokuchaseneyo, amanqanaba okuqokelela angaqala, anokubandakanya ukuthengwa okutsha. Kwaye okokugqibela, kwaye ngakumbi ngokubanzi, imeko eboniswe zezo stocks ngexesha elinikiweyo, kwaye ezinokuba zi-bullish, lateral okanye bearish. Ukuba babebethelelwe kwiqela lokuqala, baya kuba benika isilumkiso ukuze bathengwe ngabathengisi.
Esinye sezicwangciso zotyalo-mali sokujongana namaxesha anzima kwiimarike ze-equity sisekwe ekukhetheni izindululo ezikunika zonke iziqinisekiso. Oko kukuthi, zivela kwimigca yeshishini oqhele ukusebenza ngayo kwiimarike zemali zesizwe. Ukuze ungabinayo eminye imimangaliso engalunganga ngexesha lokusisigxina kwaye ngaphezulu kwako konke ikukuxabiseka okungafaniyo kwaye ayikukhokeleli wenze enye impazamo kwimisebenzi evulekileyo ukusukela ngoku. Ekupheleni kosuku enye yezona njongo zifunwa kakhulu ngabo bonke abatyali mali abancinci nabaphakathi. Kungenxa yokuba awukwazi ukulibala ukuba yimali yakho esesichengeni.