Ukuba uza kuzinikezela ngokurhweba okanye kwintengiso yesitokhwe, kuya kufuneka uyazi ukuba ukusukela ngoku uye phambili Iindlela ezahlukileyo zentengiso yemasheya kunye nezalathi oko kunokukunika izisombululo ezininzi kwiimfuno zakho kwicandelo lotyalo-mali. Ngenjongo engaphaya kokuthandabuza kwaye ayikho enye into ngaphandle kokufumana imbuyekezo kulondolozo lwakho. Siza kukunika ezinye zezalathi eziphambili zokutyala imali kwimarike yemasheya ngo-2019.
Ezi zikhombisi zingakunika indawo yokuqala ukungena kwiimarike ze-equity, kodwa kunye nokuphuma kuzo. Ngolungelelwaniso olungcono kumaxabiso kunye nezinto ezinokuvelisa ekugqibeleni ukuba imisebenzi kuba luncedo kakhulu kude kube ngoku. Ukuba sesinye sezicwangciso zotyalo mali ezinika ezona ziphumo zibalaseleyo kubatyali mali abancinci nabaphakathi. Ngaphezulu kwezinye iinkqubo eziphucukileyo ezifuna imfundo ephezulu kwaye ngaphandle kokuqinisekisa naziphi na iziphumo ekuhambeni. Ngamanye amagama, ngezi zikhombisi umngcipheko uya kuncipha ngakumbi ukusukela ngoku.
Ngelixa kwelinye icala, kubaluleke kakhulu ukugxininisa ukuba ezi zalathiso siza kuzichaza zinokumela xa ilixesha lokutyala imali kwimarike yemasheya. Ukuziqhelanisa oku kuthetha ukuba isenokuba lithuba loku ngena kwiimarike zemali okanye ngokuchaseneyo, ukulinda iiveki ezimbalwa okanye iinyanga kolu hlobo lomsebenzi. Ke ngoko, izikhombisi zinokuba nesicelo esingaphezulu kwesinye esinxulumene nehlabathi elinzima lemali. Ngendlela elula, elula enokukunceda kwimisebenzi yakho yotyalo-mali.
Izikhombisi: IBollinger Bands
Siqala ngenye yezona zinto zinzima ezikhoyo okwangoku kodwa zisinika ukuthembeka okuphezulu. Kungenxa yokuba eneneni le nto yenziwa ngala mabhanti kukumisela Amajelo e-bearish kunye ne-bullish yokhuseleko. Ngamanye amagama, yenye yezona zinto zinomdla kubatyali zimali abancinci nabaphakathi xa bengena kwiimarike zezabelo. Akumangalisi ukuba linoxanduva lokufunda i-avareji kwiiseshoni zokugqibela zokuthengisa kwaye inokusinika umqondiso malunga nokuba liliphi ixesha elifanelekileyo lokuvula izikhundla kwimarike yemasheya. Ngaphaya kokuba ezinye iiparameter zisixelele kule klasi yezicwangciso-nkqubo zotyalo-mali.
Ngokunjalo, iiBollinger Bands zibonakalisiwe kuba uhlalutyo lwabo lusisiseko kwaye lulula. Ayisiyo inkqubo egqibeleleyo yokutyala imali yethu, kodwa ekubuyiseni ayiboneleli kungathandabuzeki malunga neziphumo zayo zokugqibela. Ngesi sizathu, ayimangalisi into yokuba uninzi lwabatyali mali bakhetha esi salathisi sikhethekileyo njengefomula khuthaza utyalo-mali lwakho ngendlela esebenzayo neqondakalayo kumandla akho emali. Oko kukuthi, banokusetyenziswa zizo zonke iiprofayili zabathengisi, nditsho nabo banamava ambalwa kule klasi yokusebenza.
Ukuhambisa i-avareji
Singaphezulu kwayo yonke iklasikhi yohlalutyo lobuchwephesha kwaye kunqabile ukuba ingasetyenziswa ngabatyali mali abancinci nabaphakathi. Kule meko, kungumbandela wokuthelekisa iindlela zamaxesha amafutshane ahlukeneyo nalawo maxesha made. Ewe kunjalo, ilula kwaye njengesiphumo kulula kakhulu kwaye ithe ngqo ukutolika. Ukuza kuthi ga apho siya kuba nakho ukufumanisa kwisithuba esifutshane kakhulu sexesha ukuba yeyiphi inkqubela phambili eboniswe lixabiso esilicazululayo. Yiba yindlela enye okanye enye okoko akukho klasi yemida okanye izithintelo kwisicelo sayo esichanekileyo.
Ewe, ukuhambisa i-avareji kunokusixelela umgangatho wokungena ngexabiso lemarike. Umzekelo, xa umndilili wokuhamba omfutshane uwela umde uye phezulu. Ngelixa ngokuchaseneyo, ukuthengisa kuya kubangela intshukumo yekhawuntara. La ngamanani asebenza njengokuqinisa ukwenza isigqibo kwiimarike zezabelo. Apho inqanaba lokuthembeka liphezulu kakhulu nangona ngaphandle kokufikelela kumanqanaba angaphambili. Kungenxa yokuba kule meko ikwafuna ulwazi olukhulu kunye namava kolu hlobo lokuhamba kwimarike yemasheya.
Stochastic, umzobo osebenzayo
Eli lelinye lamanani anokusinceda ngeyona ndlela kwizenzo zethu kwimarike yemasheya kuba ibonisa imeko yokwenyani yexabiso lentengiso yesitokhwe. Kodwa kukutshintsho lwendlela apho ukusebenziseka kwayo kucacile, ukubona ukutshintshiselana ukusuka kwizikhundla eziphezulu ukuya kwizikhundla ze-bearish okanye ngokuchaseneyo. Kuba ikunika isikhokelo malunga nento ekufuneka uyenzile ukusukela kuloo mizuzu. Ngelixa kwelinye icala, ikwabonelela ngexabiso elongeziweyo elinokubonisa umndilili wokuhamba weentsuku zokuqala kwixabiso. Ukusuka kule ndawo yokujonga, inokukunceda ukumisela iphothifoliyo yezokhuseleko enokubonga ngakumbi kunokuba ibalaseleyo.
Kwelinye icala, lelinye lawona manani asetyenziswa kakhulu kwizicwangciso zokurhweba. Oko kukuthi, kwiklasi yokusebenza okukhawulezileyo, nokuba yenziwe iiyure ezimbalwa kwaye eyona njongo yayo iphambili kukufumana okungaphezulu kokusebenza. Nangona ngokuchaseneyo, lingumfanekiso ontsonkothe ngakumbi kunalawo akhankanywe apha ngasentla kwaye unabamkeli bawo abaphambili kubatyali mali abanamava ngakumbi. Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku eli nani lelinye lezona zikhombisi ziphambili zentengiso yesitokhwe abathe abarhwebi abaninzi bazenza ngeendlela zabo zokurhweba.
Ukuxhasa kunye nokumelana
Zizona zikhombisi ezisisiseko kuzo zonke kwaye akufuneki zisilele kwizicwangciso zabatyali zimali abancinci nabaphakathi ngenxa yokulula kwesicelo sabo. Umgca kwinkxaso unokubonisa ukuba kukho amanqanaba asezantsi afikelelwe ngexabiso lesabelo kunye nexesha elithile. Ngelixa kwelinye icala, ukuxhathisa kubonisa amanqanaba apho uxinzelelo lokuthengisa lomelele kakhulu. Kodwa kwimeko yokuwa, banokubonelela ngenketho yokuthenga ukhuseleko okanye iiasethi zemali ezikhethwe ngabatyali mali.
Kuzo zombini ezi meko, akukho mathandabuzo ukuba zibonisa ukuba inokuba lixesha elifanelekileyo lokungena kwintengiso kunye nokubheja kunyuka. Okanye ngokuchaseneyo, kukuba sisihlandlo sokulungisa izikhundla ngaphambi koxinzelelo lokuthengisa olunokuthi luphuhle kwiintsuku okanye kwiiveki ezizayo. Ukongeza, ayiboneleli ngeengxaki kwisicelo sayo esifanelekileyo kwimisebenzi esiza kuyenza kwiiseshoni ezilandelayo kwimarike yemasheya.
Yintoni isibonakaliso seMACD?
Esinye isalathisi esinokuba luncedo ekuthengiseni kwimarike yemasheya yi-MACD (Ukuhambisa umndilili wokuDibana kokungafani) okanye, kuguqulelo lwayo kwiSpanish, ukuhlangana okanye ukwahluka komndilili ohambahambayo, kwaye unezinto ezintathu: iMACD, uphawu kunye ne-histogram. Eyokuqala, iMACD, ngumahluko phakathi kwemiyinge emibini ehambayo Ukuchazwa kobude obahlukeneyo: umndilili wokuqala ubuthathaka kukuhamba kwamaxabiso kwixesha elifutshane kwaye owesibini ngumndilili wexesha eliphakathi. Into yesiqhelo kukusebenzisa umahluko phakathi kwexesha eli-12 le-avareji yokuhamba kunye namaxesha angama-26 ahambayo, nangona amanye amaxabiso enokuthathwa.
Ewe, i-MACD ijikeleza umgca weziko okanye umgca we-zero, kungekho mida ephezulu okanye ephantsi. Kulo mgca we-zero kuyaqondakala ukuba imikhosi yemfuno iyafana naleyo yonikezelo, ke iMACD ikwindawo engathathi hlangothi. Ngaphezulu komgca we-zero, esi salathisi iqala ukugqithisa kwaye ngaphantsi kweli nqanaba liqala ukugqithiswa. Kodwa ingqikelelo yokuthenga ngaphezulu okanye ukugqithisa akufuneki ukuba ithathelwe ingqalelo de i-MACD ihambe ngokwaneleyo kude nomgca we-zero, kwaye le mida ihlala imiselwe yimigangatho okanye ukuphakama okufikelelwe sisalathiso kulo lonke ishati.
Ungazisebenzisa njani izikhombisi
Ukubeka esweni kwezi zalathi ayisiyonkqubo inzima kakhulu kubatyali zimali abancinci nabaphakathi. Ukuba akunjalo, ngokuchaseneyo, inokulandelwa kwimithombo yeendaba ezikhethekileyo kunye neendawo zokutshintshiselana ngesitokhwe. Ngaphandle kwesidingo esibonakalayo sokuba nolwazi lwangaphambili ngokuchazwa ngokuchanekileyo. Ngayiphi na imeko, kulula kakhulu kubo bonke abasebenzisi bemakethi yesitokhwe ukuba bayilandele. Ukuza kuthi ga kwinqanaba lokuba ezinye iindawo zinokuveliswa kwizenzo esiza kuzenza kwimisebenzi yentengiso yesitokhwe. Umzekelo, ezo siza kukubonisa apha ngezantsi
- Ngexesha lokuphuhlisa imeko engaphezulu Isicwangciso esiya kusetyenziswa kukuthenga kwaye ngokuchaseneyo ukuthengisa.
- Kuya kufuneka ukujonga ukuba ezi zalathi zibonisa na Utshintsho lwendlela Ukubaluleka okuthile kwiimarike zezabelo.
- Iya kusivumela ukuba sijonge ukuba ngawaphi amaxabiso esitokhwe Ukuthenga ngaphezulu okanye ukugqithisa. Zombini kwizalathiso zokulingana kuzwelonke nakwezinye ii-indices zamazwe ngamazwe ezinje ngezi zilandelayo: Dow Jones, Eurostoxx 50 okanye CAC 40, phakathi kwezinye zezona zibalulekileyo.