Svondo rino kuchave nemusangano wakamirirwa kwenguva refu kuUnited States Federal Reserve (FED) umo mari yemubereko inogona kudzikiswa. Ichi ndicho chingangova chinangwa chemutungamiri wenyika ino weUS. Donald Trump ndiani arikusundira kuti chiyero ichi chiitwe. Panguva iyo makore matema arikuuya pamusoro pehupfumi hwenyika dzese uye kunyangwe hazvo kuita kwakanaka kwehupfumi muUnited States. Chero zvazvingaitika, pakupera kwesvondo pachave nesarudzo, imwe nzira kana imwe.
Chichava chisarudzo icho chichava nekukanganisa kwakananga kumisika yemari. Vaviri kune rumwe rutivi uye rumwe rweAtlantic uye nezviuru nezviuru zvevashambadzi vadiki nepakati vachamirira. Kuti ugadzire sarudzo yekuti vanofanirwa here kuvhura kana kuvhara nzvimbo mumisika dzakasiyana dzemari. Chaizvoizvo panguva iyo masheya kutenderera pasirese anogona kushandura maitiro avo azvino. Izvo zvichave zvakakosha kushandura marongero ekudyara kugadzirisa mashandiro.
Kune rimwe divi, zvinofanirwa kucherechedzwa kuti sarudzo iyi yeUnited States Federal Reserve (FED) inogona zvakare kukurudzira marongero emari enzvimbo ye euro. Kunyangwe mune iyi pfungwa, ivo vakatoratidza kare kuti zviyero zvemubereko hazvizo shanduke, zvirinani kusvika hafu yekutanga yegore rinouya. Nekuda kweasina tarisiro yekusimudzira hupfumi munzvimbo ye euro kwemakore mashoma anotevera. Iko mutengo wemari uri pamwero wayo wakaderera mumakore achangopfuura, chaizvo pa0%. Ndokunge, mari haina kukosha chinhu uye ichi chimwe chinhu zvakare chine chekuita nemastock values.
Rate kukwira muUnited States
Mupfungwa iyi, zvinofanirwa kuyeukwa kuti United States yakwidza huwandu hwayo hwezvibodzwa 0,25 mapoinzi, kubva 2% kusvika 2,25% gore negore iwe uripo. Chimbadzo mwero ndeimwe yemasimba maturusi emabhangi epakati ane mumaoko avo kuita mutemo wavo wemari. Pakati pezvimwe zvikonzero, nekuti kukwira kwemitero kunoshanda kudzora inflation uye kuchengetedza iyo mari, pakati pemamwe mabasa. Nekudaro kukosha kwechiyero icho iyo United States Federal Reserve inogona kutora svondo rino.
Izvo hazvigone kukanganwika kuti uku kusiana ndiko kwekutanga kwakaitika kubva munaGunyana 27, 2018, apo Central Bank yakakwidza mhindu nematanho e0,25, ichisvika pamatanho e2%. Kana iyo kudonhedza muzvibereko inogona kutakurwa nechisimba chekota poindi kuti idzokere kumatanho e2%. Kucheka kwekuwedzera kwakasimba hakutarisirwe sezvo vachigona kutambirwa zvakanyanya nevashambadzi vadiki nepakati. Kunyanya nekuti zvaizoratidza kuti kuderera kwemari kunogona kuve kwakanyanya kupfuura zvinotarisirwa nevanoongorora zvemari.
Ichakanganisa sei misika yemasheya?
Chimwe chezvinhu chinonyanya kunetsekana vashoma uye vepakati varairidzi kukanganiswa kweichi chiyero chemari pamisika yemari. Mupfungwa iyi, zvese zvinoita kunge zvinoratidza kuti hazvizove nechisimba zvakanyanya pamisika mikuru yemusika wepasi rose. Zvichida munguva pfupi kumwe kufamba, vatengi kana vatengesi, vanogona kusimukira kuti vadzokere kune zvakajairika mumazuva anotevera. Iko, zvakare zvakare, inogona kuve tsika dzeiyo banking sector yakanyanya kurohwa mumari dzepasi rose. Mugore umo mavakanyatsosara kumashure kwezvimwe zvikamu zvebhizinesi, senge magetsi.
Nepo kune rimwe divi, zvakafanira zvakare kusimbisa kuti iro rezvemari riri kuratidza mitengo pazvinenge zvakaderera nhoroondo. Asi chingave chikanganiso chakakomba kuvhura nzvimbo nekuti mitengo yavo inogona kuenda yakatodzika kupfuura zvavari panguva ino. Kubva pane ino maonero, hazvigone kutaurwa kuti mitengo yavo yakachipa mune zvazvino mamiriro epasi rose. Kwete pasina, pane zvakawanda mibvunzo inofanira kugadziriswa kubva zvino zvichienda mberi. Uye nekuda kwechikonzero ichi hapazove nesarudzo kunze kwekushayikwa pazvinzvimbo zvavo kwemwedzi inosara kusvika kupera kwegore.
Zvishoma zvinowedzera simba
Mukutaura, kudonha kwezvibereko neUnited States Federal Reserve kunogona kuva nemhedzisiro zvine mwero bullish mumisika yemari. Asi ine yakaganhurirwa kwenguva yenguva sezvo inogona kuderedzwa kusvika mashoma ekutengesa zvikamu uye zvishoma zvishoma. Kunze kwekunge mwero wakadzika muUnited States wanga uine simba risingafanoonekwe nevanoongorora zvemari. Panyaya iyi, hapana mubvunzo kuti chimwe chiitiko chakasiyana zvakanyanya neicho chinoratidzwa mune iyi ruzivo chingaitika.
Pane mutemo wegoridhe mumisika yemasheya unoti kudonha kwemitero kunobatsira kukwira kwemisika yemari. Pakati pezvimwe zvikonzero, nekuti kune chikwereti chakakura kuita mari mune akasiyana mari midziyo. Pakati pavo, kutenga uye kutengeswa kwemasheya pamusika wekutengesa. Ndokunge, shure kwezvose, chii chinofarira vadiki nepakati varimi Pamusoro pezvimwe zvakateedzana zvekufunga kwehunyanzvi uye pamwe zvakare kubva pakuona kwezvakakosha zveiyo musika wemusika kukosha.
Chinja muitiro mune indices
Chero nzira, zvese zvinoita senge zvinoratidza kuti shanduko yemafambiro iri kuitika mumisika yemari kutenderera pasirese. Kuti uende kubva kune yakasarudzika kuenda kune yakasarudzika, seizvo zvimwe zviratidzo zvekukosha kwakakosha kuri kunongedza. Waizova mukana we goho zviripo kune vanhu vane mari yavo munzvimbo yakanaka. Kunyanya tichifunga nezvekuuya kwemazororo ezhizha anotevera. Mwedzi mishoma iyo isinganyatso kunetsekana nekukwira kwakakosha mumasheya indices kukura. Kana zvisiri izvo zvinopesana, sezvazvakaitika mumakore achangopfuura.
Tichiri kune imwe, isu tinofanirwawo kutarisira kudzikira kuri pachena kuri mune hupfumi hukuru hwepasi. Zvinoshamisa kwazvo kuti masheya akasara pamatanho akakwirira kudaro muhafu yekutanga yegore rino. Iko, semuenzaniso, iyo Ibex 35 ichakamira pamusoro pe9.000 mapoinzi uye nekudzokororwa kudiki mugore rino. Kunyangwe iko kudonha mumavhiki apfuura kubva mukushora kune kwakatenderedza 9.400 uye 9.500 mapoinzi.
Sarudza matura anodzivirira
Zvinoenderana nemaonero echikamu chakanaka chevaongorori vezvemari, zvese zvinoita senge zvinoratidza kuti pakupedzisira nzira yakadzika inogona kunge iri resolution mumisika yemari. Neichi chikonzero vanokurudzira kutora zvinzvimbo mu mamwe maitiro ekudzivirira kuti ivo vanogona kutora hunhu huri nani pane kune vamwe vese. Chero zvazvingava, zvese zvinoratidza kuti kudzikira kutendeuka kunoita kunge inyaya yemazuva, vhiki kana mwedzi mishoma. Zvichienderana nemhando dzakasiyana dzinogona kugadziridzwa kubva panguva dzino chaidzo uye ndidzo dzinozoona kusimba kwekufamba uku mumisika yemari.
Uye hazvigone kukanganwika kuti mamiriro ehurumende anga ari pane avo ese-nguva dzakakwira kusvika mazuva mashoma apfuura. Pasi pe kukwidza izvo zvakatanga mu2013 uye izvo hazvina kumira kusimuka munguva ino yakareba yenguva. Kunyangwe paine chokwadi chekuti kururamisa kunonzwisisika kwakaitwa mukuchinja kwemitengo yavo.
Kuburitswa kwekuchengetedzwa munzvimbo yeeuro
Iyo gore-ne-gore kukura mwero weiyo yakasarudzika muyero wezvikwereti chengetedzo zvakapihwa nenzvimbo yenharaunda vagari yaive 2,3 muna Kubvumbi 2019, zvichienzaniswa ne2,4% munaKurume, sekureva kweBhangi reSpain. Ndichiri kune rimwe divi, uye zvine chekuita nehuremu hwasara hwezvikamu zvakanyorwa zvakapihwa nevagari venharaunda yeeuro, mwero Kukura kweYoY kwakaderera kubva pa0,4% yakanyoreswa munaKurume 2019 kudzika ku0% muna Kubvumbi.
Kuburitswa kwese kwekuchengetedzwa kwechikwereti nevagari venzvimbo ye euro kwakazara € 634,5 bhiriyoni muna Kubvumbi 2019. Amortizations aive € 650,8 bhiriyoni uye nyaya dzaive mambure aive -16,2 bhiriyoni euros. Iyo yegore yekukura mwero weiyo yakasarudzika huwandu hwechikwereti chengetedzo yakapihwa nevagari venzvimbo ye euro yakamira pa2,3% muna Kubvumbi 2019, ichienzaniswa ne2,4% munaKurume apfuura Iko, iko kusiyanisa kwepakati peyakaenzana muyero wakasarudzika wenguva refu chikwereti kuchengetedzwa pamutengo wakasiyana wemubhadharo wakamira pa -1,8% muna Kubvumbi 2019, zvichienzaniswa ne -2,7% yakanyoreswa munaKurume. Chiyero che Kukura kweYoY kwakaderera kubva pa0,4% yakanyoreswa munaKurume 2019 kudzika ku0% muna Kubvumbi.