Gore ra2017 rave kuda kupera, kana rapera, zvichakwanisika kufunga nezve Spanish economy Panguva ino, chii chaitika uye kuti gore rino rapera sei mune izvi; zvazvinoita, kukura kwakawanda, chii chakaitika kubasa, kushomeka kweruzhinji, nezvimwe. Humwe hukuru macroeconomic zvinhu zvakaita seGDP uye iyo Yekushaikwa Kwemabasa, ivo vachatipa yakakosha dhata yekuwongorora kwakasiyana siyana.
Tiri kugadzirira kuongorora, sekupfupisa, nezve izvo zvakarongwa uye zvinofungidzirwa kwemwedzi gumi nembiri iyi. Tichaisa zvirevo zvakapihwa pamberi uye shure kwekutanga kwegore.
Nenzira iyi, tichava neruzivo nehunyanzvi hwekukwanisa kusangana neichoicho, kana 2017 yapera.
Hatidi kufunga nezvekupokana nezvakanyatsoitika, asi pane zvakataurwa nekufungidzirwa nemasangano akasiyana, zviremera nenyanzvi. Chinhu chiri kuda kuratidzwa kana gore rapera.
Muna 2015, iyo Institute yeEconomics Zvidzidzo yakafungidzirwa ichiti 2017 ichave shanduko kune hupfumi hweSpain. Akaenderera mberi achiti zvakabatsira hupfumi gore irori hwaizokuvadza muna2017.
IEEE yakataura panguva iyoyo kuti hupfumi hweSpain hwakaratidza kuwedzera kwakasimba inertia, chimwe chinhu chakanakira kwenguva, asi kuti muna 2017 kukwira kutenderera kwemitero nemitengo yezvinhu zvakagadzirwa zvaizotanga. Ingori chikamu chikuru chekukura kweSpanish GDP chave chiri nekuda kwezvinhu zvakachipa mbishi, kunyanya mafuta, ayo nyika inoda kuunza kunze.
Muna 2016, vaongorori vazhinji vakazvimirira nemasangano epasi rese vakasimbisa kuti kunyangwe paine zvipingaidzo zviripo, Spain ichaenderera kuva nyika yaizokura zvakanyanya muna2017, zvichienzaniswa nehupfumi hukuru muEurope.
Zvegore rino 2017 iyo (GDP) - Gross Dzimba Chigadzirwa, yaifungidzirwa nehurumende yeSpain pamamiriyoni gumi nematanhatu nemakumi manomwe nenomwe, kukura kwemazana maviri nezviuru kubva muzana. Iyo fungidziro yenhamba yevasina mabasa yaive 1.137 mamirioni. Kufungidzira chiyero chekushaikwa kwemabasa pa2.5
Nekufamba kwegore rino, vaongorori vazhinji vakasimudza tarisiro yavo yekukura kana fungidziro yehupfumi muSpain zvichienzaniswa nezvakafanotaurwa. Izvi zvakaitika pakati pezvimwe zvinhu nekuti kugadzirwa kwemabasa kwakachengetedzwa kwakachengetedzwa uye kunze kwenyika kwakaratidza shanduko yakanaka.
Muna 2016, nyanzvi dzakawanda dzakafungidzira kuti GDP yaizodzikira kusvika panenge poindi uye yakapa zvikonzero zvine simba zvechiitiko ichi, mamiriro e "Brexit" muUnited Kingdom uye matambudziko epakati aripo muHurumende yeSpain.
Kunyangwe paine mashura aya, fungidziro mupfungwa iyi, yatotanga gore, yakaratidza mikana yakakura yekukura kwehupfumi kupfuura iyo ya2016, yaive (3.2%) uye pakanga paine zvimwe zvikonzero zvechiitiko ichi, simba rinogona kunge risina kutarisirwa mukushanda nekudyara.
Ngatimboongororai kufungidzira kwevamwe vakuru, nyanzvi nemasangano
Mugore rose ra2017, akasiyana masangano epasirese senge European Commission uye IMF (International Monetary Fund) uyezve vamwe vemunyika, vanga vachiwedzera fungidziro yavo. Semuenzaniso, iyo OECD pakutanga kwaJune yakawedzera fungidziro yeGDP kusvika pa2.8%.
Muna Chikunguru IMF yakagadzirisa kukwidziridzwa kweGDP kuenda ku3.1% gore rino (kubva pa2.6% kare).
La European Commission akaburitsa pfungwa yake yekuti Spain yaizotadzawo kushomeka muna 2017. Luis de Guindos, Gurukota rezvehupfumi, akataura panguva iyo kuti kushomeka kweruzhinji kuchange kuri pazasi pe3% yeGDP gore rino, kunyangwe European Commission yaive yaisa huwandu pana 3.1 % mune fungidziro yechirimo.
Guindos akavimbisawo kuti "kunze kwekunyengera, zvingave zvakaoma kuti Spain ikure pazasi pe2.7" gore rino, ichiona kukura kwakatosimbiswa kwe3.4 mukota yekutanga, sezvakaratidzwa neNational Institute of Statistics (INE).
Economic Council yakaita fungidziro mukota yekutanga yegore uye yakaratidza kuti hupfumi hweSpain hwaizokura ne2.7%.
European Commission
Mumwedzi waMay, iyo Kuuya kweEuropean Akataura kuti kufambira mberi kwehupfumi kweSpain kwaive pamusoro penyika dzese dzeEurope. Akaverenga kuti hupfumi hwaizokura 2.8% gore rino.
Akataura kuti paizove nekugadzirwa kwemabasa kwakasimba, kunyangwe kushomeka kwemabasa kuchizopfuura avhareji kune dzimwe nyika mudunhu iri. Vakati gomba remari raizopera gore rino pa3.2% yeGDP, vachitaura nezvekushomeka kuri mumaakaundi eruzhinji.
Nyanzvi Panel
Pakutanga kwegore, zvinoenderana nechikamu chevanopfuura mazana matatu mazana matatu veSpanish nyanzvi, mamaneja uye vezvemabhizinesi vakagadzirirwa nePwC; mamiriro ehupfumi muSpain anga akanaka, uye vakati mamiriro aya acharamba aripo kusvika pakupera kwegore, nekuda kwemamiriro ezvinhu akanaka mukushandisa, kunze kwenyika, mamiriro emari emakambani nevanhu, pamwe nezvimwe zvakanaka zvakadai basa nekudyara zvine zvibereko.
47.6% yeavo vakaongororwa vakafunga kuti iyo kunwa kwemhuri ingadai iri kuwedzera mugore. 55.2% vakafanotaura kuti kudiwa kwedzimba kwaizowedzera. 66.7% vakafungidzira kuti kuumbwa kwemabasa kucharamba kuchiwedzera, 59% vaitenda kuti chimwe chinhu chakafanana chingaitika nekutengesa kunze kwenyika uye 48.6% vakati izvozvowo zvichaitika nekudyara kune zvibereko.
Idzi nyanzvi dzakataura nezve chikamu chekushanya kuva icho chaizotungamira kukura munyika, 91.2% yavo vaive nemafungiro aya.
Iwo mapaneru akasimbisa kuti basa richange richikura muzvikamu zvakaita sekushanya nekuvaka, zvinova zvechivanhu; asi izvo zvaizove zviri kuzviitawo munzvimbo dziri kusimukira dzakadai sehutano, chekufambisa uye logistics, tsika nezvimwe.
Vanotarisira mhedzisiro yakaipa, maererano nekubviswa kwemabasa kune yezvemari uye inishuwarenzi chikamu.
Bank of Spain
Bhengi reSpain rakafunga muna Kubvumbi kuti inflation yaizo nyatso nyorwa mu2017, izvi zvinokonzerwa nekushanduka kwemitengo yemafuta. Mitengo yechigadzirwa ichi yaitarisirwa kudzikama mukati megore rose, zvichibatsira kudzora CPI. Akatarisirawo kukura kwemabasa pamitengo yakakwira, izvo zvaizokonzeresa mukuwana kushoma kwekuwana.
Bbva Kutsvaga
MunaAugust 2016, iyo BBVA yekuongorora sevhisi Akataura kuti gore rinouya hupfumi hweSpain hwaizodzikira nekuda kwemhedzisiro ye "Brexit" pairi, uye kuti yaizodhura zvikamu zvina zvegumi zvekukura.
Ivo vakataura panguva iyo kusagadzikana kwehupfumi hweSpain kuri kuwedzera uye kuti zvinhu zvakawanda zvakafungidzira kudzikisira pasi muna 2017. Vakafungidzira kukura kwe2.3% kwegore rino.
Kunze kwe "Brexit", vakasimbisa kuti kuvepo kwekusava nechokwadi maererano nemutemo wezvemari uye dzimwe nzira dzezvemari, kwakaita kuti vave pakati nepakati maererano nezvinotarisirwa gore ra2017.
Muchidzidzo icho cha2016, vakati icho chinogadza kana uchidudzira kuumbwa kwekukura kwakaramba kuri kushandiswa kwemhuri.
Panguva iyoyo, vakafungidzira kuti paizove nekuwedzera mukugadzirwa kwemabasa angangoita mazana masere emabasa uye kuti mwero wekushaikwa kwemabasa unogona kudzikiswa kusvika panosvika 800.000%
Yatove muna 2017, BBVA yaive netariro nezve shanduko yakanaka yehupfumi hweSpain. Vakauya kuzoona kukura kweGDP kweanosvika ku3% gore rino, vachifungidzira zvakanyanya.
Ivo vakati kukura kwehupfumi munyika hakuzoenzane nenzvimbo dzakazvimiririra. Iwo Balearic Islands senharaunda ichave ichikura zvakanyanya gore rino, ichiteverwa neCanary Islands neMadrid, Andalusia neCastilla-La Mancha.
Vakafungidzira kuti nharaunda pfumbamwe dzakazvimiririra dzinenge dzichikura pazasi pevhareji yenyika, inonyanya kusaririra kumashure kweAsturias, Cantabria neExtremadura.
FUNCAS - Savings Banks Foundation
Muna Chivabvu wegore rino, iyo Savings Banks Foundation (Funcas) akaitawo fungidziro yezvehupfumi. Kukura kweGDP kwaifungidzirwa ku2.8%, ichiti matunhu mana akazvimiririra angave achikura zvakanyanya ichave Madrid, Balearic Islands, Catalonia neGalicia.
Achitaura nezve kushomeka kwemabasa uye kuumbwa kwemabasa matsva, akapa zvinofungidzirwa mazana mana mazana mana ezviuru zvemabasa, izvo zvichaderedza mwero wekushaikwa kwemabasa kusvika pa450.000%.
Nezve kushomeka kwehutongi hwehurumende, akagumisa kuti shanduko yezvehupfumi iri munyika inofanirwa kubvumidza kudzikiswa, asi kwete zvekuti vasangane ne3.1% yeGDP yakatenderanwa neBrussels.
AIReF - Independent Chiremera cheMari mutoro
Chipenyu ichi chakafanotaura kukura kwehupfumi hwe3.2%, ichi chiri chirevo chechipiri chegumi kupfuura icho cheHurumende (+ 3%). GDP kukura kufanotaura yaive pa0.85% mukota yechitatu uye 0.81% yechina.
Nezve hupfumi hweSpain, mune iri rinenge rapera 2017, takapfupikisa zvimwe zvekufungidzira zvakaitwa gore risati ratanga uye mushure mekutanga kwaro.
Zvichazove zvinokwanisika kuenzanisa izvo zvaifungidzirwa uye zvakaverengerwa nenyanzvi nezvange zviri chaizvo mukati memwedzi gumi nembiri iyi, chidzidzo chinofanirwa kuferefetwa nekudzamiswa kuti uwane mhedziso dzakarurama.