Iyo yazvino macro dhata pane yeSpanish hupfumi inoratidza kuti kutonhora kwayo pasi ichokwadi. Kusvika padanho rekuti iri kutokanganisa misika yenyika yequity. Uine kudzikira mumitengo mune makambani akanyorwa akanyorwa. Nekuti yako purofiti pane ako mabhizinesi account anofungidzirwa kudzikira munzvimbo dzinouya. Saka kuti nenzira iyi, zviri zvishoma zvakaoma kuita zvinobatsira kuchengetedza chikamu chakanaka cheavo vadiki nepakati varimi. Icho chiitiko chakatogadzirirwa mumisika yemari.
Imwe yedhata inoshamisira nezve kudzikira kwehupfumi hwenyika kudzoreredza kudzikira kweGross Domestic Chigadzirwa (GDP). Uye izvo zviri kuwana mhinduro yayo panguva yakakodzera mumisika yemari. Nekuchinjika kukuru muhunhu hwakanyorwa mune yakasarudzika indekisi yeSpanish stock market, iyo Ibex 35. Kusvikira pakuti tarisiro yavo yadzikira, zvirinani munguva pfupi nepakati. Kana iyo Ibex 35 yave padyo padyo nematanho akakomberedza 9.500 mapoinzi, mamwe emazinga akaderera mumakumi emakore apfuura. Kuora mwoyo kwechikamu chakakura chevatengesi.
Mukati meichi chirevo chizere, hachifanirwe kukanganikwa chero kuti matanho haasi kutorwa kuchengetedza iyi mamiriro kubva a kushaya mari Munyika yedu. Nepo kune rimwe divi, Spain inochengetedza zvirinani macro data kupfuura ayo eakavakidzana nyika. Uye izvi zvinomiririra zororo diki kune vashoma nevapakati varimari vakasarudza kumusika wemasheya epamba. Mune chii chiri chokwadi icho misika yezvemari yenyika iripo panguva ino.
Spanish hupfumi pasi
Chimwe chezvinhu chinofanirwa kukosheswa zvakanyanya muhupfumi hweSpain ndiko kutsamira kwayo kwakanyanya pane mamwe mabasa anoburitsa. Semuenzaniso, iyo yemakambani ekuvaka uye evashanyi masevhisi ayo akatungamira kuwedzera mumakore apfuura. Ndichiri kune rimwe divi, zvinodawo kuongorora kuti mhedzisiro ye german locomotive inogona kukuvadza hupfumi hweSpain. Kunyanya zvine chekuita nekutengesa kwavo kunze kwenyika uye chinhu ichi chinogona kuunza nhau dzakaipisisa kumakambani akanyorwa pamusika weSpanish unopfuurira. Nechokwadi chaicho chekuti kuenderana kwemitengo yavo kuchaenderera kumberi pasi mumwedzi iri kuuya. Kudzora kwakadzama kunoratidza kuti chimwe chinhu chiri kuitika nemapoka emari munyika medu. Kunze kwezviratidzo zvekutanga zveupfumi hwehupfumi munzvimbo yeyuro.
Kune rimwe divi, zvingave izvo chete magetsi chikamu chikamu chero chipi chinoponeswa kubva pakupisa. Nechikonzero chakareruka zvakadaro chekutsanangura maitiro avangashandise tsika dzekupotera kubva zvino zvichienda mberi. Kukwezva kuyerera kwemari kubva kumadhorobha makuru uye nechisarudzo chekuti mitengo yavo irambe ichidzikamisa munguva pfupi. Kunyangwe zvavo vadzokororazve zvine simba mumwedzi gumi nembiri yekupedzisira, kwavakauya kuzokoshesa neanopfuura gumi%, kunze kwechikamu chakagoverwa pakati pevachagovana navo. Iine avhareji yekufarira yakatenderedza 10%, yakakwira kupfuura iyo inopihwa nezvose zvigadzirwa zvebhangi uye zvigadzirwa zvemisika yakamisikidzwa yemari.
Inoderedza zvakaenzana neGDP
Kana iwe uchizodyara mumusika wemasheya mumazuva mashoma anotevera, iwe unenge usisina imwe sarudzo kunze kwekuziva kuti misika yemari inogona kuwira zvakaenzana nekuderera kweGross Domestic Chigadzirwa. Iyi ndiyo imwe yekiyi yekutarisana nekudyara munguva ino yekushomeka iri kuuya mukondinendi yekare. Kusvika padanho rekuti rinogona kuburitsa nyowani uye inoshungurudza bearish kudhonza kubva kwazvinoda iwe kuti uwanezve mune ipfupi uye pamwe yepakati izwi Nekuti zviripo, mhedzisiro yacho inogona kuenzana uye mune iyi nyaya nekudonha mumasheya emasheya emusika wedu wemasheya.
Kune rimwe divi, zvinofanirwa kusimbiswa kuti musika wepasi rese wemusika ungateedzere maitiro akaiswa mumakore 2017 uye 2018 mairi iyo Ibex 35 yakasara 15%. Mumakore api akaipisisa kubvira 2010 uye mushure memakore umo purofiti yakaiswa mumabasa evarimi. Zvinoenderana ne data kubva kuBolsas y Mercados Españoles (BME), mashoma mashoma maseru akaramba akanaka. Pakati pavo, Magetsi uye Gasi (8,9%), Chemical Indasitiri (8,8%) kana Simba Rinowedzerwazve (9,6%). Chaizvoizvo avo vari kuita zvakanakisa gore rino uye avo vanochengetedza zviwanikwa zvinopesana neyakajairika maitiro.
Mitengo yakaderera inokuvadza
Mutengo unodhura wemari ndechimwe chezvinhu zviri kuranga hunhu hwemumba. Kunyanya kune vamiririri vebhengi chikamu vari kudonha uye pasina kunze kwemhando ipi zvayo. Nenzira iwe unofanirwa kutarisa izvozvo BBVA Mune pfupi pfupi nzvimbo yenguva yakabva pakutengesa 6 kusvika kungopfuura mana euros mugove. Kudzora kwakadzama kunoratidza kuti chimwe chinhu chiri kuitika nemapoka emari munyika medu. Kunze kwezviratidzo zvekutanga zveupfumi hwehupfumi munzvimbo yeyuro. Kunyangwe paine njodzi yekuti mamiriro acho achawedzera kubva zvino zvichienda mberi.
Mamwe mabhizinesi zvikamu haana dziviriro, kunyanya izvo zvakabatanidzwa kutenderera kwehupfumi izvo zvakatotanga kukwira kwakadzika. Kunyangwe zvisingazivikanwe kusvika pamatanho api emitengo yavo ichasvika uye kuti inogona kurema chikamu chakanaka chezviitiko zvinokurudzirwa nevashambadzi vadiki nepakati. Kunze kwekunge mumwedzi iyi vachigadzirisa zvinzvimbo zvavo mumisika yemari kuitira kuti varege kusiya maeuro akawanda mumugwagwa mumwedzi iri kuuya kana kunyange makore. Mune mamwe mazwi, mamiriro acho anenge akaomarara kune vatengesi vanoda kuvepo pane yekuchinjana.
General mamiriro haana kunaka
Chimwe chinhu chiri kuremedza misika yemari inyaya dziri kuitika munharaunda medu. Kufanana nekusagadzikana kwezvematongerwo enyika mune dzimwe nyika dzeEurope, iyo Brexit kana hondo yekutengeserana pakati peChina neUnited States. Idzo pfuti nyowani dzemasheya kuti arambe achidonha, kunyangwe paine vamwe vanoongorora zvemari vari kutsigira chokwadi chekuti inguva yakakodzera yekupinda mumisika yezvemari zvakare. Nekuti mutengo wezvikamu wakagadziridzwa uye nekudaro une mukana wakakura wekudzokorodza munguva yepakati nepakati. Asi zvakatipoteredza zviri pachena zvisina kunaka kune urwu rudzi rwekufamba mumisika yemari. Mugore, senge 2020, iri yakaoma kwazvo.
Zvakare kusimbisa kuti kwave nemakore akawanda umo misika yemasheya yakavhara maitiro avo zvakanaka uye yaive nguva ye tora purofiti zvinotyisa. Saka kuti nguva yasvika yechiitiko chitsva ichi uye nezve izvi zvese, chenjedzo inofanirwa kuve dhinomineta muzviito zvevashambadzi vadiki nepakati Kunyangwe paine chokwadi chekuti panogona kuve nemisangano ine simba kubva zvino zvichienda mberi. Asi ivo vanofanirwa kushandiswa nevashambadziri, pane kupinda mumisika, kugadzirisa zvigaro. Kuti vakwanise kuchengetedza zvinzvimbo zvavo uye vawane mari yakawanda yekushandisa mikana yebhizinesi iyo pasina mubvunzo ichauya mumakore anotevera. Sechikamu chezano iwe raunogona kushandisa mune anotevera ekurovedza mumusika wemasheya.
X-ray yehupfumi hweSpain
Iyo Spanish Gross Yemumba Chigadzirwa (GDP) inonyora kukura kwechetatu kwe0,5 mukota yekupedzisira yakaongororwa maererano nehuwandu, maererano neazvino dhata yakapihwa neNational Institute of Statistics (INE). Iko kunowanikwa kuti chiyero chiri pasi peviri chegumi pane chakanyoreswa mukota yapfuura. Kune rimwe divi, iro gore-ne-gore kukura kweGDP inomira pa 2,3%, zvichienzaniswa ne2,4% mukota yapfuura. Mupiro wedanho renyika mukukura kwemukati meGDP iri 1,6 mapoinzi, zvitanhatu zvegumi zvakaderera pane zvegore rapfuura.
Kune chikamu chayo, kudiwa kwekunze kunopa mupiro wemapoinzi e0,7, mashanu egumi akakwirira kupfuura ayo epfuura kota. Iko iko kwakasarudzika deflator yeGDP inowedzera 1,0% zvichienzaniswa nenguva yakafanana yegore rapfuura, chegumi chimwe kupfuura mukota yapfuura. Nezve basa muhupfumi, maererano neiyo yakazara-nguva yakaenzana mabasa, yakanyoresa kota-pa-kota kusiyanisa kwe0,4%, zvitatu zvegumi zvishoma pane izvo zvakanyoreswa munguva yapfuura yekuongorora.
Uye mune zvemukati memakore, basa rakawedzera pachiyero che2,5%, chiyero chegumi chegumi chakadzika, izvo zvinomiririra kuwedzera kwemakumi mashanu nemakumi mashanu ezviuru enguva yakazara yakaenzana mabasa mugore rimwe chete. Kuona kuti misiyano yepakati nepakati yeyuniti yevashandi inodhura kota iyi yakamira pa459%. Nepo kune rimwe divi, mupiro wekuda kwenyika mukukura kwemukati meGDP iri 2,1 mapoinzi, matanhatu egumi akaderera. Kune chikamu chayo, kudiwa kwekunze kunopa mupiro wemapoinzi e1,6, mashanu egumi akakwirira kupfuura munguva yekupedzisira yakaongororwa mushumo.