Kuguma kwemazororo kwaunza nebasa rakakura mumusika wekuchinjana kune dzimwe nyika. Kusvikira iri kukurudzira kuenzana kutenderera pasirese. Nekuti simba reyuro ndiyo iri dhinomineta mumisika yemari. Hazvishamise kuti mari yenharaunda yenharaunda yakapfuura nhanho yemadhora 1,20 kekutanga kubvira 2015. Nesimba riri kutungamira kuchinjiso mumitengo yemari mikuru yepasi rose uye iri kukurudzira kuti vatengesi vazhinji vagadzirise mapotifoti avo ekudyara vachitora mukana wekudzoka kwavo kuzororo. Mune izvo zvinoumbwa mune imwe yenhau dzakakosha kwazvo dzakatiunzira Nyamavhuvhu uno.
Sezvo mabhanga epakati akasangana muJackson Hole (United States) mari yekuEurope yakanakidzwa neinenge 3%. Ehezve, chimwe chezvikonzero zvekuratidzira simba rakakura reimwe mari yeEuropean chakabatana nemutemo wezvemari pachikamu chebhangi reEuropean rekuburitsa. Mupfungwa iyi, zvakataurwa neMutungamiriri weEuropean Central Bank (ECB) pamusoro pekuita kwakanaka kwehupfumi hweEurope hazvigone kukanganwika. Uye izvo zvakadudzirwa nemisika yemari seyambiro nezve kubviswa kwechisimba nebhanga reEuropean rinoburitsa.
Chero zvazvingava, iyo euro yanga ichikwira kumusoro kubvira kutanga kwegore rino, kunyanya zvine chekuita nekuchinjana nemari yeNorth America. Icho chokwadi chiri kuteverwa kwazvo neakasiyana emari vamiririri. Kunyangwe ivo vasingakwanise kuona icho chingave chiri siringi icho iyo euro inogona kusvika munguva pfupi iri kutevera. Nesimba rakakosha kwazvo pamatanho e $ 1,35, izvo zvaizoreva kukoshesa kukuru kupera kwegore. Pane chinhu chimwe chechokwadi uye icho ndechekuti musika wepamberi wadzokera mukurumbira. Nekuwedzera kunoshamisa mukushomeka kwayo, sezvingaonekwa mazuva ano.
Euro yakasimba kudarika kare
Mutengo wepamusoro wakasvika pamazuva ano, zvine chekuita nemari yeUnited States, wave madhora 1,205. Shanduko isingaonekwe mumwedzi mishoma yapfuura, kunyangwe makore matatu apfuura. Izvi zvinoreva kuti iyo imwechete mari yeEuropean yatenda kwete pasi pe15% kusvika parizvino gore rino. Kugadzikana se imwe yemari inobatsira kwazvo yemari yegore rino. Kunyangwe kupfuura misika yequity ivo pachavo, vane muzana yavo inofarira i10% paavhareji mumisika mikuru yepasi rose Zvekare varimi vatendeuka zvimiro zvavo kumari yekudyara. Kunyangwe vari ivo vane ruzivo rwakawanda vari kuvhura nzvimbo mushure mekudzoka kubva munguva yavo yezhizha.
Chero zvazvingaitika, chinhu chimwe ndechechokwadi kune vano saver uye ndechekuti tsika yekutenda yemari yekuAmerica yapera. Mushure mekutora maitiro aya kwenguva yakareba kupfuura zvinofungidzirwa. Nekuti mukuita, kwave kuchikuvandudza kubva 2014. Neiko mamiriro matsva anovhura yezvekudyara nyika uye zvakanyanya chaizvo kumisika yemari. Chaizvoizvo panguva iyo pakange pasina munhu aivatarisira, kana zvirinani vashoma vaongorori vezvemari. Chero zvazvingaitika, iwo mamiriro ezvinhu matsva ayo madiki uye epakati varimari vanofanirwa kugara nawo kubva zvino zvichienda mberi.
Kukanganisa pamusika wekutengesa
Kunyange iri nhau yakanaka yehupfumi hwenyika dzekare, haina kunaka zvakanyanya kumusika wemasheya zvachose. Iyo inoratidza irinani mamiriro enharaunda bhizinesi muviri, asi nemhedzisiro yakakomba mune dzimwe nzvimbo dzehupfumi. Kubva pane ino mamiriro matsva, haisi nhau dzakanaka kumusika wemasheya kana kune vanoita mari. Mupfungwa iyi, simba reyuro rakaunza kuwanda kwakapararira mumatunhu ese eEuropean indices. Chaizvo, iyo Eurostoxx 50 yadonhedza ingangoita 2% kupfuura svondo rapfuura uye zvinoita sekunge maitiro ayo ari kuita bearish. Zvirinani munguva pfupi.
Nekudzikira mune angangoita ese matunhu, anenge asingasarure. Haisi iyo nguva, saka, yekupinda mumisika yemari, asi zvinokurudzirwa kumirira mazuva mashoma kuti uone kuti shanduko yemusika wemari chii kubva ikozvino. Ehezve, kudonhedza kwakadzika mumasheya indekisi chiratidzo cheicho chaichoicho chakakunda mumusika wekuchinjana kunze kwenyika.
Kubatsirwa kweiyo yakasimba euro
Nekudaro, pane zvimwe zvakanakira pamutengo wakakwira weEuropean mari yakafanana. Pasina kuenda kumberi, iwo wakaderera mutengo wekunze zvigadzirwa kubva kunze kweEuropean Union. Semuyenzaniso, mukutenga mafuta mumisika yemari nekuti mutengo wemabasa wakaiswa mumadhora. Kune rimwe divi, kukurudzira kune kuvimbika kwechirongwa cheEuropean panguva iyo paine kusahadzika kwakawanda pamusoro pekugadziriswa kwayo. Uye zvakare, zvinoreva kuti hupfumi munzvimbo ino yenzvimbo huri kuita zvirinani pane izvo zvinofungidzirwa mune mimwe mishumo yenguva pfupi.
Asi zvido zvehupfumi hazviwanzoenderana neizvo zvemisika yemari. Nekuti zvakaoma kwazvo kufadza munhu wese. Uye zvakare, iyo yakanyanya shanduko haisi chete nemari yekuNorth America, asi zvakare zvine chekuita neChirungu pondo. Hazvishamise kuti shanduko neiyi yemari asset iri 0,9299 mapaundi pa euro. Matanho haasati amboona kubvira kupera kwa2009. Iko iyo Brexit mhedzisiro vane zvakawanda zvekuita neaya makotesheni pamusika wepamberi. Kusvika padanho rekuti ivo vanogona kuenderera kudzika mumavhiki anotevera.
Kukanganisa mukukoshesa euro
Euro yakasimba, kune rumwe rutivi, ine mhedzisiro yakaipa. Imwe yeakanyanya kukosha ndeye iyo ine chekuita neiyo yakawedzera mutengo wekutengesa kunze. Kusvika padanho rekuti inogona kukonzera kusaenzana kwakakomba muhupfumi hwenzvimbo kubva zvino zvichienda mberi. Zvakare makakatanwa ari pakati pemari anogona kukonzera kuti kuderedzwa mumisika yemasheya yekondinendi yakare kwanyanya kuzivikanwa kubva ikozvino. Iine akateedzana ehunhu hunogona kuve hunyoro kukudziridza mafambiro epasi. Semuenzaniso, vamiririri vevakakosha banking sector.
Nekuti hazvifanirwe kukanganikwa kuti kana zviyeuchidzo zveupfumi munzvimbo ye euro zvikabviswa, mapoka makuru ezvemari ndiwo anonyanya kukanganiswa uye pamusoro pehumwe hunhu. Zvakare iyo makambani ane chikwereti chakasimba izvo zvichanyanya kunetsa kugadzirisa dambudziko iri mune yavo mari chirevo. Vakatambudzwa veichi chiitiko uye kuti iwe unofanirwa kuzvifunga iwe paunenge uchigadzirira iyo portfolio yekudyara kana wadzoka kubva kuzororo. Sezvo zvichanyanya kunetsa kushanda mumisika yemari nekuda kwekuwedzera kwakanyanya mukusagadzikana kwavo kubva mumwedzi waGunyana.
Maitiro ekugadzirisa hupfumi?
Imwe yemaitiro auchazove nawo kumberi kutungamira mamiriro ekuchengetedza kwako kubva zvino zvichienda mberi. Inogona kunge iri nguva yakanakisa yekugadzirisa zvinzvimbo muEuropean equities uye kuenda kune dzimwe nzvimbo dzenharaunda dzine mukana wakakura wekutenda mune zvavanofunga pamusika wemasheya. Nezve iyo zvikamu izvo zvezvinhu zvakagadzirwa Iwe unogona kuve mumwe wevakasarudzwa. Kunyanya chaizvo mafuta, ayo anogona kupa zvakawanda zvekushamisika kwakanaka kubva munaGunyana. Nezvemari yakatarwa, zvinogona kunge zvakakodzera kuenda kumabhodhi ezvepiri, asi chete kwenguva pfupi. Ivo vanopa hukama hwakanaka kwazvo pakati pekubatsira uye njodzi kune vashandisi panguva ino.
Mupfungwa iyi, kupinza makambani ichave imwe yemabheti akachengeteka kwazvo kusarudza sosi inoshanda yekudyara. Kune rimwe divi, kuburikidza nemusika wekuchinjana kunze kwenyika zvinokwanisika kuwana zvakakosha zviwanikwa zvemari. Asi zvinoda ruzivo rwakakura murudzi urwu rwekushanda. Nekuti ivo vanofanirwa kukurumidza uye, kana zvichibvira, kumisikidzwa mune imwecheteyo yekutengesa chikamu. Ndokunge, kuburikidza neanozivikanwa intraday mashandiro. Hazvishamise kuti ichave iri imwe yemisika inoshanda kwazvo yemari pane ese. Kunyanya, pamwe neshanduko dzese dzakabatana nemari imwechete yeEurope.
Chero zvazvingaitika, chinhu chimwe chiri pachena uye icho ndechekuti simba reyuro rinogadzira hukama hutsva mune akasiyana mari hupfumi. Pazvinenge zvichidikanwa kuti utore mukana weichi chokwadi chine nhau chakaputika pakupera kwezororo. Nekuti iyi mamiriro mueuro anofanirwa kushandira mune zvese zviitiko kuti atsvage mikana mitsva yebhizinesi. Ivo zvechokwadi vanozoonekwa uye kubva kwakasiyana mativi mune iyo investa. Izvo zvinongoramba zvichiratidza kana mamiriro aya mueuro ari echinguvana kana kuti izvo zvinopesana zvichagadzwa kwenguva yakareba kupfuura inotarisirwa nevanoongorora zvemari. Chero zvazvingaitika, imwe yekiyi dzeiyi mamiriro ezvinhu ichagara mune kuti iyo Shanduko ye1.25 kana 1,30 madhora. Saka kuti iwe ugone kana kuenderera nekukwira uku mumitengo. Tichafanira chete kumirira mavhiki mashoma kuti tione kuti musika wezvemari uyu unogona kusimukira kupi.