Ko zvakadii nezveRapsol zvikamu pamusika wemari?

Vagovani vekambani yemafuta Repsol vanonetsekana nemamiriro azvino emasheya avo, nekuti vakaona kuti munguva pfupi yekukoshesa kukosha kwavo kwaderera neanopfuura 25%. Nekuti zvirokwazvo, Mutengo waro waenda mugore ra2015 kubva pakutengesa kwakatenderedza 19 euros, kusvika parizvino iri kukosha gumi nemaviri euros. Kune akawanda maeuro akafamba munzira, asi chinonyanya kunetsa kana iwe uri parizvino mugovani ndechekuti kurasikirwa kungave kwakanyanya kunyanyisa mumwedzi iri kuuya.

Repsol ndechimwe chekuchengetedzwa kwekutungamira kweSpanish inosarudzika index, ichive chimwe cheshanu bhuruu machipisi akabatanidzwa muIbex 35. inozivikanwa nekuve imwe yekuchengetedzeka ine imwe yemipiro mikuru pamusika wekuSpain. Iine purofiti ingangoita 8%, inoitwa kuburikidza nemaviri kubhadhara pagore, ayo anounganidzwa mumwedzi waJune naDecember. Pasina kupokana, chikonzero chakanaka chekugara mukukosha. Asi ndiyo yega here? 

Munguva ya2015, migove yekambani yemafuta yeSpain yanga iri pakati pevakanyanya kukanganiswa nemusika, semhedzisiro yekudonha kwemitengo yezvakakosha zvigadzirwa mumisika yepasi rose. Hukuru hwekupunzika kwayo hwakashamisa, kwete ivo voga vagovani, asi zvakare chikamu chakanaka chevanoongorora zvemusika wemasheya, uko vazhinji vavo vakatombovaita kuti vabatanidzwe mupotifoliyo yavo yekuchengetedzwa zvakanyanya kukurudzirwa vatengi.

Zvikonzero zvekudonha kwayo pamusika wemasheya

Aya maitiro akajeka eiyo kambani anga achigadzira mumwedzi yapfuura haina dhinomineta kuitsanangura, asi pane akati wandei uye nehunhu hwakasiyana. Ivo vanofanirwa kuongororwa, kwete chete kuti uone zano razvino raunofanirwa kuita, iwe wakamira mune kukosha, asiwo kana ichigona kuumba mukana wakajeka wekutenga kune vagovana vatsva avo vanoshuvira kutora mukana wemitengo yakaderera panotengeswa zvikamu zvavo parizvino.

1. Kutsamira kwemafuta: shanduko yemitengo yayo yakabatana zvakanyanya neiyo yemafuta asina kuchena. Uye mune ino pfungwa, zvave zvichiperekedza zvinyorwa zvacho kanenge nguva dzose. Iyi mbishi zvinhu zvabva pakutengesa zana kusvika pamakumi matatu nemashanu emadhora pagaba, munguva pfupi pfupi yenguva. Uye zvingave sei neimwe nzira, zvave zvichizokanganisa kambani yenyika yemafuta. Hazvishamise kuti iyo chikamu chese chakarangwa zvakanyanya panguva iyi, kunyangwe nekugadziriswa kwakanyanya mune mamwe makambani epasi rese akarasikirwa ne50% mumwedzi mishoma. Mune maonero evanoongorora, chero bedzi pasina kudzoka mumutengo wezvisina kuchena, hapazove nemukana weimwe mhando yekudzokorodza mumitengo yemasheya eRepspol. Uye kuti zvinoenderana neruzivo rwechizvino-zvino urwo rwiri kugadzirwa, hazviite sekunge ichave maitiro ayo, zvirinani munguva pfupi.
2. Tenga Talisman: kutengwa kwekambani yemafuta yeCanada, ikozvino raingova gore rapfuura, kwakaranga zvakanyanya tarisiro yekambani yekukura. Icho chikonzero chiri pachena, kuvhiya kwakaitwa nemutengo wemafuta unosvika madhora zana, nepo parizvino ichikosha zvakanyanya, kunyanya makumi mana, isingasviki hafu yemwedzi gumi nembiri yapfuura. Nekuda kwemutengo wakatarwa nemisika yemari, kushanda kwacho hakuna kubatsira, uye varimi vari kufambira mberi zvishoma nezvishoma kubva kukambani kunotsvaga mimwe mikana yebhizinesi, kunyanya mune mamwe masiteki emusika.
3. Downtrend: yayo yehunyanzvi mamiriro haigone kuve yakanyanya bearish, kunyanya mune yepakati nepakati refu. Kubva pakati pagore ra2015 yakagadzira kukwira kwakadzika uko kwakazvikwidza kumitengo yazvino. Iyi nzira yekutengesa yakatungamira kuzviito zvavo kusvikira kutsigirwa kwakakosha kwe10 euros, iko panguva ino zvinoita sekunge yakatsungirira kudonha kwayo. Nekudaro, kana vese vaongorori vemusika vakabvumirana pane chimwe chinhu, ndeyekuti kana iwe ukapfuura pamiganhu iyi, kupora kwako kunenge kwakaoma zvikuru kuti zviitike. Uyezve, vanofanotaura kuderedzwa kwakanyanya uko kunogona kutora kusvika kuma7 kana masere euros pamugove. Asi chero zvakadaro, ivo vanozogadziriswa nekushanduka kwedhiragi isina kuchena. Dzimwe nyanzvi dzezvemusika dzakanyanya kunaka nehunokosha uye vanofungidzira kuti mutengo waro unogona kuzvitora kumitengo yakatenderedza gumi nemana euros, uko kunowana kumwe kwekumisidzana kwayo kukuru.
4. Kuderedzwa mumitengo: Imwe misiyano inopesana neichi kukosha kwechikamu chemafuta ndechekuti vatengesi vanonyanya kukosha nevamiriri vezvemari vakadzikisa zvakanyanya mutengo wavo. Kuenda kubva pavhareji yemakumi mairi euros kusvika gumi nemana pamugove. Inenge ichine nzira yekumusoro, asi yakawanda ishoma. Kunyangwe icho chakakosha chinhu ndechekuti hapana akawedzera zvinongedzo zvavo. Nemaonero aya, kwete mashoma emari ekudyara akabvisa kambani kubva kune yavo yekuchengetedza portfolio, kukuvadza mamwe makambani ane mvumo yemisika yezvemari, uye nemikana yakakura yekuwongorora.

Chii chaungaite izvozvi?

Kune kambani isingachinjike seiyi, uye ine maitiro epfupi-pfupi asina kunyatsotsanangurwa, mashoma maitiro anogona kuitwa. Iko kuwana kwavanogona kuwana kwakakura kwazvo, asi kurasikirwa kwacho zvakare. Nekudaro njodzi yekupedzisira yekutora zvinzvimbo, zvirinani kusvika nzira iyo mitengo yavo ichatora yajeka.

Pakati pezvikamu zvekupedzisira zvekutengesa, kosi yayo mumusika unoenderera pamusika zvechokwadi yanga iri yekushomeka. Kana ikangokwira 2% muchikamu chekutengeserana, sezvo zuva rakatevera rikawa nesimba rimwe chete. Iko, muchidimbu, chaiyo tsika. Izvo zvinongokodzera chete kana iwe uri mutengesi, uyo anoda kuita kuti mabasa ako abatsire mune imwecheteyo yekutengesa chikamu, pasina kutarisa mazwi akareba.

Uye kazhinji iine shanduko yakaderera pane iya yakagadziridzwa neyekusarudzika indekisi yenyika. Kubva panguva ino, kune zvimwe zvingasarudzwe zvakanyanya kana iwe uchida kugadzira mibairo muhomwe pfupi, uye kubva kumatunhu ese. Chero bedzi goho repamusoro rezvikamu rinogona kutamba sechinhu kuita kuti ive yechishuwo chiriporipocho chezvaunofarira, uye kusvikira mamiriro ayo ekupedzisira ajekeswa.

Zvikamu zveRepsol zvave zviri pachena kuti ndeimwe yevakakundikana zvikuru muna2015, uye mumwedzi mishoma inotevera zvichave zvakakosha kuti vatarise kuti vanowana here zvinzvimbo, kana kana zvichipesana, mitengo yavo inotevera maitiro akaratidzwa kusvika pari zvino, uye kudonha kwakanyanya ivo ndakagadzira enderera.

Chero zvazviri, Mumusika wemanje uno wemusika unopa iwe uchagara uchitsvaga makambani ane zvirinani zvehunyanzvi chimiro, izvo zviri kutokudziridza zvine simba bullish mapatani mumitengo yavo. Mamwe acho akanyudzwa mune isingakundike chimiro chemahara kusimuka. Izvo zvinokurudzirwa kwazvo kutenga pamusika wemasheya, uye izvo zvinogona kutungamira kune yakakosha mibairo mumabasa aunotarisana nawo muzvikwereti kwemwedzi mishoma inotevera.

Makiyi matanhatu ekutsanangura chinzvimbo chako

Kana iwe uchida kuwana kumwe kudzoka nezvikamu zvekambani ino, unenge usisina imwe sarudzo kunze kwekutora nhevedzano yemazano, ayo anozokubatsira kuzadzisa zvinangwa zvako. Kwete pasina matambudziko mune zvese zvaunoita, uye kunyanya zvichienderana nezviitiko zvinomuka kubva zvino zvichienda mberi.

Chimwe chinhu chaunofanirwa kuongorora kuti uite basa racho zvinobudirira inguva yekudyara kwako. Kana ichive ichave ipfupi-pfupi, iwe unogona kutora mukana wekukwanisa kuderedzwa mumitengo yavo kuyedza kuwana mashoma maeuro mune yega kufamba. Kana maonero ako, kune rumwe rutivi, ari epakati kana akareba, marongero anozochinja zvakanyanya. Kwete zvisina maturo, chakakodzera kwazvo mune idzi kesi ndechekuti kurongedzerwa kwekutengwa kwemasheya kana maitiro ayo ekureba-refu achinja, achienda nekusimba kubva ku bearish.

Izvozvi iri kutengeserana pasi penzvimbo yakadzika kwazvo yedivi, pakati pegumi nemana kusvika gumi nemakumi mairi euros, izvo zvakamuomera kuti abve. Iro zano rekudyara, sekureva kwevanonyanya kuongorora misika yemasheya, raizoenderana nekutenga masheya kana ikatyora kuramba, uye zvinopesana, kuitengesa nekukasira kana pakupedzisira yasarudzwa kusiya chiteshi kune chikamu chayo chebhara.

Kuti tikubatsire kushambadzira mashandiro ako muukoshi, tinokufumura mamwe matipi akareruka ekuti mashandiro ako anofanirwa kuve sei, asi kunyanya mune izvo zvinowoneka zvaunofanira kutarisa kuti upinde kana kubuda mumusika wemari kuburikidza nezvikamu zveiyi kambani muchikamu chemafuta. Ndiine tarisiro yekumisikidza yako portfolio yemacurity kutarisana ne2016 yemari gore.

• Kana nguva yako yekugara yakareba, iwe uchave gore rega rega goho padyo ne8% muzvikamu, izvo zvinokubatsira iwe kunakidzwa nemari yakatarwa mukati meiyo kusiana, uye kutarisana nezvimwe zvemunhu mari.
• Kana iwe ukaedzwa kuti upinde kukosha, iwe unofanirwa kuenda kumatafura emafuta asina kuchena, iyo muchikamu chikuru ichave iyo pakupedzisira inogadzirisa shanduko yezviito zvako mumisika yemasheya.
• Iwe ungangoda kuve wakamira mune yakadzikama kambani, pasina yakanyanyisa kuchinjika mumitengo yavo. Muchiitiko icho zvingave zvichibatsira iwe kusarudza imwe yekudzivirira cutoff tsika kuti vasaite kuti iwe uve zuva rese uchimirira mutengo wavo.
• Kuchengetedza mari yako iwe unogona kuiisa mune yako portfolio pamwe nemamwe makambani ane hasha akanyorwa, uye yakadzika huwandu hwekushanda kwete hwakanyanya kukwirira.
• Iyo ine rutsigiro rwakasimba kwazvo pa10 euros, kuitira kuti kana ikatyora, zvingave zvirinani kubvisa nzvimbo dzayo, uye kana usati waiswa mari, chinhu chinonzwisisika kumirira nguva iri nani kuti upinde mumusika.
• Unofanira kufunga nezvazvo iyo yakakwira chikamu chechikwereti icho ichi kambani chine, uye izvo zvinotozoita chipingamupinyi chakakura kuti ikudziridze mafambisirwo akasimba ekuzvisimudzira anozoendesa kumahora ayo akaratidzirwa mumakore apfuura.