Musika wemasheya unoteerera gakava riri pakati peUnited States neChina

Chimwe chezvinhu izvo zvinonyanya kukanganisa shanduko yemisika yepasi rose yemisika hapana mubvunzo gakava riri pakati peUnited States neChina. Kusvika padanho rekuti inokonzeresa zvakanyanya kune epasi rese masheya ekudzika kana kukwira mune imwechete yekutengesa chikamu. Hazvishamise kuti chikonzero chikuru chekusagadzikana kutsva uku kuchabata 2020 inyonganiso nyowani yakatarisana neUnited States neChina, uye panguva ino imhaka yekuyedza kwehurumende yeBeijing kuita mitemo inodzora rusununguko rwemumwe muHong Kong .

Mhedzisiro yekutanga yemhedzisiro iyi ndeye yemusika wepasi rose wemari. Uye chii chakamukonzerakumari imwechete, iyo euro, panguva ino inochengetedza yakajeka bearish toni, uye inogona kuenderera munzira iyoyo kubva mumwedzi mishoma inotevera. Iko kunofanirwa kucherechedzwa kuti pazasi pakataurwa nhanho yekudzikira ichave yakajeka zvikuru uye nekudaro haizove mari yemari yekuita mashandiro mumisika yemari. Chero zvazvingaitika, zvese zvinoita senge zvinoratidza kuti aya maitiro anogona kunyatso chengetwa sekukakavadzana pakati peUnited States neChina kuri kushanda.

Ichi chikamu hachifanirwe kukanganikwa nevashambadzi vadiki nepakati kana vachishuvira kukanganiswa nekufamba kwekudzikira mumari imwechete yeEurope. Kunyanya, nekuda kwekukwirisa kwayo kwakanyanya munguva ino, kunoenderana pamwe nekuwedzera kwecoronavirus uye inogona kuve chikonzero chekunetsekana kwenhamba huru yevatengesi. Kunyangwe inogona kunge iri tsika inogona kumiswa chero nguva gore rino uye zvichienderana nemhedzisiro yekutaurirana mukukakavadzana pakati peUnited States neChina. Hapana nzira yainofanirwa kuve yekutsiva mari yekutenga nekutengesa zvikamu pamusika wemasheya. Kana zvisiri, pane kudaro, iri sarudzo inofanirwa kutariswa kunze kwerudzi urwu rwekushanda mumisika yemari. Nekuongorora kwakasiyana zvachose mune zvese zvemari zvinhu.

Gakava pakati peUS neChina: mafuta

Pasina kupokana kuti iyi yemhando yepamusoro yemari asset ndeimwe yeavo vanobatwa nenyaya yekukakavadzana pakati peUnited States neChina. Mune ino chaiyo kesi kubva pakuwedzera kudiwa kubva kuChina, Uyo mwero wekupinza zvinhu wakadzokera kumamota pamberi penjodzi yehutano. Mune ino kesi, hazvigone kukanganwika kuti izvi zvakakosha mbishi zvinhu zvakagadziriswa pasi pasi mumavhiki apfuura, kunyangwe zvakadaro zvichichengetedza toni yakanyanyisa inogona kuve inonakidza kuita kuti capital iripo iwane purofiti. Chinhu chakachengeterwa varimi vane vane yakakwira nhanho yekudzidza mukirasi ino yeakasarudzika mashandiro.

Tichiri kune imwe, hatigone kukanganwa panguva ino kuti oiri isina kuchena iri kupfuura nemamiriro asina kugadzikana ayo anogona kumanikidza mafambiro mumusika wezvemari uyu uye zvakatowanda kupfuura mumusika wemari inoshanduka. Pasina kutonga kunze mune chero ruremekedzo kuti rutsva rwepasi kururamisa runogona kupihwa usati watanga yakatetepa kumusoro kumusoro kutenderera kweanotevera makore. Uye chero zvakadaro, zvinoenderana neimwe nzira kana gakava riri pakati peUnited States neChina rinoenda. Kunze kwemamwe mamiriro ane zvakawanda zvine chekuita nehunyanzvi kuongorora uye izvo nekudaro zvinogona kuchinja zano rekudyara nevatambi vadiki nepakati kubva ikozvino.

Sarudzo muUS mukudonha

Uye zvakare, hazvigone kukanganwika kuti mumwedzi yekupedzisira yegore rino sarudzo dzichaitika kuUS, uko Mutungamiri Donald Trump ari panjodzi yesarudzo yake uye izvi zvinogona kudzikisira kusagadzikana kuri pakati penyika mbiri idzi. Kusvikira pakuti inotamba chikamu chechipiri mumisika yemari, kunyanya iyo North America. Chero zvazvingaitika, zvinofanirwa kufungidzirwa kuti mushure mekutangazve zviitiko zvehunyanzvi mushure mecoronavirus, zvine musoro kuti musika weUS stock unodhonza kumusoro kumusoro izvo zvinogona kutungamira mukushanda kunobatsira kune vese vanoita mari. Kubva pane ino maonero, unogona kuva mukana webhizinesi wekupinda zvinzvimbo mumusika uno wakakodzera wemari. Iine mukana wechokwadi wekuswedera padyo neese-enguva makwiriro ayo anogona kuwanikwa mukupera kwaKukadzi.

Nepo kune rumwe rutivi, sarudzo muUS mumatsutso chinhu chitsva chinokurudzira misika yequity yepasi rose kusimuka kubva zvino zvichienda mberi. Kunyanya mushure mekurasikirwa kwakakura kwakaitika nekupararira kwecoronavirus kutenderera pasirese. Nekudzikira kwakasvika pamusoro pe40% mune dzimwe nyika dzakanyanya kubatwa nehutano uhu hunokosha mukukosha kwehupfumi hwenyika. Kusvika padanho rekuti iyo yekumusoro tsika inoratidzwa nemabhegi mumwedzi miviri yekutanga yegore rino yakanyanya kutyorwa. Zvirinani maererano nezvepakati uye kunyanya pfupi pfupi. Nekutengesa kuzhinji nevashambadzi vadiki nepakati nekuda kwekudiwa kwemari mune yavo account yekuchengetedza panguva idzodzo.

Kuita kuri nani kwemakambani eetekinoroji

Chimwe chokwadi chinofanirwa kutariswa kubva panguva ino zvichienda mberi inyaya yekuti indices dzetekinoroji dzakaita zvirinani pane zvechinyakare munguva ino yakasarudzika iyo isu tese takasangana nayo. Kusvika padanho rekuti Nasdaq yakwanisa kuzvimisikidza pachayo pakati pechirwere maererano nekushanduka kwayo kwegore negore mumisika yemari. Mune ino chaiyo kesi, ine purofiti yegore negore inopfuura 1%, nepo masara emusika wemasheya akasara akadonha kusvika ku40% mune mimwe misika yepasi rose yakakosha. Kune rimwe divi, isu tinofanirwa zvakare kusimbisa chokwadi chekuti mashandiro ari nani emakambani eetekinoroji ari nekuda kwekuti iwo makambani akashandisirwa zvirinani kune zvido zvemabasa enyika panguva ino yakakosha.

Chimwe chinhu chakakosha kufunga muchikamu chino ndeche icho chine chekuita nemasikirwo emakambani aya uye ayo ave achinyanya kubatsira mukushanduka kweiyo coronavirus. Semuenzaniso, yakabatana nezvigadzirwa zvemishonga, kuongororwa kwekiriniki uye kuzorora uye kudzidziswa. Muzviitiko zvese izvi nekutenda mune dzepasi rese stock exchange pamusoro pe10% uye kuti wanga uri mukana wakanaka webhizimusi kune chikamu chakanaka chevashambadzi vadiki nepakati.

Ballast yekushanduka kweiyo Dow Jones

Ramangwana reDow rakaratidza kudzikira kwakasimba pachena mumavhiki apfuura mushure mehutongi hwaTrump kutama kutakura zvinhu zvema semiconductors kuChina-based telecoms hofori Huawei, anga ari pakati pekupokana kwehunyanzvi hwekutengeserana pakati peWashington neBeijing. NeChina, iyo Dow Jones Industrial Avhareji yakakwira 377 mapoinzi, kana 1,6%, mushure mekudonha anopfuura mazana mana mazana mana emapoinzi muchikamu chakapfuura.

Hurumende yakati neChishanu kuti Kubvumbi kutengesa kwekutengesa kwakaderera 16,4% sezvo coronavirus ichivhara zvitoro pasi rese. Hazvishamisi kuti, economists vaitarisira kuderera kwe12,3% mushure mekudonha kwe8,3% munaKurume. Kuratidzira kutaridzika kwakaomarara kwekutengesa mune yeCovid-19 nyika, ichive chimwe chezvinhu zvinotamba zvichipesana nebasa rekusimudzira mumisika yeUS yekuenzanirana, zvirinani maererano nezwi pfupi.

Nike inoderedza kutengesa kwayo muna 2020

Panyaya iyi, Nike akayambira kuti kuvharwa kwezvitoro zvine chekuita nedenda mukati mekota yazvino kuchakanganisa mhedzisiro yazvo yekutengesa uye yakawanda. Mugadziri wemitambo neshangu yekugadzira akati 100% yezvitoro zveGreater China zvakavhurwa uye kutengesa kwepamhepo kuri kubatsira kugadzirisa kurasikirwa kwekutengesa kubva pakuvharwa kwezvitoro. Tichiri kune rimwe divi, isu tinofanirwa kukanganisa chokwadi chekuti New York Stock Exchange ichavhura mikova yayo ichirangarira ichi chokwadi chekuti inogona kukanganisa hupfumi pasirese, kwete muUS chete. Kunyanya, iyo New York Stock Exchange yakaenda zvakazara zvemagetsi mwedzi miviri yadarika mushure mekunge vanhu vaviri vaedzwa zvine mutsindo wekupinda kwecoronavirus. Vagadziri vemusika vakasarudzika, vanoona nezve kutengeswa kwemakambani zviuru zviviri nemazana maviri akanyorwa paNew York Stock Exchange, vacharamba vachishanda vari kure.

Oiri zvakare inomira kunze, zvinoita kunge yakapinda mudenderedzwa rine hunhu, nekuda kwekuwedzera kwekudiwa kubva kuChina, huwandu hwayo hwekupinza hwakadzokera kumamota pamberi penjodzi yehutano. Iyo mbishi yakashungurudzwa zvine mwero kudzika kugadziriswa neChishanu, uye inochengetedza toni yakanyanyisa kubatwa mumaawa ekutanga evhiki. Tinotarisira kumwe kugadziridzwa kwekudzika usati watanga yakawedzera kumusoro kutenderera.

Maitiro akatanga muna 2018

Kubva 2018, United States neChina vakamisa matanho akasiyana siyana pakufamba kwekushambadzira pakati penyika mbiri, idzo kuwedzera kwemitero kwave kwakakurumbira. Kuwedzera kwemitero neUnited States pakutengeswa kweChina kwakatungamira mukukurumidza kupindura kubva kuChina, izvo zvakawedzerawo mutero wayo pazvinhu zveAmerica zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika. Kunyangwe gakava rekutengeserana rakaratidzika kunge richikwira mukudonha kwe2019 nemitero mitsva ichiwedzera, mukupera kwa2019 nyika mbiri idzi dzakatenderana chibvumirano, kudzima mimwe yemitero yakakwidzwa uye kudzosera imwe yemitero yapfuura yakawedzera. Chibvumirano chakatungamira kushevedzo

Chikamu cheChipiri Chibvumirano chakasainwa munaNdira 2020. Mugwaro iri rinoongorora hupfumi hwenyonganiso yezvekutengeserana, tichikurukura mamiriro ezvehupfumi emhirizhonga yezvekutengeserana, ichipa muongororwo wezviyero zvakasiyana zvakagamuchirwa uye kuongorora mhedzisiro, kupinda mukukanganisa kwakatogadzirwa uye zvinotarisirwa kukanganisa mune ramangwana, kunyatsocherechedza kune zvinogona kuitika kuburikidza nekusava nechokwadi nezvematongerwo enyika. Mhedzisiro yehupfumi inoongororwa zvese nekuongorora zvinyorwa uye nekuzviongorora.

Kuongorora, tinoongorora mashandiro anoita kutenderera pakati peChina neUS mumakore maviri apfuura uye ongorora maratidziro ekutengeserana. Zvekuongorora, iyo WTO Global Trade Model (GTM), inodzokororwa inodzokorodza masimba, iyo yakaenzana equilibrium modhi (CGE) inoshandiswa. Pane gakava rakakura pamusoro pezvinogona kukonzeresa kusagadzikana kwekutengeserana pahupfumi hwenyika nekuda kwekuwedzera kusava nechokwadi kwemutemo wezvekutengeserana nekubatanidza hwaro hutsva hwehukama.

Chibvumirano pakati peUS neChina

Kubva kutanga kwekukonana kwekutengeserana pakati peUS neChina nyika mbiri idzi dzakawedzera mitero zvakanyanya pane zvekutengesa kunze, kubva pa2,6% kusvika pa17,5% pazvinhu zveChinese zvinotengeswa kuUS uye kubva pa6,2% kusvika 16,4% pazvinhu zvinotengeswa kubva kuUnited States kusvika China. Chikamu cheChipiri 1 Chibvumirano pakati peUS neChina chakadzikisa mitero pazvinhu zveChinese zvinotengeswa kuUnited States kusvika pa16%. Kugadzirisa chiyero chegwaro. Inotarisa kunetsana kwekutengeserana pakati peUS neChina.

Mitero pazvinhu zveChinese zvinotengeswa zvinokurudzirwa nenhanho dzinosvika ina:

Bilateral kutengeserana kusaenzana; ita kuti mitero iwedzere kudzoreredza; kudzorera mabasa munzvimbo yekugadzira; kugadzirisa maChinese marongero asina kunaka ekupararira-pamusoro mhedzisiro sehurombo hwekuchengetedza midziyo, rubatsiro kubva kumakambani ehurumende, uye kumanikidza tekinoroji kuendesa. Pfungwa yezvehupfumi yezvinhu zvitatu zvekutanga zvichakurukurwa zvakadzama mugwaro iri.

Kuzadzikiswa kwemitero

Kunyangwe kutengeserana kuyerera kubva kuChina kuenda kuUS kuchiri kuwedzera muna2018 nekuda kwekufungidzirwa kwekuparadzirwa kweanosvika 7%, kutengeswa kweChina kuUnited States kwakaderera zvakanyanya mumatatu matatu ekutanga e2019 nezve zvigadzirwa zvemitero, ne13%. Kutengesera kunze kwenyika kubva kuUnited States kuenda kuChina kwakadonha neinenge 1% muna 2018, kuchikurumidza kudzikira kweanopfuura 25% mumatatu ekutanga e2019.

Kunyange maChinese anotumirwa kunze kwenyika kuUnited States achiri kuwedzera muna 2018 ne7% nekuda kwekufungidzirwa kugoverwa, ivo vakaderera mukota yekutanga ya2019 ne13% Ongororo iyi inoratidza zvakare kuti kwaive nekukosha kwekushambadzira kwakanangana nekutenga kune dzimwe nyika kubva kune vamwe vatengesi. Nyika ina dzekuEast Asia (Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, neVietnam) dzakatumira zvishoma kuChina uyezve kuUS, kunyanya muchikamu chemagetsi.

Izvi zvinoratidza kuti East Asia kukosha maketani ari kugadzirisa zvekare mukupindura gakava rekutengeserana. Pfungwa kubva kuzvinyorwa zvehunyanzvi kusvika parizvino pamhirizhonga yekutengeserana ndeyekuti kwave nekuchinja kwakakwana kubva pamitero yepamusoro yekutenga zvinhu zveChinese kupinza mitengo nemitero inosanganisirwa.

Kushomeka kwekutengeserana munyika mbiri idzi

United States yakatanga kukwidza mutero pazvinhu zvinounzwa kubva kuChina munaKurume 2018 uye mhinduro yehurumende yeChinese yakazotevera nguva pfupi yapfuura. Inoratidza kukosha kwekutengeserana kwakakanganiswa neese ega emitengo yemitero inowedzera, nepo kune rimwe divi inoratidza shanduko yemavhareji emitero pamitengo yeUS kubva kuChina nekuChina zvinobva kuUnited States. Iyo yekuwedzera mutero chiyero chinokanganisa kuwanda kwekuwedzera kutengeserana kwakaitwa musi waGunyana 24, 2018. IU.S. yakaunganidza mimwe mitero ye10% pamadhora mazana maviri emabhiriyoni eChina anotengeswa kunze kwenyika, ayo akawedzera kusvika pa200.000% musi waMay 25, 10.

Avhareji yemitero yakatemwa neUnited States pakutenga zvinhu kubva kuChina yakawedzera zvakanyanya kubva kutanga kwemakakatanwa ekutengeserana, kubva pa 2,6% MFN mutero wehuwandu kusvika pa17,5% yemitero munaGunyana 1, 2019. Pakutanga, United States yakazivisa kuwedzera yehurefu hwekuwedzera kwemitero, iyo ingadai yakasimudza mavhareji emitero kusvika ku24,4% muna Zvita 15. Nekudaro, nekuda kwechisungo mumakambani ekutengeserana, kuwedzera uku hakuna kumbobvira kwashandiswa.

Ipo kune rumwe rutivi, iyo inotarisirwa kuwedzera ndeye 20,7% muna Zvita 2019, haina kuitiswa. Panguva imwecheteyo, China yakadzikisa iyo MFN mitero yevamwe vatengesi vanobatana, inoenderana neavhareji kudzikisira mutero wepakati pe5%. Nekudaro, mavhareji anoremerwa chete nekutengeserana iyo inokanganiswa nekuwedzera kwemitengo. Nepo pakupedzisira, inofanira kusimbiswa kuti parizvino pane gakava rakakura pamusoro pekugona kwemhedzisiro yemakakatanwa ekutengeserana pahupfumi hwenyika nekuda kwekuwedzera kusava nechokwadi kwezvematongerwo enyika pakati penyika mbiri idzi.


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  1. Inotarisira iyo data: Miguel Ángel Gatón
  2. Chinangwa cheiyo data: Kudzora SPAM, manejimendi manejimendi.
  3. Legitimation: Kubvuma kwako
  4. Kutaurirana kwedata
  5. Dhata yekuchengetedza: Dhatabhesi inobatwa neOccentus Networks (EU)
  6. Kodzero: Panguva ipi neipi iwe unogona kudzora, kupora uye kudzima ruzivo rwako