Ana faɗi abubuwa da yawa a kwanakin nan game da faɗuwar darajar hannayen jari a Spain sakamakon shawarar Burtaniya ta ficewa daga Tarayyar Turai (EU). Amma ba sosai ba tasirin kai tsaye da kai tsaye wanda wannan matakin zai samu akan Spain da rayuwar Mutanen Espanya. Wani abu kwata-kwata al'ada ce a cikin duniyan duniya kamar ta yanzu, inda dangantakar tattalin arziki suna da alaƙa da haɗi akai-akai.
A yanzu, akwai dubban dubban masu kiyayewa waɗanda suka bar kyakkyawan ɓangare na babban birnin da aka saka hannun jari cikin kayayyakin kuɗi ta gefen hanya. Ba wai kawai a cikin kasuwar hannayen jari ba, amma a cikin wasu waɗanda za a iya mantawa da su, kuma wannan hatta kanun labarai bazai san ainihin sakamakon sa ba. Ba wai muna magana ne kan kudaden saka jari ba, wadanda Spaniards ke amfani da su don tattara kudaden su, saboda rashin wasu hanyoyin da manyan kayayyakin ajiyar ke bayarwa (ajiyar kudi a lokacin, bayanan rajistar banki, da sauransu). Kuma cewa gabaɗaya basu da ƙarancin shingen 0,50% da suke samarwa ga masu nema.
Shirye-shiryen fansho sauran manyan wadanda abin ya shafa na wannan lalacewar a kasuwar hannun jari ta Sifen, da kuma faɗaɗa a cikin kasuwannin Turai da na duniya. Yawancin waɗannan samfuran kuɗi suna kafa jarin jarin su ne a kan daidaitattun lamura, musamman ma tsarikan tsari. Kuma cewa a yayin fuskantar wannan mawuyacin halin, za ku ga yadda rayuwar ku ta ragu kamar yadda a wasu lokuta. A wasu halaye ta hanyar cutarwa, kuma baƙon abu a kowane hali. Sakamakon haka, masu adanawa zasu sami kuɗi kaɗan akan waɗannan samfuran.
Tasiri kan tattalin arzikin gaba daya
A wani mataki mafi girma da yanke hukunci, daya daga cikin bangarorin da suka fi damun 'yan kasa shine yadda ficewar Birtaniyya daga cibiyoyin Al'umma zai shafe su a rayuwar su ta yau da kullun. Tabbas zai kasance ɗaya daga cikin tunanin da kuke da shi a waɗannan kwanakin. Ba kamar yadda wasu rahotanni masu faɗakarwa ke hangowa ba, amma tabbas ba za su fito da rashin lafiya daga wannan haɗarin jirgin kasan ba a tsohuwar nahiyar. To menene Za su sami babban mai ba da aiki a cikin aiki game da tasirin da wannan shawarar mai kawo cece-kuce za ta haifar a zaben raba gardama.
Don masu farawa, yawancin hukumomin ƙididdiga masu daraja sun riga sun yi gargadin cewa Brexit yana nufin yanke kusan rabin kaso na ci gaban tattalin arziki na shekara mai zuwa. A yanzu haka hasashen gwamnati ya wuce 2,7% wanda zai nuna Gross Domestic Product (GDP) na shekara mai zuwa. A kowane hali, ba zai sami wani tasiri ba, ko kuma zai ɗan yi kaɗan, a wannan shekara ta yanzu, kamar yadda Ministan Tattalin Arziki, Luis de Guindos ya bayyana.
Menene ma'anar wannan? Da kyau, tasirin tattalin arzikin Spain zai kasance mai saurin faɗuwa daga shekara mai zuwa, kuma ban da yawon buɗe ido, kamar yadda zaku iya gani a baya cikin wannan labarin. Addamarwa, kodayake kaɗan, a cikin GDP zai sami tasiri akan aikin yi, kuɗaɗen gwamnati, har ma a cikin manufofin daidaita albashin ma'aikata. Kodayake duk masana tattalin arziki sun nuna cewa karkatar da rabin maki a cikin ci gaba ba abin birgewa ba ne don ya shafi yawan jama'a ta wata hanya ta musamman.
Sakamakon farko zai kasance akan yawon shakatawa
Babu wata shakka cewa tasirin farko da ficewar Birtaniyya zai yi zai kasance ne a cikin yawon buɗe ido, kuma daga wannan lokacin rani. Dalilin kuwa shi ne saboda fam na Burtaniya zai rage darajar gaske akan kudinmu na Yuro. Kuma sakamakon wannan, kwararar baƙi na Ingilishi zuwa wuraren da muke zuwa zai ragu sosai, kuma daga wannan watan. Sabbin bayanai daga bangaren sun nuna cewa 'yan yawon bude ido miliyan shida sun ziyarci kasarmu a shekarar da ta gabata. Saboda haka, miliyoyin euro waɗanda aka tattara don wannan ra'ayin zai zama ƙasa da ƙasa. Yana shafar duk kamfanoni a ɓangaren yawon buɗe ido (otal-otal, gidajen cin abinci, sanduna, fayafai, motar haya, lokacin hutu, da sauransu).
Idan babu waɗannan kwastomomin, yawancin waɗannan kamfanonin ba su da wani zaɓi sai na su rage yawan aikinta, rage ayyuka, kuma a wasu lokuta, har sai kasuwancin ya rufe (a wuraren bakin teku ko wuraren yawon shakatawa na tsibiri). Kuma duk wannan yana nufin cewa ana buƙatar ƙananan ma'aikata, don haka haya a wannan ɓangaren kasuwancin zai zama ƙasa da ƙasa daga yanzu. Ba abin mamaki bane, zai iya yin tasiri kai tsaye a kan aikin yi, wanda zai sauke kashi goma cikin ɗari a matsayin sakamakon tasirin Brexit kan yawon buɗe ido.
Ya kamata a tuna da cewa yawon shakatawa na Burtaniya shine farkon mai bayar da baƙi zuwa Spain, bisa ga sabon bayanan da Ma'aikatar Tattalin Arziki ta bayar. A saman Faransa, Jamusawa da Italia. Daga wannan hangen nesan, zai shafi ayyukan tattalin arziki a Spain. Bugu da kari, Jiha zata tattara kudade kadan don wannan aikin, wanda ya shafi wasu abubuwan da aka sanya a cikin Kasafin kudin Jiha.
Spain: ƙananan fitarwa
Wani daga cikin manyan masu asara a cikin wannan yaƙin tattalin arziki zai kasance kamfanoni da ke da sha'awa a Burtaniya. A gefe guda, ta hanyar fitar da shi, wanda zai nuna sabon gaskiyar akan taswirar ƙasa. Kawar da ma'aikata, rage fa'idojin da suke samu da kuma karin daidaitawa a cikin kasafin kudinsu zai zama daya daga cikin sakamako kai tsaye kan aiwatar da wannan matakin.
Kamfanonin da aka jera a cikin jerin zaɓaɓɓukan zaɓi na Mutanen Espanya ba za su sami 'yanci ba, akasin haka. Wadanda suka fi fuskantar tattalin arzikin Ingilishi za su kasance mafi tsananin azaba ta kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi, kamar yadda aka bunkasa yayin zaman ciniki na kasuwar hada-hadar hannayen jari a ranar Juma’ar da ta gabata. Banco Santander, Sabadell, Ferrovial, Iberdrola ko Telefónica za su kasance wasu daga cikin waɗanda wannan lamarin ya shafa. Tare da halaye a cikin farashinsa mafi sharri fiye da takwarorinsa na daidaito. Kuma a kowane hali, zasu kasance mafi haɗari ga buɗe matsayi a kasuwanni daga yanzu.
Atony a cikin kasuwar ƙasa
Wannan bangaren da yake da alaƙa da tubali zai sha wahala sakamakon wannan shawarar. Yayin da fam din ya rasa takamaiman nauyinsa game da kudin euro, yawancin masu amfani da Burtaniya za su rage matsayinsu a kasuwar ƙasa, musamman ma wanda batun abin da yake nuni da shi shi ne ɓangaren hutu. Kar ka manta da hakan Kasuwancin Ingilishi shine mafi yawan aiki don neman gidan zama na biyu a Spain.
Sakamakon wannan yanayin, za a sami karancin ayyuka a bangaren. Abubuwan da ke faruwa a bayyane suke, ƙaramin aiki da raguwar ribar kamfanonin da aka keɓe don wannan muhimmin aikin tattalin arzikin. Kuma a daya bangaren, don haka yana da alaƙa da haɓakar Gross Domestic Product (GDP), wanda na iya faɗuwa da fewan goma daga rabin rabin shekarar 2016. Wannan kuma wani lamari ne da zai iya lalata tattalin arzikin Spain daga waɗannan hanyoyin.
Inara cikin ƙimar haɗari
Wannan matsalar kamar ba a manta da ita ba, amma wannan juma'ar da ta gabata, ga mummunan faɗuwa a cikin kasuwannin daidaito, an ƙara haɓakawa cikin ƙimar haɗari. Samun matakan maki 170, kuma a kowane hali, ba a gani ba a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata. Wannan yanayin na iya cutar da tattalin arzikin kasa sosai. Ya isa a bincika abin da ya faru shekaru huɗu da suka gabata don gane yadda mahimmancin wannan mahimmin bayanan tattalin arzikin na iya tashi.
Tashin hankali zai haifar, a tsakanin sauran abubuwa, cewa matsalolin samar da kuɗi sun fi yawa. Ko kuma a wata ma'anar, za su sami ƙarin buƙata ta hanyar amfani da ƙimar riba mafi girma. Wannan tasirin zai yi tasiri kai tsaye kan kashe-kashen Jihohi, wanda zai fi girma. Tare da yiwuwar an yanke su daga wasu abubuwan da ke da alaƙa da 'yan ƙasa: lafiya, fa'idodin zamantakewar jama'a ko kuɗin karatu.
Idan yaduwa tare da haɗin Jamusanci ya ƙaru, wanda shine ainihin abin da ke cikin haɗarin, to akwai haɗarin haɓaka haraji. Ko dai kai tsaye, ta hanyar VAT ko kuma harajin sanarwar mutane, (IRPF), ko kuma kai tsaye, kuma ya dogara da gwamnatin da aka kafa bayan babban zaben da aka gudanar a wannan Lahadin.
Tasirin Domino akan wasu ƙasashe
Koyaya, babban haɗari ga bukatun Spain shine cewa wannan tsarin rabuwa zai isa ga sauran al'ummomin al'umma: Faransa, Denmark, Holland, Sweden ko Italiya. Kuma a wane hali, tsarin fadada Turai tabbas zai rushe. Kuma tare da mummunar tasiri ga dukkan citizensan ƙasar Sifen. Hakanan, Spain zata rasa muhimmiyar ƙawa dangane da kafa Yarjejeniyar Transatlantic don kasuwanci da saka hannun jari, wanda aka sani da sunan ta na ƙarshe: TTIP.
Kuma a ƙarshe, wani ɓangaren lissafi ne kawai, amma yana da mahimmancin ci gaban ƙasa. Ba wani abu bane illa karancin kudin da Tarayyar Turai za ta samu, ganin cewa Biritaniya ba ta nan, wanda za a mika shi ga muradun kasa, tunda ba za ta samu sauki ba ga wasu aiyuka masu fa'ida, kuma mai matukar muhimmanci ga bunkasar tattalin arziki.
Duk waɗannan abubuwan na iya haifar da kasuwar hannun jari ta Sifen don komawa cikin raunin girma a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa. Kuma wannan na iya haɓaka tare da bayyanar wasu juzu'i'i fiye da wani a farashin da zai iya jawo hankalin masu amfani da kasuwar hannayen jari. Zuwa ga ƙarfafa su su shiga kasuwanni, suna cin gajiyar ƙananan farashin hannun jari.
Kodayake a shari'ar da ta gabata za mu jira har sai 'yan watanni sun wuce don daidaita abubuwan da wannan matakin da mutanen Ingilishi suka amince da su zai samu ranar Juma'ar da ta gabata. Ba yanke hukunci game da yiwuwar tasirin sa.