Farashin farashi a duniya a cikin watan Maris sun gabatar da akasin haka a cikin dare biyu na daidai. Yayinda gyaran ya kasance sananne sosai a farkon kwanaki 16 na watan, a cikin sati biyun na biyu sun dawo da wani ɓangare mai dacewa na gyaran da ya gabata. Misali, Ibex 35 gyara darajar ku da 30% a cikin kwanaki 16 na farko, amma daga wannan ranar an sake sake kimanta sama da 11% har zuwa ƙarshen Maris, bisa ga sabon bayanan da ofungiyar lectungiyoyin Colungiyoyin Zuba Jari da Asusun Fansho (Inverco) suka bayar.
Wannan yana nuna cewa duk wanda ya gabatar da mukamai a farkon rabin watan, gwargwadon yadda kasuwa ta kasance ba ta da kyau, ba wai kawai ya yi hasarar asarar kwanakin ba, amma kuma bai sami damar yin amfani da gyaran da aka yi masa ba a cikin wadannan kwanaki, yana mai tabbatar da cewa madaidaiciyar dabarun Zuba jari shine wanda ke mayar da hankali ga manufofin ta akan matsakaici da dogon lokaci. Kafaffen kasuwannin samun kudin shiga suma sun yi rajistar ragin, tare da ƙaruwa a cikin IRR na bashin jama'a na dogon lokaci, har zuwa 0,54% na shekara. Shekaru 10 na Sifen (daga 0,30% a cikin watan da ya gabata), ko - 0,49% don bashin gwamnatin Jamus na dogon lokaci daga -0,61% a cikin watan da ya gabata.
A gefe guda, farashin haɗarin ya kai maki 110. Tsoron koma bayan tattalin arzikin duniya sakamakon illolin rikicin da annobar coronavirus ta haifar ya haifar da mummunan tashin hankali a kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi, yana haifar da raguwar daraja a cikin dukkan fannoni. Sanarwar da Babban Bankin Turai (ECB) ya bayar game da sabon shirin sayan gaggawa na annoba tare da adadin 750.000 miliyan kudin Tarayyar Turai har zuwa ƙarshen shekara, tare da amincewar da Amurka ta bayar game da shirin haɓaka tattalin arzikin dalar Amurka tiriliyan 2.
Dukiyar kuɗi: yawan amfanin ƙasa
Ofaya daga cikin kadarorin kuɗaɗen da abin ya shafa a halin yanzu shine tabbas yawan amfanin ƙasa. An fi sani da junk bond, waɗannan kayan saka hannun jari ne waɗanda ƙasashe ko kamfanonin da suka karɓi ƙimar daraja ke bayarwa. ta hanyar hukumomin tantance hadurra kuma dole ne su biya babban riba ga mai saka jari saboda suna kara fuskantar kasada ta hanyar sayen su. A wannan ma'anar, hukumomi kamar su Standard & Poor's, Moody's ko Fitch, don suna mafi wakilci, kimanta yawan kamfanoni shaidu bisa ga tsaron da suke bawa mai saka jari.
A kowane hali, yawan amfanin ƙasa ko tarkacen takardu samfuri ne wanda ke ɗaukar haɗari fiye da sauran, kamar yadda yake bayyane a cikin wannan sabon rikicin tattalin arzikin. Domin ana iya fahimtarsa azaman dukiya hade da hawan tattalin arziki. A ma'anar cewa suna bayar da mafi kyawun ribar su a lokuta masu fa'ida na tattalin arziki kuma, akasin haka, suna da mafi munin halaye a cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki, kamar wanda ake fuskanta tare da isowar coronavirus. Tare da canjin yanayin da ya fi yawa fiye da sauran azuzuwan dukiyar kuɗi.
Bondungiyoyin haɗin kai
Yana daga cikin manyan masu asara a cikin wannan rikicin na tattalin arziki saboda basa baiwa masu saka jari kwarin gwiwa. Kamar misali, a cikin takamaiman yanayin na Bashin Spanish da Italian hakan bai daina rasa riba ba a cikin makonnin da suka gabata. Zuwa ga cewa kyakkyawan ɓangaren ƙananan da matsakaitan masu saka jari sun yi watsi da matsayinsu a cikin waɗannan kadarorin kuɗi saboda haɗarin gaske da za su iya ci gaba da rasa kimarsu a cikin makonni masu zuwa. Kamar ƙaramin kwarin gwiwar da suke samarwa tsakanin wakilai daban-daban ko masu shiga tsakani na kuɗi. Kasancewa ɗaya daga cikin samfuran da aka ƙaddara don saka hannun jari na abin da dole ne ya kasance ba a cikin waɗannan ranaku na musamman ga kowa ba.
Duk da yake a ɗaya hannun, ba za a iya mantawa da cewa ana ba da lamuni na gefe a cikin kyakkyawan ɓangaren kuɗin saka hannun jari dangane da tsayayyen kudin shiga. Ko dai ɗayan ɗayansu ko kuma wani ɓangare na wasu kadarorin kuɗi na daban na daban. Hakanan da gaskiyar cewa ana ɗaukar sa hannun jari ne wanda aka tsara don mafi girman bayanan kariya ko masu saka jari. Amma wannan lokacin ba shine mafi kyawun aboki don sa ribar ta samu riba daga kowane irin tsarin saka hannun jari ba. Tare da asara a cikin kudaden saka jari a cikin watan Maris tsakanin 10% da 13%. Kodayake a daya bangaren ya nuna dan murmurewa a kwanakin farko na wannan watan na Afrilu.
Kasuwa masu tasowa
Game da fansa, nau'ikan da aka hukunta a watan Maris dukansu kudaden shiga ne na gajeren lokaci kuma asusun duniya (Euro 1.590 da miliyan 1.417 bi da bi). Amma a kowane hali, kasuwannin hadahadar hannayen jari ne ke da mummunan fata cikin gajeren lokaci. Domin zasu sha wahala fiye da manyan kasuwannin adalci kuma zasu iya samar da riba mai haɗari sosai ga duk ƙanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari. Tare da dawo da mummunan sakamako wanda zai iya kusanci matakan kusan kusan 30% ko ma tare da ƙarfin ƙarfi. Musamman, saboda shakkun da ke cikin waɗannan ƙasashe ta hanyar bashin da suka tara na shekaru da yawa. A cikin yanayin da ba lallai bane ya dace da halayen su a kasuwannin daidaito.
A gefe guda, kasuwanni masu tasowa ba za su shiga matsayin su ba saboda suna mafi girma damar rasa kudi fiye da cin nasara. Sabili da haka, ba za a iya ɗaukar haɗarin da ba dole ba, tunda a ƙarshe sakamakon na iya zama mummunan ga iyalinmu ko bukatunmu. Akwai ƙananan kasuwanni na waɗannan halaye waɗanda suka yi tsayayya da halin ƙarancin sayarwar da muka sha wahala tun farkon kwanakin Maris. Wannan tunani ne wanda kyakkyawan ɓangare na ƙanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari yakamata suyi la'akari da su daga yanzu. Da farko dai, don adana kuɗin ku akan wasu dabarun da suka fi ƙarfin su.
Man fetur ya mamaye tasirin
Zai iya kasancewa ɗayan 'yan gudun hijira par kyau, amma a zahiri ba haka bane. Idan ba haka ba, akasin haka, yana daga cikin matsalar tunda farashinta a kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi ya fadi warwas zuwa matakai masu hadari na dalar Amurka 20 kan kowacce ganga. Daga wannan ra'ayi, ya fi matsala fiye da mafita ga matsalolin saka hannun jari a cikin waɗannan mawuyacin kwanakin da wannan sabuwar shekara ta kawo mana. Abune mai sauƙin amfani don aiki a cikin ciniki saboda babban rarrabuwa tsakanin matsakaicinta da mafi ƙarancin farashinta kuma hakan yana ba ku damar inganta ayyukan yadda yakamata idan kuna da ɗan koyo a cikin irin wannan motsi a kasuwannin kuɗi.
A gefe guda kuma, ba za ku iya mantawa cewa akwai yarjejeniya tsakanin Rasha da Saudiyya da ke ba da damar ƙara samar da wannan ɗanyen daga yanzu. Sabili da haka, kuma a cikin kyakkyawan ma'ana, zai sa farashin ganga ya tashi sosai. A zahiri, ya riga ya kai matakin $ 30 a kowace ganga kuma tare da tsammanin zai iya yin hakan a cikin waɗannan ranakun kasuwanci masu rikitarwa. A cikin wani sabon yanayin da zai ja hankalin ɓangare mai kyau na ƙanana da matsakaitan masu saka jari waɗanda ke da shakku da yawa game da abin da ya kamata su yi kwanakin nan. A irin wannan matakin na sauran kadarorin kuɗi, kamar saye da siyar hannun jari a kasuwar hannun jari ko kuɗin saka hannun jari na kowane irin yanayi da yanayi. Wato, tare da halaye waɗanda sababbi ne ga masu amfani a ƙasarmu.
Sectorimar sashen fasaha
Akwai gaskiyar da ke jawo hankali na musamman daga ƙanana da matsakaita masu saka jari kuma shine a halin yanzu Nasdaq ya rage darajar kashi 7% ne kawai tun farkon kwanakin shekara. Wannan a aikace yana nufin cewa hannun jari ba ya yin mummunan aiki a kasuwannin kuɗi. Idan ba haka ba, akasin haka, kuma a wata hanya, suna aiki ne a matsayin mafaka a cikin wannan sabon yanayin da kasuwannin daidaito ke gabatarwa a duniya. Tare da wasu daga cikinsu koda a matakai masu kyau kuma wanda kuma ya buɗe har zuwa tsohuwar kasuwancin kasuwancin nahiyar wanda kuma a halin yanzu shine abin da motsi na kuɗi ke gudana.
Duk da yake a ƙarshe, ya kamata a sani cewa ƙimomin ɓangaren fasaha yana ɗaya daga cikin ɓangarorin da suka fi dacewa da jimre wannan mahimmin faduwar a kasuwar hannun jari. Koyaushe sama da mafi ƙididdigar gargajiya na kasuwannin hannun jari na duniya. Kuma a cikin kowane hali, yana tabbatar da gaskiyar cewa ba duka ba ne zai zama mummunan labari ga dukiyar kuɗi a lokacin rikice-rikice masu yawa. Idan ba haka ba, akasin haka, ana iya ɗaukar matsayi don samun fa'idodi cikin sauri a cikin waɗannan zaman kasuwancin. Kodayake tare da ribar riba wacce ba ta kai ta sauran lokutan da suka saba ba, kamar har sai wannan abin da ba a zata ba ya faru. Tare da mahimmin canji a cikin dabi'un saka jari.
Ayyuka akan kasuwar hannun jari ta Sipaniya
Ya fi 59,9% fiye da na wannan watan kamar shekarar da ta gabata kuma ya ninka kashi 46,4% bisa na watan Fabrairu
Adadin cinikayya ya kai miliyan 7,61 a watan Maris, wanda ke wakiltar ƙaruwar shekara-shekara na 142,3%. Duk da yake a gefe guda, yawan kasuwancin da aka yi a cikin Kafaffen Kudin shiga yana yin rijistar haɓaka na kowane wata na 26,1%. Inda aka yi ciniki kwangilar nan gaba 12 IBEX 77.763 PLUS a ranar 35 ga Maris, wani tarihin tarihi na yau da kullun, ban da makonnin karewa.
A gefe guda kuma, kasuwar hada-hadar hannayen jari ta kasar Sipaniya ta yi musayar Yuro miliyan 55.468 a cikin Inshorar Kuɗaɗen shiga a watan Maris, kashi 59,9% fiye da na wannan watan na shekarar da ta gabata da kuma kashi 46,4% fiye da na watan Fabrairu. Adadin tattaunawar a watan Maris ya kai miliyan 7,61, 142,3% fiye da na Maris 2019 da 82,9% fiye da watan da ya gabata. A watan Maris, kamfanin BME ya kai ga kasuwa a cikin kasuwancin kasuwannin sipaniyan na 72,39%. Matsakaicin matsakaici a watan Maris ya kasance maki 14,96 a matakin farko na farashin (16% mafi kyau fiye da filin ciniki na gaba) da maki 21,43 tare da zurfin euro 25.000 a cikin littafin tsari (26,1, XNUMX% mafi kyau), a cewar mai zaman kansa Rahoton LiquidMetrix. Wadannan alkaluman sun hada da kasuwancin da aka gudanar a cibiyoyin kasuwancin, duka a cikin littafin tsari na gaskiya (LIT), gami da gwanjo, da kuma kasuwancin da ba na gaskiya ba (duhu) da aka aiwatar a wajen littafin.
Zuba jari a cikin tsayayyen kudin shiga
Adadin kuɗin da aka ƙulla a cikin xedididdigar Kuɗi ya kasance Euro miliyan 31.313 a watan Maris, wanda ke wakiltar ci gaban 26,1% idan aka kwatanta da Fabrairu. Shiga shiga kasuwanci, gami da lamunin Bashi na Jama'a da Kafaffen Kudaden Shiga, ya kai Euro miliyan 42.626, tare da ci gaban 19,5% idan aka kwatanta da wannan watan na 2019 da 83,7% idan aka kwatanta da Fabrairu na wannan shekarar. Fitaccen daidaiton ya tsaya akan yuro tiriliyan 1,59, wanda ke nuna kari na 0,9% idan aka kwatanta da Maris na 2019 da 2% a cikin tarin shekara.
A cikin watan Maris ciniki a cikin kasuwar Kasuwancin Kuɗi ya ci gaba da haɓaka. Musamman a cikin Index Futures, a cikin watan da alama alama ta ƙaruwa kewayo. Ranar 12 ga Maris, 77.763 IBEX 35 PLUS kwangilar nan gaba aka yi ciniki, rikodin tarihin yau da kullun, ban da makonnin ƙarewa. Yawan Futures a kan IBEX 35 ya karu da 74,6% kuma a Futures Mini IBEX da 200,8% idan aka kwatanta da watan Maris na shekarar da ta gabata. A cikin Zaɓuɓɓukan Zaɓuɓɓuka, Maris shine wata na uku a jere na haɓaka idan aka kwatanta da daidai lokacin a cikin 2019, tare da ƙaruwa na 60,4%. Duk da yake a gefe guda, ayyuka a cikin Kasuwar Kayayyakin BME sun yi rijistar haɓaka shekara shekara akan 17,8%.
Yarjejeniyar yarjejeniya mai dorewa
Kamfanin BME, ta hanyar kasuwar musayar jari ta Bilbao, ya yarda a yau don tattaunawa kan sabon batun samar da jarin da Gwamnatin Basque ta bullo da shi na adadin Yuro miliyan 500. Theididdigar suna da ajali na shekaru 10 (an tsara balagarsu ta ƙarshe a watan Afrilu 30, 2030) kuma za su sami kuɗin shekara-shekara na 0,85%. Wannan shine karo na uku da ake bayar da takardun lamuni wanda ke da nasaba da abubuwan da suka shafi muhalli, zamantakewa ko shugabanci (ESG) wanda Gwamnatin Basque ta aiwatar, wanda jimillar kudin ta kai Yuro miliyan 1.600. BBVA, Santander, Caixabank, Natixis da Nomura sun halarci sanya batun.
Gwamnatin Basque tana da darajar A3, daidaitaccen hangen nesa, na Moody's; A +, kyakkyawan hangen nesa, ta S&P; da AA-, daidaitaccen hangen nesa, na Fitch. An inganta watsa shirye-shiryen ne a cikin tsarin Manufofin Majalisar Dinkin Duniya Mai Dorewa (SDG). Categoriesungiyoyin da za a biya kuɗi sun dace a cikin 83% zuwa shirye-shiryen zamantakewar jama'a kuma a cikin 17% zuwa shirye-shiryen muhalli. Daga cikin wasu, yankuna da manufofin aiwatar da tsarin fitar da dorewa na Gwamnatin Basque: gida mai rahusa, samun dama ga muhimman ayyuka kamar ilimi da kiwon lafiya, manufofin zamantakewar jama'a, kirkirar aiki, makamashi mai sabuntawa, sufuri mai dorewa, rigakafi da kula da gurbatar kula da muhalli da dorewar ruwa da ruwan sha. Wannan batun na ɗorewar ƙididdiga ta Gwamnatin Basque ƙari ne ga wanda aka gudanar a watan Fabrairun da ya gabata na Autungiyar Autan Adam mai zaman kanta ta Madrid.
Karɓar karɓar kaya a kasuwar hannun jari ta Sipaniya
Duk da yake a ƙarshe, ya kamata a sani cewa Kwamitin Daraktoci na BME a yau sun amince da rahoton dole kan Bayar da Jama'a don Samun hannun jari da SIX ya ƙaddamar don 100% na babban kamfanin. Aikin da aka karɓa izini daga Majalisar Ministocin a ranar 24 ga Maris kuma CNMV ta ba da izinin ƙasidar bayanan don neman karɓar 25 Maris.
Kwamitin Daraktoci na BME, gabaɗaya, ya ba da ra'ayi mai kyau game da OPA a cikin rahoton da aka ambata. Majalisar "tana da darajar kimar farashin tayin" kuma tayi la’akari da cewa “alkawurran da SIX ya dauka da kuma sharudda da kiyayewa da iznin Majalisar Ministocin suka yi, baki daya, sun isa su kare isasshen ci gaban jami’ar sakandare kasuwanni da tsarin Sifen waɗanda waɗannan alkawurran suka koma gare su ”.
Tare da haɗawar waɗannan kamfanoni uku, an ƙaddamar da ɓangaren Ci Gaban na EpM, wanda aka yi niyya ga kamfanoni tare da madaidaiciyar hanya a cikin kowane irin ɓangarori.
Sabbin abokan biyu a cikin wannan shirin na BME sune Kudancin Spain Business Association, CESUR, wanda ke neman inganta kasuwanci, tattalin arziki da zamantakewar al'umma a kudancin Spain, da AtZ Advisors Financial, shagon bada shawara kan harkokin kudi wadanda suka kware a ayyukan makamashi masu sabuntawa a Spain da Latam, samun bashi da daidaito a cikin sha'anin kuɗi, sake fasalin ayyukan da ayyukan M&A.
Kira don Yankin Kasuwancin kafin karɓar sabbin kamfanoni a buɗe yake ga haɗuwa. Don samun damar shirin, kamfanoni dole ne su kasance masu haɗin gwiwa ko iyakantattun kamfanoni, tare da mafi ƙarancin shekaru na 2, gabatar da asusun ajiyar shekara-shekara da bayar da tsarin kasuwancin su na shekaru 3.
"Tun lokacin da aka kirkiro shi a cikin 2017, Yankin Kasuwancin Baya bai daina girma ba kuma yana cika burin sa na taimakawa kamfanoni su shirya yin tsalle zuwa kasuwar hada-hadar jari da kuma ba da gudummawa ga haɓaka mafi girma a cikin hanyoyin samar da kuɗi na masana'antar kasuwancin Mutanen Espanya" , ya bayyana Jesús González Nieto, manajan darakta na MAB.